Pre-tourney Rankings
Samford
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#136
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#136
Pace69.6#141
Improvement+0.0#189

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#96
First Shot+3.9#70
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#244
Layup/Dunks-2.8#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#27
Freethrows+2.7#19
Improvement-0.4#234

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#211
First Shot-1.8#236
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#105
Layups/Dunks+4.9#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#329
Freethrows-1.7#312
Improvement+0.4#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 413 - 218 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2022 317   @ Alabama A&M W 84-64 77%     1 - 0 +14.2 +0.7 +11.2
  Nov 20, 2022 303   Texas Southern W 78-63 87%     2 - 0 +4.5 +6.3 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2022 280   Valparaiso W 79-49 85%     3 - 0 +20.7 +4.0 +17.2
  Nov 25, 2022 163   Louisiana Tech L 76-79 68%     3 - 1 -5.9 -5.1 -0.5
  Nov 30, 2022 125   @ DePaul L 98-103 OT 37%     3 - 2 +0.3 +8.6 -7.4
  Dec 04, 2022 63   @ Central Florida L 77-80 OT 18%     3 - 3 +8.6 +5.4 +3.4
  Dec 10, 2022 101   @ Louisiana L 58-75 29%     3 - 4 -9.3 -8.0 -2.7
  Dec 17, 2022 351   @ South Carolina St. L 61-62 86%     3 - 5 -11.0 -12.6 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2022 123   @ Belmont L 56-79 35%     3 - 6 -17.3 -9.5 -10.7
  Dec 28, 2022 226   Mercer W 78-69 78%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +3.0 +16.5 -12.1
  Dec 31, 2022 324   @ The Citadel W 75-63 78%     5 - 6 2 - 0 +5.8 +0.2 +5.8
  Jan 04, 2023 350   VMI W 87-78 94%     6 - 6 3 - 0 -6.5 +8.6 -14.6
  Jan 07, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro W 70-68 35%     7 - 6 4 - 0 +8.0 +10.2 -2.0
  Jan 11, 2023 223   Wofford W 83-58 77%     8 - 6 5 - 0 +19.1 +9.2 +11.7
  Jan 14, 2023 177   Chattanooga W 75-74 70%     9 - 6 6 - 0 -2.6 +2.8 -5.3
  Jan 18, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 69-59 61%     10 - 6 7 - 0 +8.9 +4.7 +5.5
  Jan 21, 2023 237   Western Carolina W 74-65 79%     11 - 6 8 - 0 +2.2 +3.4 -0.5
  Jan 25, 2023 90   @ Furman L 84-91 OT 25%     11 - 7 8 - 1 +1.8 +5.5 -3.1
  Jan 28, 2023 223   @ Wofford L 77-85 57%     11 - 8 8 - 2 -8.0 -0.8 -7.1
  Feb 01, 2023 237   @ Western Carolina W 85-77 60%     12 - 8 9 - 2 +7.2 +9.1 -2.1
  Feb 04, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. W 73-62 80%     13 - 8 10 - 2 +4.0 -1.3 +5.5
  Feb 08, 2023 226   @ Mercer W 70-69 OT 58%     14 - 8 11 - 2 +0.9 -6.3 +7.1
  Feb 11, 2023 324   The Citadel W 76-70 90%     15 - 8 12 - 2 -6.2 -6.6 +0.1
  Feb 15, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro W 83-71 57%     16 - 8 13 - 2 +12.0 +11.4 +0.4
  Feb 18, 2023 350   @ VMI W 96-61 86%     17 - 8 14 - 2 +25.4 +17.8 +8.2
  Feb 22, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga W 75-70 48%     18 - 8 15 - 2 +7.3 -3.8 +10.8
  Feb 25, 2023 90   Furman L 79-93 46%     18 - 9 15 - 3 -11.1 +4.1 -15.2
  Mar 04, 2023 177   Chattanooga L 82-85 60%     18 - 10 -3.7 +1.7 -5.2
Projected Record 18 - 10 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%