Pre-tourney Rankings
VMI
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#350
Expected Predictive Rating-12.6#348
Pace67.3#194
Improvement-0.8#254

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#286
First Shot-3.4#290
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#220
Layup/Dunks-5.1#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#21
Freethrows-3.3#360
Improvement-1.2#302

Defense
Total Defense-8.6#360
First Shot-7.6#358
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#293
Layups/Dunks+1.1#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.7#363
Freethrows+1.5#59
Improvement+0.4#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 30 - 120 - 15
Quad 44 - 104 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 147   @ Richmond L 48-69 7%     0 - 1 -16.7 -18.9 +1.2
  Nov 13, 2022 124   @ Davidson L 71-75 6%     0 - 2 +1.3 +2.3 -1.1
  Nov 18, 2022 175   @ Longwood L 58-90 9%     0 - 3 -29.6 -11.6 -18.8
  Nov 19, 2022 250   SIU Edwardsville L 67-93 23%     0 - 4 -30.8 -10.9 -18.3
  Nov 20, 2022 320   Fairleigh Dickinson L 89-93 36%     0 - 5 -12.9 +3.7 -16.4
  Nov 29, 2022 335   @ Presbyterian L 57-72 32%     0 - 6 -22.8 -16.9 -6.2
  Dec 03, 2022 191   Navy W 80-72 21%     1 - 6 +4.0 +12.7 -8.0
  Dec 10, 2022 186   Radford W 77-74 21%     2 - 6 -0.9 +4.3 -5.1
  Dec 13, 2022 274   @ American L 61-69 19%     2 - 7 -11.1 -1.8 -10.9
  Dec 22, 2022 128   @ Fordham L 77-80 OT 6%     2 - 8 +2.2 -3.0 +5.6
  Dec 29, 2022 90   @ Furman L 62-85 3%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -14.2 -10.6 -3.3
  Dec 31, 2022 241   East Tennessee St. L 50-64 30%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -21.0 -21.0 -1.4
  Jan 04, 2023 136   @ Samford L 78-87 6%     2 - 11 0 - 3 -4.1 +9.5 -14.1
  Jan 07, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga L 78-85 9%     2 - 12 0 - 4 -4.7 +6.8 -11.8
  Jan 11, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro L 57-72 12%     2 - 13 0 - 5 -15.0 -6.4 -10.2
  Jan 14, 2023 223   @ Wofford L 67-86 12%     2 - 14 0 - 6 -19.0 -3.2 -17.7
  Jan 19, 2023 226   Mercer L 61-69 27%     2 - 15 0 - 7 -14.0 -8.4 -6.3
  Jan 21, 2023 324   The Citadel L 52-60 49%     2 - 16 0 - 8 -20.2 -20.9 -0.2
  Jan 25, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 50-62 5%     2 - 17 0 - 9 -6.0 -13.5 +6.7
  Jan 28, 2023 237   Western Carolina L 65-71 29%     2 - 18 0 - 10 -12.8 -11.1 -1.8
  Feb 02, 2023 324   @ The Citadel W 75-69 27%     3 - 18 1 - 10 -0.2 +9.8 -9.1
  Feb 04, 2023 226   @ Mercer L 54-80 13%     3 - 19 1 - 11 -26.1 -13.2 -14.6
  Feb 08, 2023 90   Furman L 63-94 8%     3 - 20 1 - 12 -28.1 -9.6 -19.5
  Feb 10, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-69 14%     3 - 21 1 - 13 -5.1 -1.1 -4.4
  Feb 15, 2023 177   Chattanooga L 58-78 20%     3 - 22 1 - 14 -23.6 -15.7 -9.2
  Feb 18, 2023 136   Samford L 61-96 14%     3 - 23 1 - 15 -36.1 -13.3 -23.4
  Feb 22, 2023 223   Wofford W 87-83 OT 26%     4 - 23 2 - 15 -1.9 +2.0 -4.2
  Feb 25, 2023 237   @ Western Carolina L 66-85 14%     4 - 24 2 - 16 -19.8 -1.4 -20.2
  Mar 03, 2023 177   Chattanooga L 72-92 14%     4 - 25 -20.7 -5.8 -14.3
Projected Record 4 - 25 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%