Pre-tourney Rankings
Furman
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#90
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#96
Pace70.2#123
Improvement+0.9#101

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#33
First Shot+4.6#54
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#64
Layup/Dunks+3.6#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#76
Freethrows+1.6#62
Improvement+0.9#81

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#190
First Shot-1.7#231
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#65
Layups/Dunks-3.5#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#51
Freethrows-0.5#233
Improvement+0.0#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round18.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 39 - 310 - 5
Quad 414 - 224 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 123   Belmont W 89-74 72%     1 - 0 +14.8 +10.8 +3.5
  Nov 17, 2022 40   Penn St. L 68-73 32%     1 - 1 +5.8 +3.7 +1.7
  Nov 18, 2022 167   Old Dominion L 77-82 72%     1 - 2 -5.1 +2.3 -7.2
  Nov 20, 2022 199   South Carolina W 79-60 76%     2 - 2 +17.5 +9.1 +9.3
  Nov 29, 2022 180   @ Appalachian St. W 65-61 64%     3 - 2 +6.3 -5.3 +11.5
  Dec 03, 2022 351   South Carolina St. W 88-76 97%     4 - 2 -3.9 -3.7 -1.6
  Dec 06, 2022 302   High Point L 82-85 93%     4 - 3 -13.5 +1.2 -14.6
  Dec 10, 2022 244   Winthrop W 82-67 89%     5 - 3 +7.7 +3.6 +4.5
  Dec 13, 2022 45   @ North Carolina St. L 73-92 23%     5 - 4 -5.6 -3.1 -0.3
  Dec 17, 2022 144   Stephen F. Austin W 72-70 67%     6 - 4 +3.4 +2.9 +0.6
  Dec 29, 2022 350   VMI W 85-62 97%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +7.5 +1.0 +6.2
  Dec 31, 2022 237   @ Western Carolina L 67-79 74%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -12.8 -1.7 -12.1
  Jan 04, 2023 324   The Citadel W 97-72 94%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +12.8 +13.6 -1.9
  Jan 07, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 70-56 75%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +12.9 +0.7 +12.9
  Jan 11, 2023 226   @ Mercer W 84-66 72%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +17.9 +20.6 -1.0
  Jan 14, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro L 80-88 OT 71%     10 - 6 4 - 2 -8.0 +3.4 -10.6
  Jan 18, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga W 77-69 63%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +10.3 +4.1 +6.4
  Jan 22, 2023 223   @ Wofford W 96-82 71%     12 - 6 6 - 2 +14.0 +17.9 -4.0
  Jan 25, 2023 136   Samford W 91-84 OT 75%     13 - 6 7 - 2 +5.9 +8.3 -2.9
  Jan 29, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro W 69-57 49%     14 - 6 8 - 2 +18.0 +9.2 +10.0
  Feb 01, 2023 177   Chattanooga W 79-58 81%     15 - 6 9 - 2 +17.4 +4.5 +13.6
  Feb 04, 2023 223   Wofford W 80-67 86%     16 - 6 10 - 2 +7.1 +5.4 +2.5
  Feb 08, 2023 350   @ VMI W 94-63 92%     17 - 6 11 - 2 +21.4 +17.2 +5.3
  Feb 11, 2023 237   Western Carolina W 93-59 88%     18 - 6 12 - 2 +27.2 +10.3 +14.7
  Feb 15, 2023 324   @ The Citadel L 65-69 87%     18 - 7 12 - 3 -10.2 -3.7 -7.0
  Feb 19, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. W 83-79 88%     19 - 7 13 - 3 -3.0 +12.8 -15.6
  Feb 22, 2023 226   Mercer W 70-67 86%     20 - 7 14 - 3 -3.0 -0.4 -2.5
  Feb 25, 2023 136   @ Samford W 93-79 54%     21 - 7 15 - 3 +18.9 +20.3 -1.5
  Mar 04, 2023 226   Mercer W 73-58 80%     22 - 7 +11.9 +9.0 +4.7
  Mar 05, 2023 237   Western Carolina W 83-80 OT 82%     23 - 7 -0.8 +6.1 -7.0
  Mar 06, 2023 177   Chattanooga W 88-79 73%     24 - 7 +8.3 +7.2 +0.7
  Mar 16, 2023 32   Virginia L 64-70 28%    
Projected Record 24 - 8 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.7 0.9 37.4 49.8 11.9
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.9 37.4 49.8 11.9