Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#180
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#196
Pace63.4#302
Improvement+0.5#134

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#261
First Shot-2.1#249
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#230
Layup/Dunks-1.3#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#214
Freethrows-1.3#296
Improvement+0.6#106

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#107
First Shot+2.3#101
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#206
Layups/Dunks+2.1#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#309
Freethrows+2.1#41
Improvement-0.1#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 61 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 13
Quad 410 - 313 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 213   NC Central W 79-74 OT 66%     1 - 0 +0.0 -2.6 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2022 261   @ Louisville W 61-60 56%     2 - 0 -1.3 -9.3 +8.0
  Nov 18, 2022 229   Campbell L 58-63 70%     2 - 1 -11.3 -14.0 +2.3
  Nov 19, 2022 131   Kennesaw St. L 67-71 51%     2 - 2 -4.9 -1.0 -4.2
  Nov 20, 2022 266   SE Louisiana W 83-74 78%     3 - 2 +0.3 -2.7 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2022 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 74-70 51%     4 - 2 +2.9 +2.6 +0.4
  Nov 29, 2022 90   Furman L 61-65 36%     4 - 3 -1.1 -14.7 +13.6
  Dec 02, 2022 118   @ Charlotte L 62-71 26%     4 - 4 -3.0 +0.6 -4.9
  Dec 14, 2022 84   @ Wake Forest L 66-67 16%     4 - 5 +8.8 +1.0 +7.7
  Dec 21, 2022 108   UC Santa Barbara L 50-61 32%     4 - 6 -6.9 -18.1 +10.2
  Dec 29, 2022 83   @ Marshall L 53-79 16%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -16.2 -13.5 -3.8
  Dec 31, 2022 107   @ Southern Miss L 70-76 23%     4 - 8 0 - 2 +1.1 +4.6 -3.8
  Jan 05, 2023 290   Coastal Carolina W 63-62 80%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -8.7 -13.3 +4.6
  Jan 07, 2023 98   @ James Madison W 71-62 21%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +16.8 +1.7 +14.9
  Jan 12, 2023 211   Georgia Southern L 65-67 66%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -7.0 -5.2 -1.8
  Jan 14, 2023 135   Troy W 58-45 51%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +12.0 -12.3 +24.7
  Jan 19, 2023 290   @ Coastal Carolina L 84-93 OT 62%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -12.8 +2.6 -15.0
  Jan 21, 2023 167   @ Old Dominion W 72-58 36%     8 - 10 4 - 4 +16.9 +16.3 +3.4
  Jan 26, 2023 268   Georgia St. W 71-59 78%     9 - 10 5 - 4 +3.3 +3.8 +0.9
  Jan 28, 2023 284   Arkansas St. W 63-51 80%     10 - 10 6 - 4 +2.6 -7.0 +11.0
  Feb 02, 2023 83   Marshall L 58-66 33%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -4.1 -10.6 +6.0
  Feb 04, 2023 98   James Madison L 57-63 40%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -4.2 -10.0 +5.4
  Feb 09, 2023 282   @ Louisiana Monroe W 52-45 60%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +3.6 -13.4 +18.0
  Feb 11, 2023 110   @ South Alabama L 57-74 23%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -10.0 -3.8 -8.5
  Feb 16, 2023 197   Texas St. W 82-75 64%     12 - 13 8 - 7 +2.7 +10.6 -7.6
  Feb 18, 2023 167   Old Dominion L 63-74 59%     12 - 14 8 - 8 -14.1 -6.6 -8.1
  Feb 22, 2023 268   @ Georgia St. W 78-52 58%     13 - 14 9 - 8 +23.2 +17.2 +9.9
  Feb 24, 2023 211   @ Georgia Southern L 64-73 43%     13 - 15 9 - 9 -8.0 +0.4 -9.3
  Mar 02, 2023 110   South Alabama L 61-68 32%     13 - 16 -3.0 -2.7 -1.0
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%