Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#261
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#316
Pace67.0#207
Improvement+1.3#73

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#241
First Shot-1.1#221
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks-1.1#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#261
Freethrows+2.1#33
Improvement+2.8#11

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#278
First Shot-2.1#247
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#308
Layups/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#296
Freethrows+0.9#111
Improvement-1.6#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 9
Quad 21 - 61 - 15
Quad 30 - 91 - 24
Quad 43 - 44 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 256   Bellarmine L 66-67 61%     0 - 1 -9.1 -2.9 -6.3
  Nov 12, 2022 194   Wright St. L 72-73 45%     0 - 2 -5.2 -9.3 +4.3
  Nov 15, 2022 180   Appalachian St. L 60-61 44%     0 - 3 -4.7 -7.9 +3.2
  Nov 21, 2022 17   Arkansas L 54-80 5%     0 - 4 -12.8 -11.4 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2022 48   Texas Tech L 38-70 9%     0 - 5 -22.2 -29.1 +6.3
  Nov 23, 2022 52   Cincinnati L 62-81 9%     0 - 6 -9.4 -5.7 -4.0
  Nov 29, 2022 25   Maryland L 54-79 9%     0 - 7 -15.3 -14.5 -0.5
  Dec 04, 2022 37   Miami (FL) L 53-80 11%     0 - 8 0 - 1 -18.7 -22.7 +5.6
  Dec 10, 2022 179   @ Florida St. L 53-75 23%     0 - 9 0 - 2 -19.7 -18.7 -1.3
  Dec 14, 2022 170   Western Kentucky W 94-83 42%     1 - 9 +7.7 +17.6 -10.0
  Dec 17, 2022 357   Florida A&M W 61-55 87%     2 - 9 -11.5 -15.2 +3.9
  Dec 20, 2022 159   Lipscomb L 67-75 40%     2 - 10 -10.7 -5.7 -5.2
  Dec 22, 2022 45   @ North Carolina St. L 64-76 5%     2 - 11 0 - 3 +1.4 -2.3 +3.5
  Dec 31, 2022 26   @ Kentucky L 63-86 4%     2 - 12 -7.5 +1.3 -10.7
  Jan 03, 2023 103   Syracuse L 69-70 26%     2 - 13 0 - 4 +0.5 -7.2 +7.7
  Jan 07, 2023 84   Wake Forest L 72-80 19%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -4.1 +3.5 -8.1
  Jan 11, 2023 50   @ Clemson L 70-83 6%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -0.4 +5.4 -6.1
  Jan 14, 2023 39   North Carolina L 59-80 11%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -13.0 -10.9 -1.6
  Jan 18, 2023 67   Pittsburgh L 54-75 16%     2 - 17 0 - 8 -15.6 -16.8 +0.4
  Jan 25, 2023 154   @ Boston College L 65-75 19%     2 - 18 0 - 9 -6.1 +2.2 -9.2
  Jan 28, 2023 149   @ Notre Dame L 62-76 18%     2 - 19 0 - 10 -9.8 -4.4 -6.9
  Feb 01, 2023 143   Georgia Tech W 68-58 35%     3 - 19 1 - 10 +8.5 +0.4 +8.9
  Feb 04, 2023 179   Florida St. L 78-81 43%     3 - 20 1 - 11 -6.6 +3.5 -10.2
  Feb 07, 2023 67   @ Pittsburgh L 57-91 7%     3 - 21 1 - 12 -22.6 -7.7 -18.1
  Feb 11, 2023 37   @ Miami (FL) L 85-93 4%     3 - 22 1 - 13 +6.3 +19.8 -14.0
  Feb 15, 2023 32   Virginia L 58-61 10%     3 - 23 1 - 14 +5.8 +1.6 +3.6
  Feb 18, 2023 50   Clemson W 83-73 13%     4 - 23 2 - 14 +16.6 +11.8 +4.6
  Feb 20, 2023 19   @ Duke L 62-79 3%     4 - 24 2 - 15 -0.9 +7.7 -11.1
  Feb 25, 2023 143   @ Georgia Tech L 67-83 18%     4 - 25 2 - 16 -11.5 -1.1 -10.9
  Feb 28, 2023 74   Virginia Tech L 54-71 17%     4 - 26 2 - 17 -12.3 -8.8 -6.5
  Mar 04, 2023 32   @ Virginia L 60-75 4%     4 - 27 2 - 18 -0.2 +8.9 -12.4
  Mar 07, 2023 154   Boston College L 62-80 27%     4 - 28 -17.1 -2.6 -16.3
Projected Record 4 - 28 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18 100.0% 100.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%