Pre-tourney Rankings
Maryland
Big Ten
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.7#25
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#39
Pace63.3#307
Improvement-0.5#229

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#36
First Shot+4.6#55
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#68
Layup/Dunks+2.7#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#174
Freethrows+2.5#27
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#32
First Shot+5.4#38
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#68
Layups/Dunks+0.9#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#41
Freethrows+1.6#57
Improvement-0.4#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.0% n/a n/a
First Round87.0% n/a n/a
Second Round46.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.8% n/a n/a
Final Four3.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 10
Quad 25 - 28 - 12
Quad 34 - 012 - 12
Quad 49 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 247   Niagara W 71-49 96%     1 - 0 +14.4 +10.6 +8.7
  Nov 10, 2022 237   Western Carolina W 71-51 95%     2 - 0 +13.2 -8.7 +21.1
  Nov 15, 2022 308   Binghamton W 76-52 98%     3 - 0 +13.0 +0.1 +13.6
  Nov 19, 2022 92   Saint Louis W 95-67 76%     4 - 0 +33.5 +21.2 +11.7
  Nov 20, 2022 37   Miami (FL) W 88-70 55%     5 - 0 +29.3 +19.1 +10.7
  Nov 25, 2022 344   Coppin St. W 95-79 99%     6 - 0 +1.2 +8.5 -8.2
  Nov 29, 2022 261   @ Louisville W 79-54 91%     7 - 0 +22.7 +3.3 +19.0
  Dec 02, 2022 30   Illinois W 71-66 63%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +14.2 +10.3 +4.4
  Dec 06, 2022 61   @ Wisconsin L 59-64 53%     8 - 1 1 - 1 +6.8 -1.3 +7.8
  Dec 11, 2022 6   Tennessee L 53-56 34%     8 - 2 +13.9 -5.1 +18.9
  Dec 14, 2022 3   UCLA L 60-87 39%     8 - 3 -11.4 -0.4 -11.9
  Dec 22, 2022 296   St. Peter's W 75-45 97%     9 - 3 +19.9 +8.9 +14.9
  Dec 29, 2022 246   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-64 96%     10 - 3 +8.5 -4.1 +11.6
  Jan 01, 2023 44   @ Michigan L 46-81 47%     10 - 4 1 - 2 -21.5 -23.5 +4.3
  Jan 05, 2023 35   @ Rutgers L 50-64 44%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +0.3 -4.4 +2.9
  Jan 08, 2023 46   Ohio St. W 80-73 70%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +14.4 +11.1 +3.6
  Jan 15, 2023 34   @ Iowa L 67-81 43%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +0.5 +2.3 -3.0
  Jan 19, 2023 44   Michigan W 64-58 69%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +13.6 +8.6 +6.2
  Jan 22, 2023 7   @ Purdue L 55-58 25%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +16.8 -0.2 +16.4
  Jan 25, 2023 61   Wisconsin W 73-55 74%     13 - 7 4 - 5 +23.9 +22.6 +5.4
  Jan 28, 2023 89   Nebraska W 82-63 82%     14 - 7 5 - 5 +22.0 +18.3 +5.1
  Jan 31, 2023 24   Indiana W 66-55 61%     15 - 7 6 - 5 +20.8 +6.2 +16.0
  Feb 04, 2023 183   @ Minnesota W 81-46 84%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +37.1 +22.4 +20.0
  Feb 07, 2023 31   @ Michigan St. L 58-63 42%     16 - 8 7 - 6 +9.9 -1.2 +10.5
  Feb 11, 2023 40   Penn St. W 74-68 68%     17 - 8 8 - 6 +13.8 +8.6 +5.7
  Feb 16, 2023 7   Purdue W 68-54 46%     18 - 8 9 - 6 +27.8 +13.7 +16.8
  Feb 19, 2023 89   @ Nebraska L 66-70 OT 64%     18 - 9 9 - 7 +5.0 -2.9 +8.0
  Feb 22, 2023 183   Minnesota W 88-70 93%     19 - 9 10 - 7 +14.2 +23.3 -7.2
  Feb 26, 2023 43   Northwestern W 75-59 69%     20 - 9 11 - 7 +23.7 +29.3 -1.3
  Mar 01, 2023 46   @ Ohio St. L 62-73 48%     20 - 10 11 - 8 +2.3 +2.3 -1.6
  Mar 05, 2023 40   @ Penn St. L 64-65 46%     20 - 11 11 - 9 +12.8 +2.8 +9.9
  Mar 09, 2023 183   Minnesota W 70-54 89%     21 - 11 +15.2 +7.9 +9.6
  Mar 10, 2023 24   Indiana L 60-70 50%     21 - 12 +2.7 +0.3 +1.2
  Mar 16, 2023 16   West Virginia L 70-71 46%    
Projected Record 21 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 88.9% 88.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 10.1 24.2 35.4 17.2 0.1 11.1 88.9%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 88.9% 0.0% 88.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 10.1 24.2 35.4 17.2 0.1 11.1 88.9%