Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#237
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#212
Pace68.7#165
Improvement+2.0#37

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#220
First Shot+0.8#155
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#329
Layup/Dunks+0.0#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#122
Freethrows+1.4#68
Improvement+0.5#111

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#254
First Shot-2.5#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#164
Layups/Dunks-3.5#321
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#10
Freethrows-0.9#261
Improvement+1.4#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 412 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 142   @ Georgia L 55-68 21%     0 - 1 -8.4 -15.2 +6.9
  Nov 10, 2022 25   @ Maryland L 51-71 5%     0 - 2 -4.3 -15.9 +12.4
  Nov 18, 2022 338   @ McNeese St. W 88-69 67%     1 - 2 +10.8 +13.2 -1.6
  Nov 19, 2022 356   Lamar W 98-91 OT 84%     2 - 2 -7.3 +9.9 -17.8
  Nov 20, 2022 346   Lindenwood W 90-88 OT 78%     3 - 2 -10.0 +0.0 -10.3
  Nov 26, 2022 156   @ UNC Asheville L 61-73 24%     3 - 3 -8.5 -12.5 +4.7
  Nov 30, 2022 215   Gardner-Webb L 55-71 55%     3 - 4 -21.1 -8.6 -14.9
  Dec 03, 2022 259   South Carolina Upstate L 64-79 67%     3 - 5 -23.2 -10.6 -12.8
  Dec 07, 2022 124   @ Davidson L 64-72 19%     3 - 6 -2.7 -8.1 +5.6
  Dec 17, 2022 295   @ Tennessee Tech W 75-65 51%     4 - 6 +5.9 +4.3 +2.3
  Dec 29, 2022 119   UNC Greensboro L 47-72 35%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -25.0 -21.1 -4.8
  Dec 31, 2022 90   Furman W 79-67 26%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +14.9 +10.2 +5.5
  Jan 04, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 71-60 40%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +9.9 +3.2 +7.5
  Jan 07, 2023 226   Mercer W 73-45 59%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +22.0 +1.7 +21.3
  Jan 11, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga L 76-95 28%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -16.7 +4.4 -21.8
  Jan 14, 2023 324   @ The Citadel L 61-65 59%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -10.2 -10.2 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2023 223   Wofford W 76-71 58%     8 - 9 4 - 3 -0.9 +3.8 -4.2
  Jan 21, 2023 136   @ Samford L 65-74 21%     8 - 10 4 - 4 -4.1 -2.1 -2.8
  Jan 25, 2023 324   The Citadel L 70-81 79%     8 - 11 4 - 5 -23.2 -6.9 -16.5
  Jan 28, 2023 350   @ VMI W 71-65 71%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -3.6 -8.2 +4.7
  Feb 01, 2023 136   Samford L 77-85 40%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -9.1 -0.4 -8.4
  Feb 04, 2023 177   Chattanooga W 83-68 49%     10 - 12 6 - 6 +11.4 +0.7 +9.8
  Feb 08, 2023 223   @ Wofford W 95-91 2OT 36%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +4.0 +0.7 +2.5
  Feb 11, 2023 90   @ Furman L 59-93 12%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -25.2 -16.5 -6.4
  Feb 15, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. W 68-66 62%     12 - 13 8 - 7 -5.0 -0.9 -4.0
  Feb 18, 2023 226   @ Mercer W 71-68 36%     13 - 13 9 - 7 +2.9 +1.3 +1.7
  Feb 22, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 52-71 18%     13 - 14 9 - 8 -13.0 -9.7 -5.2
  Feb 25, 2023 350   VMI W 85-66 86%     14 - 14 10 - 8 +3.5 +10.2 -4.9
  Mar 04, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. W 69-57 51%     15 - 14 +7.9 +6.0 +3.9
  Mar 05, 2023 90   Furman L 80-83 OT 18%     15 - 15 +2.8 +5.1 -2.2
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%