Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#324
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#308
Pace68.1#175
Improvement-1.5#300

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#301
First Shot-1.1#222
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#360
Layup/Dunks+1.2#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-1.0#291

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#313
First Shot-3.7#304
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#290
Layups/Dunks-1.3#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#270
Freethrows-0.8#259
Improvement-0.4#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 47 - 99 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 50   @ Clemson L 69-80 3%     0 - 1 +1.6 +3.6 -2.2
  Nov 10, 2022 335   Presbyterian W 70-58 67%     1 - 1 -1.8 -0.9 +0.4
  Nov 19, 2022 102   @ Butler L 42-89 7%     1 - 2 -39.5 -22.5 -18.4
  Nov 23, 2022 337   @ New Orleans W 72-65 46%     2 - 2 -1.1 -11.9 +10.2
  Nov 24, 2022 306   Denver L 71-74 44%     2 - 3 -10.8 -4.2 -6.7
  Nov 25, 2022 360   IUPUI W 74-53 71%     3 - 3 +6.1 -2.4 +9.9
  Nov 30, 2022 301   @ Charleston Southern W 76-73 32%     4 - 3 -1.5 -0.5 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2022 71   College of Charleston L 57-79 10%     4 - 4 -17.0 -14.4 -2.2
  Dec 13, 2022 39   @ North Carolina L 67-100 3%     4 - 5 -19.0 -4.8 -11.2
  Dec 17, 2022 175   Longwood L 70-75 29%     4 - 6 -8.5 +2.7 -11.7
  Dec 20, 2022 213   @ NC Central L 74-81 17%     4 - 7 -6.0 -1.1 -4.4
  Dec 29, 2022 177   Chattanooga W 76-68 30%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +4.4 +3.9 +1.0
  Dec 31, 2022 136   Samford L 63-75 22%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -13.1 -11.4 -1.8
  Jan 04, 2023 90   @ Furman L 72-97 6%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -16.2 -3.0 -12.0
  Jan 07, 2023 223   @ Wofford L 57-77 19%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -20.0 -21.7 +2.3
  Jan 11, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. L 74-96 42%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -29.0 -6.0 -21.8
  Jan 14, 2023 237   Western Carolina W 65-61 41%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -2.8 -6.6 +4.2
  Jan 19, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-70 9%     6 - 12 2 - 5 -4.0 -4.5 +0.2
  Jan 21, 2023 350   @ VMI W 60-52 51%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -1.6 -12.9 +12.3
  Jan 25, 2023 237   @ Western Carolina W 81-70 21%     8 - 12 4 - 5 +10.2 +9.6 +0.9
  Jan 28, 2023 226   Mercer L 65-74 38%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -15.0 -3.0 -12.8
  Jan 30, 2023 307   Chicago St. L 75-76 57%     8 - 14 -12.0 +0.9 -12.9
  Feb 02, 2023 350   VMI L 69-75 73%     8 - 15 4 - 7 -21.5 -4.0 -18.3
  Feb 04, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro L 59-79 19%     8 - 16 4 - 8 -20.0 -4.7 -17.4
  Feb 08, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga L 63-82 14%     8 - 17 4 - 9 -16.7 -12.1 -4.4
  Feb 11, 2023 136   @ Samford L 70-76 10%     8 - 18 4 - 10 -1.1 -5.8 +5.0
  Feb 15, 2023 90   Furman W 69-65 13%     9 - 18 5 - 10 +6.9 +2.0 +5.3
  Feb 18, 2023 223   Wofford L 68-72 38%     9 - 19 5 - 11 -9.9 -3.9 -6.5
  Feb 22, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. L 70-78 22%     9 - 20 5 - 12 -9.1 +2.4 -12.0
  Feb 25, 2023 226   @ Mercer L 50-72 19%     9 - 21 5 - 13 -22.1 -13.7 -11.6
  Mar 03, 2023 226   Mercer L 41-66 28%     9 - 22 -28.1 -26.7 -4.3
Projected Record 9 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%