Pre-tourney Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.7#16
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#32
Pace70.8#114
Improvement-1.1#277

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#13
First Shot+5.8#36
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#17
Layup/Dunks-0.3#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
Freethrows+3.4#9
Improvement-0.2#197

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#48
First Shot+3.9#60
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#61
Layups/Dunks+3.5#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#96
Freethrows-1.2#282
Improvement-0.9#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 1.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.8% n/a n/a
First Round97.6% n/a n/a
Second Round57.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen21.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight10.9% n/a n/a
Final Four4.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 111 - 11
Quad 1b5 - 26 - 13
Quad 26 - 112 - 14
Quad 31 - 013 - 14
Quad 46 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 275   Mount St. Mary's W 76-58 97%     1 - 0 +8.9 +1.8 +7.3
  Nov 11, 2022 67   @ Pittsburgh W 81-56 59%     2 - 0 +36.4 +14.2 +23.1
  Nov 15, 2022 252   Morehead St. W 75-57 97%     3 - 0 +10.1 -1.7 +11.6
  Nov 18, 2022 139   Penn W 92-58 91%     4 - 0 +32.8 +19.6 +14.5
  Nov 24, 2022 7   Purdue L 68-80 38%     4 - 1 +4.8 +3.9 +0.6
  Nov 25, 2022 245   Portland St. W 89-71 95%     5 - 1 +13.5 +6.3 +5.7
  Nov 27, 2022 54   Florida W 84-55 66%     6 - 1 +38.3 +10.6 +25.1
  Dec 03, 2022 13   @ Xavier L 74-84 36%     6 - 2 +7.5 +5.6 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2022 191   Navy W 85-64 94%     7 - 2 +17.0 +19.3 -0.2
  Dec 10, 2022 64   UAB W 81-70 78%     8 - 2 +16.6 +7.1 +9.1
  Dec 18, 2022 212   Buffalo W 96-78 95%     9 - 2 +13.0 +11.2 +0.1
  Dec 22, 2022 326   Stony Brook W 75-64 98%     10 - 2 -1.3 +3.4 -3.7
  Dec 31, 2022 23   @ Kansas St. L 76-82 OT 42%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +9.9 +2.0 +8.6
  Jan 02, 2023 41   @ Oklahoma St. L 60-67 50%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +6.7 -0.5 +7.0
  Jan 07, 2023 9   Kansas L 62-76 51%     10 - 5 0 - 3 -0.5 -1.6 +0.9
  Jan 11, 2023 14   Baylor L 78-83 59%     10 - 6 0 - 4 +6.4 +6.0 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2023 53   @ Oklahoma L 76-77 55%     10 - 7 0 - 5 +11.5 +16.9 -5.5
  Jan 18, 2023 21   TCU W 74-65 63%     11 - 7 1 - 5 +19.2 +9.1 +10.3
  Jan 21, 2023 5   Texas L 61-69 49%     11 - 8 1 - 6 +6.0 -5.8 +12.0
  Jan 25, 2023 48   @ Texas Tech W 76-61 53%     12 - 8 2 - 6 +27.8 +12.7 +15.8
  Jan 28, 2023 29   Auburn W 80-77 67%     13 - 8 +12.3 +11.9 +0.4
  Jan 31, 2023 21   @ TCU L 72-76 41%     13 - 9 2 - 7 +12.1 +10.3 +1.6
  Feb 04, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 93-61 75%     14 - 9 3 - 7 +38.5 +19.6 +17.4
  Feb 08, 2023 18   Iowa St. W 76-71 63%     15 - 9 4 - 7 +15.2 +9.3 +5.8
  Feb 11, 2023 5   @ Texas L 60-94 27%     15 - 10 4 - 8 -14.0 -4.5 -8.3
  Feb 13, 2023 14   @ Baylor L 67-79 36%     15 - 11 4 - 9 +5.4 +9.7 -6.4
  Feb 18, 2023 48   Texas Tech L 72-78 74%     15 - 12 4 - 10 +0.9 +3.5 -2.7
  Feb 20, 2023 41   Oklahoma St. W 85-67 72%     16 - 12 5 - 10 +25.7 +17.6 +7.7
  Feb 25, 2023 9   @ Kansas L 74-76 29%     16 - 13 5 - 11 +17.5 +8.8 +8.8
  Feb 27, 2023 18   @ Iowa St. W 72-69 40%     17 - 13 6 - 11 +19.2 +16.4 +3.0
  Mar 04, 2023 23   Kansas St. W 89-81 64%     18 - 13 7 - 11 +17.9 +10.6 +6.3
  Mar 08, 2023 48   Texas Tech W 78-62 65%     19 - 13 +25.8 +18.0 +9.5
  Mar 09, 2023 9   Kansas L 61-78 39%     19 - 14 -0.5 -3.1 +2.9
  Mar 16, 2023 25   Maryland W 71-70 54%    
Projected Record 20 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 97.8% 97.8% 9.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.7 18.3 37.3 29.4 5.4 0.0 2.2 97.8%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.8% 0.0% 97.8% 9.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.7 18.3 37.3 29.4 5.4 0.0 2.2 97.8%