Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.4#14
Expected Predictive Rating+15.7#10
Pace67.6#185
Improvement-0.1#190

Offense
Total Offense+11.7#2
First Shot+7.1#16
After Offensive Rebound+4.5#2
Layup/Dunks-4.2#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#14
Freethrows+2.0#36
Improvement+0.6#108

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#93
First Shot+2.1#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#110
Layups/Dunks+5.1#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#349
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#198
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement-0.6#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 17.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round84.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen50.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight24.2% n/a n/a
Final Four11.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.0% n/a n/a
National Champion2.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 66 - 6
Quad 1b5 - 411 - 10
Quad 24 - 015 - 10
Quad 30 - 015 - 10
Quad 47 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 117-53 99%     1 - 0 +46.4 +23.8 +15.2
  Nov 11, 2022 200   Norfolk St. W 87-70 95%     2 - 0 +12.5 +11.6 +1.3
  Nov 14, 2022 227   Northern Colorado W 95-62 96%     3 - 0 +26.9 +4.7 +18.3
  Nov 18, 2022 32   Virginia L 79-86 60%     3 - 1 +4.8 +17.5 -13.0
  Nov 20, 2022 3   UCLA W 80-75 34%     4 - 1 +23.6 +20.5 +3.2
  Nov 23, 2022 338   McNeese St. W 89-60 99%     5 - 1 +14.9 +9.9 +5.7
  Nov 29, 2022 11   @ Marquette L 70-96 34%     5 - 2 -7.5 +4.7 -12.4
  Dec 02, 2022 8   Gonzaga W 64-63 41%     6 - 2 +17.8 -8.9 +26.6
  Dec 06, 2022 164   Tarleton St. W 80-57 94%     7 - 2 +20.1 +6.8 +13.2
  Dec 18, 2022 62   Washington St. W 65-59 71%     8 - 2 +14.6 +5.9 +9.6
  Dec 20, 2022 225   Northwestern St. W 58-48 96%     9 - 2 +4.0 -11.0 +16.4
  Dec 28, 2022 271   Nicholls St. W 85-56 97%     10 - 2 +20.2 -1.1 +18.0
  Dec 31, 2022 18   @ Iowa St. L 62-77 43%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +1.2 +1.6 -0.8
  Jan 04, 2023 21   TCU L 87-88 66%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +9.2 +15.8 -6.6
  Jan 07, 2023 23   Kansas St. L 95-97 OT 67%     10 - 5 0 - 3 +7.9 +18.2 -10.0
  Jan 11, 2023 16   @ West Virginia W 83-78 41%     11 - 5 1 - 3 +21.7 +16.4 +5.2
  Jan 14, 2023 41   Oklahoma St. W 74-58 74%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +23.7 +14.0 +11.0
  Jan 17, 2023 48   @ Texas Tech W 81-74 56%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +19.8 +31.6 -10.3
  Jan 21, 2023 53   @ Oklahoma W 62-60 57%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +14.5 +4.7 +10.1
  Jan 23, 2023 9   Kansas W 75-69 53%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +19.5 +14.5 +5.4
  Jan 28, 2023 17   Arkansas W 67-64 65%     16 - 5 +13.3 +7.6 +6.0
  Jan 30, 2023 5   @ Texas L 71-76 29%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +15.0 +10.0 +4.9
  Feb 04, 2023 48   Texas Tech W 89-62 76%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +33.9 +19.4 +14.4
  Feb 08, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 82-72 77%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +16.5 +14.3 +2.4
  Feb 11, 2023 21   @ TCU W 72-68 43%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +20.1 +15.1 +5.3
  Feb 13, 2023 16   West Virginia W 79-67 64%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +22.7 +23.3 +1.5
  Feb 18, 2023 9   @ Kansas L 71-87 31%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +3.5 +12.7 -10.0
  Feb 21, 2023 23   @ Kansas St. L 65-75 44%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +5.9 +6.1 -1.0
  Feb 25, 2023 5   Texas W 81-72 51%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +23.0 +9.6 +12.7
  Feb 27, 2023 41   @ Oklahoma St. W 74-68 53%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +19.7 +21.8 -1.3
  Mar 04, 2023 18   Iowa St. L 58-73 66%     22 - 9 11 - 7 -4.8 -4.0 -1.6
  Mar 09, 2023 18   Iowa St. L 72-78 55%     22 - 10 +7.2 +17.8 -11.4
  Mar 17, 2023 108   UC Santa Barbara W 79-69 83%    
Projected Record 23 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.0 1.1 16.7 65.3 16.4 0.5 0.0 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 1.1 16.7 65.3 16.4 0.5 0.0 100.0%