Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.5#11
Expected Predictive Rating+18.4#6
Pace70.8#113
Improvement+0.3#152

Offense
Total Offense+10.1#6
First Shot+9.5#5
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#128
Layup/Dunks+9.1#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#29
Freethrows+0.8#101
Improvement-0.8#267

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#44
First Shot+5.6#35
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#186
Layups/Dunks+1.4#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#194
Freethrows+2.6#18
Improvement+1.1#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.6% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 11.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 61.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen57.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight31.3% n/a n/a
Final Four15.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game7.3% n/a n/a
National Champion3.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 35 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 28 - 5
Quad 26 - 014 - 5
Quad 36 - 120 - 6
Quad 48 - 028 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 186   Radford W 79-69 95%     1 - 0 +6.1 -5.0 +10.0
  Nov 10, 2022 329   Central Michigan W 97-73 99%     2 - 0 +11.2 +7.0 +0.7
  Nov 15, 2022 7   @ Purdue L 70-75 34%     2 - 1 +14.8 +9.3 +5.2
  Nov 17, 2022 363   LIU Brooklyn W 95-58 99.8%    3 - 1 +13.4 +0.1 +8.5
  Nov 21, 2022 49   Mississippi St. L 55-58 71%     3 - 2 +6.7 -5.0 +11.5
  Nov 23, 2022 143   Georgia Tech W 84-60 90%     4 - 2 +25.5 +10.7 +14.3
  Nov 26, 2022 307   Chicago St. W 82-68 98%     5 - 2 +3.0 -4.0 +6.0
  Nov 29, 2022 14   Baylor W 96-70 66%     6 - 2 +37.4 +25.2 +12.4
  Dec 03, 2022 61   Wisconsin L 77-80 OT 82%     6 - 3 +2.9 +11.2 -8.4
  Dec 06, 2022 213   NC Central W 90-78 96%     7 - 3 +7.0 +13.6 -7.1
  Dec 11, 2022 149   @ Notre Dame W 79-64 85%     8 - 3 +19.2 +16.8 +4.6
  Dec 16, 2022 12   Creighton W 69-58 64%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +22.7 +1.2 +21.3
  Dec 20, 2022 36   @ Providence L 98-103 2OT 55%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +9.3 +11.7 -1.5
  Dec 27, 2022 58   Seton Hall W 83-69 81%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +20.1 +21.8 -0.8
  Dec 31, 2022 55   @ Villanova W 68-66 62%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +14.3 +8.3 +6.2
  Jan 03, 2023 80   @ St. John's W 96-85 69%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +21.4 +22.1 -1.7
  Jan 07, 2023 209   Georgetown W 95-73 96%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +17.1 +14.2 +1.7
  Jan 11, 2023 4   Connecticut W 82-76 53%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +20.7 +16.6 +4.2
  Jan 15, 2023 13   @ Xavier L 76-80 42%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +13.5 +9.7 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2023 36   Providence W 83-75 75%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +16.3 +17.0 -0.1
  Jan 21, 2023 58   @ Seton Hall W 74-53 63%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +33.1 +13.4 +20.5
  Jan 28, 2023 125   @ DePaul W 89-69 83%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +25.3 +21.0 +5.0
  Feb 01, 2023 55   Villanova W 73-64 81%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +15.3 +5.8 +10.0
  Feb 04, 2023 102   Butler W 60-52 90%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +9.6 -4.8 +14.8
  Feb 07, 2023 4   @ Connecticut L 72-87 31%     19 - 6 11 - 3 +5.7 +10.6 -5.4
  Feb 11, 2023 209   @ Georgetown W 89-75 91%     20 - 6 12 - 3 +15.0 +11.8 +2.5
  Feb 15, 2023 13   Xavier W 69-68 65%     21 - 6 13 - 3 +12.5 +0.7 +11.9
  Feb 21, 2023 12   @ Creighton W 73-71 42%     22 - 6 14 - 3 +19.7 +11.1 +8.6
  Feb 25, 2023 125   DePaul W 90-84 93%     23 - 6 15 - 3 +5.3 +11.8 -6.7
  Feb 28, 2023 102   @ Butler W 72-56 78%     24 - 6 16 - 3 +23.5 +14.3 +11.0
  Mar 04, 2023 80   St. John's W 96-94 85%     25 - 6 17 - 3 +6.4 +15.9 -9.7
  Mar 09, 2023 80   @ St. John's W 72-70 OT 69%     26 - 6 +12.4 -5.2 +17.3
  Mar 10, 2023 4   Connecticut W 70-68 42%     27 - 6 +19.7 +18.2 +1.9
  Mar 11, 2023 13   Xavier W 65-51 54%     28 - 6 +28.5 +1.4 +28.2
  Mar 17, 2023 120   Vermont W 79-66 88%    
Projected Record 29 - 6 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.3 11.6 50.3 34.8 3.2 0.0 0.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.3 11.6 50.3 34.8 3.2 0.0 0.0