Pre-tourney Rankings
Creighton
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.7#12
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#28
Pace69.2#152
Improvement-0.3#219

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#27
First Shot+6.8#18
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#185
Layup/Dunks+3.6#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#40
Freethrows+1.2#78
Improvement-0.6#250

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#14
First Shot+5.5#37
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#6
Layups/Dunks+0.3#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#57
Freethrows+4.3#2
Improvement+0.3#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 10.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 65.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.3% n/a n/a
Second Round67.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen34.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight16.9% n/a n/a
Final Four7.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.6% n/a n/a
National Champion1.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 23 - 9
Quad 27 - 210 - 11
Quad 35 - 115 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 220   St. Thomas W 72-60 96%     1 - 0 +6.5 -2.4 +9.5
  Nov 10, 2022 276   North Dakota W 96-61 98%     2 - 0 +25.8 +18.5 +7.8
  Nov 14, 2022 340   Holy Cross W 94-65 99%     3 - 0 +14.7 +12.1 +1.5
  Nov 17, 2022 146   UC Riverside W 80-51 93%     4 - 0 +27.4 +11.1 +18.3
  Nov 21, 2022 48   Texas Tech W 76-65 68%     5 - 0 +20.8 +16.3 +5.7
  Nov 22, 2022 17   Arkansas W 90-87 56%     6 - 0 +16.2 +15.8 +0.1
  Nov 23, 2022 10   Arizona L 79-81 44%     6 - 1 +14.4 +7.1 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2022 5   @ Texas L 67-72 30%     6 - 2 +15.0 +2.7 +12.5
  Dec 04, 2022 89   Nebraska L 53-63 86%     6 - 3 -7.0 -18.0 +11.3
  Dec 10, 2022 77   BYU L 80-83 75%     6 - 4 +4.6 -0.4 +5.5
  Dec 12, 2022 66   Arizona St. L 71-73 73%     6 - 5 +6.5 +6.1 +0.3
  Dec 16, 2022 11   @ Marquette L 58-69 36%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +7.5 -9.1 +16.8
  Dec 22, 2022 102   Butler W 78-56 89%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +23.6 +13.5 +11.2
  Dec 25, 2022 125   DePaul W 80-65 92%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +14.3 +2.5 +11.3
  Jan 03, 2023 58   Seton Hall W 83-61 79%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +28.1 +19.8 +9.2
  Jan 07, 2023 4   @ Connecticut L 60-69 28%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +11.7 +0.2 +10.9
  Jan 11, 2023 13   @ Xavier L 87-90 39%     9 - 8 3 - 3 +14.5 +12.6 +2.1
  Jan 14, 2023 36   Providence W 73-67 73%     10 - 8 4 - 3 +14.3 +3.2 +11.3
  Jan 17, 2023 102   @ Butler W 73-52 75%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +28.5 +14.3 +16.2
  Jan 25, 2023 80   St. John's W 104-76 83%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +32.4 +27.4 +3.0
  Jan 28, 2023 13   Xavier W 84-67 62%     13 - 8 7 - 3 +28.5 +16.2 +12.8
  Feb 01, 2023 209   @ Georgetown W 63-53 89%     14 - 8 8 - 3 +11.0 -7.5 +18.9
  Feb 04, 2023 55   Villanova W 66-61 79%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +11.3 +2.0 +9.8
  Feb 08, 2023 58   @ Seton Hall W 75-62 60%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +25.1 +20.0 +6.5
  Feb 11, 2023 4   Connecticut W 56-53 50%     17 - 8 11 - 3 +17.7 -1.7 +19.9
  Feb 14, 2023 36   @ Providence L 86-94 2OT 52%     17 - 9 11 - 4 +6.3 +1.2 +6.7
  Feb 18, 2023 80   @ St. John's W 77-67 66%     18 - 9 12 - 4 +20.4 +7.5 +12.5
  Feb 21, 2023 11   Marquette L 71-73 58%     18 - 10 12 - 5 +10.5 +3.6 +6.9
  Feb 25, 2023 55   @ Villanova L 67-79 59%     18 - 11 12 - 6 +0.3 +7.0 -8.1
  Mar 01, 2023 209   Georgetown W 99-59 96%     19 - 11 13 - 6 +35.1 +23.1 +11.9
  Mar 04, 2023 125   @ DePaul W 84-70 81%     20 - 11 14 - 6 +19.3 +8.6 +10.1
  Mar 09, 2023 55   Villanova W 87-74 70%     21 - 11 +22.3 +17.3 +4.9
  Mar 10, 2023 13   Xavier L 60-82 51%     21 - 12 -7.5 -7.3 -0.7
  Mar 17, 2023 45   North Carolina St. W 76-72 66%    
Projected Record 22 - 12 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 99.3% 99.3% 6.0 0.0 1.3 9.6 22.8 31.7 25.5 7.2 1.2 0.1 0.7 99.3%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.3% 0.0% 99.3% 6.0 0.0 1.3 9.6 22.8 31.7 25.5 7.2 1.2 0.1 0.7 99.3%