Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#10
Expected Predictive Rating+17.3#9
Pace79.2#7
Improvement-0.2#203

Offense
Total Offense+10.5#4
First Shot+9.4#6
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#89
Layup/Dunks+6.3#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#84
Freethrows+1.7#55
Improvement-1.2#303

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#38
First Shot+4.2#53
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#47
Layups/Dunks+5.5#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#249
Freethrows+2.0#44
Improvement+0.9#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 28.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen60.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight33.3% n/a n/a
Final Four17.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game8.7% n/a n/a
National Champion4.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 15 - 1
Quad 1b4 - 19 - 2
Quad 27 - 416 - 6
Quad 35 - 021 - 6
Quad 47 - 028 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 271   Nicholls St. W 117-75 98%     1 - 0 +33.2 +16.5 +8.0
  Nov 11, 2022 291   Southern W 95-78 98%     2 - 0 +7.3 +3.6 +0.6
  Nov 17, 2022 158   Utah Tech W 104-77 95%     3 - 0 +24.3 +16.6 +4.6
  Nov 21, 2022 52   Cincinnati W 101-93 74%     4 - 0 +17.6 +23.4 -6.6
  Nov 22, 2022 20   San Diego St. W 87-70 62%     5 - 0 +30.2 +16.4 +12.5
  Nov 23, 2022 12   Creighton W 81-79 56%     6 - 0 +16.7 +11.1 +5.5
  Dec 01, 2022 70   @ Utah L 66-81 69%     6 - 1 0 - 1 -3.9 -5.0 +2.4
  Dec 04, 2022 243   California W 81-68 98%     7 - 1 1 - 1 +5.7 +11.1 -4.8
  Dec 10, 2022 24   Indiana W 89-75 64%     8 - 1 +26.7 +22.4 +4.4
  Dec 13, 2022 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 99-61 96%     9 - 1 +33.9 +14.3 +16.4
  Dec 17, 2022 6   Tennessee W 75-70 59%     10 - 1 +18.9 +11.0 +7.8
  Dec 20, 2022 117   Montana St. W 85-64 93%     11 - 1 +21.1 +6.5 +12.7
  Dec 22, 2022 322   Morgan St. W 93-68 99%     12 - 1 +12.8 +14.2 -2.1
  Dec 31, 2022 66   @ Arizona St. W 69-60 68%     13 - 1 2 - 1 +20.5 +4.2 +16.2
  Jan 05, 2023 100   Washington W 70-67 91%     14 - 1 3 - 1 +4.8 -0.7 +5.5
  Jan 07, 2023 62   Washington St. L 61-74 84%     14 - 2 3 - 2 -7.3 -4.8 -3.4
  Jan 12, 2023 196   @ Oregon St. W 86-74 91%     15 - 2 4 - 2 +13.7 +12.3 +0.8
  Jan 14, 2023 47   @ Oregon L 68-87 63%     15 - 3 4 - 3 -6.0 -2.0 -3.4
  Jan 19, 2023 42   USC W 81-66 79%     16 - 3 5 - 3 +22.7 +6.4 +15.3
  Jan 21, 2023 3   UCLA W 58-52 53%     17 - 3 6 - 3 +21.6 -1.3 +23.2
  Jan 26, 2023 62   @ Washington St. W 63-58 68%     18 - 3 7 - 3 +16.6 -6.2 +22.6
  Jan 28, 2023 100   @ Washington W 95-72 79%     19 - 3 8 - 3 +30.7 +27.1 +3.5
  Feb 02, 2023 47   Oregon W 91-76 81%     20 - 3 9 - 3 +22.0 +19.7 +2.2
  Feb 04, 2023 196   Oregon St. W 84-52 96%     21 - 3 10 - 3 +27.7 +16.7 +13.1
  Feb 09, 2023 243   @ California W 85-62 94%     22 - 3 11 - 3 +21.6 +12.8 +8.5
  Feb 11, 2023 86   @ Stanford L 79-88 74%     22 - 4 11 - 4 +0.8 +11.9 -11.5
  Feb 16, 2023 70   Utah W 88-62 85%     23 - 4 12 - 4 +31.2 +17.9 +12.7
  Feb 18, 2023 59   Colorado W 78-68 83%     24 - 4 13 - 4 +16.0 +7.0 +8.5
  Feb 25, 2023 66   Arizona St. L 88-89 84%     24 - 5 13 - 5 +4.5 +13.8 -9.2
  Mar 02, 2023 42   @ USC W 87-81 60%     25 - 5 14 - 5 +19.7 +19.9 -0.3
  Mar 04, 2023 3   @ UCLA L 73-82 31%     25 - 6 14 - 6 +12.6 +6.9 +6.5
  Mar 09, 2023 86   Stanford W 95-84 82%     26 - 6 +17.8 +18.1 -0.9
  Mar 10, 2023 66   Arizona St. W 78-59 77%     27 - 6 +27.5 +13.8 +14.1
  Mar 11, 2023 3   UCLA W 61-59 41%     28 - 6 +20.6 +3.0 +17.6
  Mar 16, 2023 114   Princeton W 86-73 88%    
Projected Record 29 - 6 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.8 2.3 25.8 59.9 11.8 0.3 0.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.8 2.3 25.8 59.9 11.8 0.3 0.0