Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana St.
Big Sky
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#117
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#104
Pace66.4#221
Improvement+0.9#97

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#175
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#210
Layup/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#319
Freethrows+4.0#3
Improvement+0.8#83

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#85
First Shot+2.7#89
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#128
Layups/Dunks+2.2#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#16
Freethrows-1.5#299
Improvement+0.1#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 12 - 3
Quad 36 - 58 - 8
Quad 415 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 113   @ Grand Canyon L 54-60 36%     0 - 1 +0.8 -10.4 +10.3
  Nov 13, 2022 162   @ Long Beach St. W 70-57 50%     1 - 1 +16.1 +1.7 +15.0
  Nov 15, 2022 47   @ Oregon L 51-81 17%     1 - 2 -17.0 -16.1 -1.2
  Nov 20, 2022 276   @ North Dakota W 81-71 73%     2 - 2 +6.7 +9.0 -1.8
  Nov 25, 2022 119   UNC Greensboro L 66-77 50%     2 - 3 -8.0 -3.4 -4.4
  Nov 26, 2022 187   Quinnipiac L 53-70 65%     2 - 4 -17.9 -19.5 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2022 122   Middle Tennessee L 71-72 51%     2 - 5 +1.8 -1.3 +3.1
  Nov 30, 2022 115   @ Southern Utah W 86-83 37%     3 - 5 +9.4 +6.1 +3.0
  Dec 08, 2022 220   St. Thomas W 82-65 79%     4 - 5 +11.5 +3.7 +7.8
  Dec 10, 2022 318   Nebraska Omaha W 82-54 91%     5 - 5 +16.2 +9.9 +8.9
  Dec 20, 2022 10   @ Arizona L 64-85 7%     5 - 6 -1.7 -7.0 +7.2
  Dec 29, 2022 305   Idaho W 72-58 89%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +3.3 -2.3 +6.8
  Dec 31, 2022 138   Eastern Washington L 67-70 66%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -4.2 -6.0 +1.7
  Jan 05, 2023 227   @ Northern Colorado W 77-56 62%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +20.9 +0.3 +20.3
  Jan 07, 2023 224   @ Northern Arizona W 69-54 62%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +15.0 -6.5 +21.6
  Jan 12, 2023 257   Idaho St. W 81-68 85%     9 - 7 4 - 1 +4.8 +7.4 -2.0
  Jan 14, 2023 198   Weber St. W 67-52 76%     10 - 7 5 - 1 +10.6 +1.2 +10.9
  Jan 16, 2023 305   @ Idaho L 70-74 77%     10 - 8 5 - 2 -8.7 -10.3 +1.8
  Jan 21, 2023 168   @ Montana W 67-64 51%     11 - 8 6 - 2 +5.8 +2.8 +3.4
  Jan 26, 2023 245   @ Portland St. W 75-66 67%     12 - 8 7 - 2 +7.4 +5.6 +2.4
  Jan 28, 2023 231   @ Sacramento St. W 72-65 63%     13 - 8 8 - 2 +6.5 +8.3 -0.8
  Feb 02, 2023 224   Northern Arizona W 69-68 80%     14 - 8 9 - 2 -5.0 +1.8 -6.6
  Feb 04, 2023 227   Northern Colorado W 75-62 81%     15 - 8 10 - 2 +6.9 +5.8 +2.8
  Feb 09, 2023 198   @ Weber St. L 63-73 56%     15 - 9 10 - 3 -8.5 -0.8 -8.6
  Feb 11, 2023 257   @ Idaho St. W 58-52 70%     16 - 9 11 - 3 +3.7 -9.8 +14.2
  Feb 18, 2023 168   Montana W 72-68 72%     17 - 9 12 - 3 +0.9 -1.7 +2.8
  Feb 23, 2023 231   Sacramento St. W 60-56 81%     18 - 9 13 - 3 -2.4 -8.0 +6.1
  Feb 25, 2023 245   Portland St. W 91-78 84%     19 - 9 14 - 3 +5.5 +3.5 +0.4
  Feb 27, 2023 138   @ Eastern Washington W 79-74 43%     20 - 9 15 - 3 +9.7 +13.4 -3.2
  Mar 05, 2023 227   Northern Colorado W 84-73 72%     21 - 9 +7.9 +6.7 +1.2
  Mar 07, 2023 198   Weber St. W 60-58 2OT 67%     22 - 9 +0.5 -14.8 +15.3
  Mar 08, 2023 224   Northern Arizona W 85-78 72%     23 - 9 +4.0 +10.4 -6.2
  Mar 17, 2023 23   Kansas St. L 64-74 18%    
Projected Record 23 - 10 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.3 0.1 13.4 44.7 41.6 0.2
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 13.4 44.7 41.6 0.2