Pre-tourney Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#187
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#178
Pace73.1#49
Improvement-3.0#357

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#199
First Shot-2.4#260
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#67
Layup/Dunks-2.0#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#80
Freethrows-1.2#288
Improvement-0.7#254

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#180
First Shot-0.2#181
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#168
Layups/Dunks+0.5#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#133
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-2.3#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 80.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 34 - 05 - 3
Quad 415 - 920 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 13, 2022 296   St. Peter's W 71-62 81%    
  Nov 07, 2022 239   @ Rhode Island W 67-62 50%     1 - 0 +4.1 -6.7 +10.6
  Nov 10, 2022 333   @ Stonehill W 102-95 74%     2 - 0 -0.6 +21.1 -22.2
  Nov 13, 2022 339   @ Central Connecticut St. W 72-70 76%     3 - 0 -6.3 -6.1 -0.3
  Nov 15, 2022 272   Dartmouth W 81-72 78%     4 - 0 +0.0 -3.0 +2.2
  Nov 25, 2022 144   Stephen F. Austin W 58-44 41%     5 - 0 +15.4 -14.2 +29.4
  Nov 26, 2022 117   Montana St. W 70-53 35%     6 - 0 +20.0 +1.0 +19.2
  Nov 27, 2022 93   Hofstra L 70-72 28%     6 - 1 +3.3 -4.9 +8.3
  Dec 04, 2022 247   Niagara L 60-64 74%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -11.6 -4.3 -8.1
  Dec 07, 2022 340   @ Holy Cross W 75-71 76%     7 - 2 -4.3 +1.4 -5.6
  Dec 10, 2022 269   Lafayette W 76-63 77%     8 - 2 +4.3 +7.7 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2022 296   @ St. Peter's L 56-63 62%     8 - 3 0 - 2 -11.2 -12.4 +0.7
  Dec 22, 2022 40   @ Penn St. L 68-77 9%     8 - 4 +4.8 -0.9 +5.7
  Dec 30, 2022 205   Siena L 76-83 65%     8 - 5 0 - 3 -11.8 +0.7 -12.4
  Jan 01, 2023 304   @ Manhattan W 84-65 64%     9 - 5 1 - 3 +14.4 +12.7 +2.3
  Jan 06, 2023 206   @ Rider W 72-63 42%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +10.1 +3.0 +7.7
  Jan 08, 2023 76   Iona W 81-58 29%     11 - 5 3 - 3 +27.7 +12.1 +16.0
  Jan 13, 2023 296   St. Peter's W 58-51 81%     12 - 5 4 - 3 -3.1 -11.9 +9.5
  Jan 15, 2023 275   @ Mount St. Mary's W 58-51 59%     13 - 5 5 - 3 +3.9 -12.7 +16.7
  Jan 22, 2023 249   Canisius W 87-82 75%     14 - 5 6 - 3 -2.8 +5.0 -8.1
  Jan 29, 2023 76   @ Iona L 72-78 14%     14 - 6 6 - 4 +4.6 -0.7 +5.8
  Jan 31, 2023 283   Marist W 72-66 79%     15 - 6 7 - 4 -3.4 -1.9 -1.4
  Feb 03, 2023 255   Fairfield W 66-51 75%     16 - 6 8 - 4 +6.9 -6.1 +13.8
  Feb 05, 2023 275   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 78%     16 - 7 8 - 5 -13.1 +2.4 -15.6
  Feb 10, 2023 247   @ Niagara L 73-79 OT 53%     16 - 8 8 - 6 -7.6 -8.7 +1.8
  Feb 12, 2023 249   @ Canisius L 65-85 54%     16 - 9 8 - 7 -21.9 -9.2 -12.6
  Feb 17, 2023 205   @ Siena W 66-63 42%     17 - 9 9 - 7 +4.2 -3.4 +7.6
  Feb 19, 2023 206   Rider W 90-88 2OT 65%     18 - 9 10 - 7 -2.8 -3.9 +0.7
  Feb 26, 2023 304   Manhattan L 70-72 82%     18 - 10 10 - 8 -12.6 -9.4 -3.1
  Mar 02, 2023 255   @ Fairfield L 82-92 55%     18 - 11 10 - 9 -12.1 +11.0 -23.3
  Mar 04, 2023 283   @ Marist W 88-76 60%     19 - 11 11 - 9 +8.6 +21.1 -11.7
  Mar 09, 2023 283   Marist L 59-75 70%     19 - 12 -22.4 -10.4 -13.4
Projected Record 20 - 12 12 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 19.2 80.8 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 19.2 80.8 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 80.8% 80.8
11-9 19.2% 19.2
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 80.8%
Lose Out 19.2%