Pre-tourney Rankings
Kansas St.
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#23
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#15
Pace73.4#44
Improvement+0.7#123

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#53
First Shot+5.3#42
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#196
Layup/Dunks+6.6#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#251
Freethrows+2.6#20
Improvement-0.1#183

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#19
First Shot+7.1#17
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#98
Layups/Dunks+3.9#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#95
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement+0.7#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 61.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round72.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen38.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.2% n/a n/a
Final Four5.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 39 - 8
Quad 24 - 113 - 9
Quad 33 - 016 - 9
Quad 47 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 254   UT Rio Grande Valley W 93-59 96%     1 - 0 +25.9 +3.5 +18.3
  Nov 11, 2022 243   @ California W 63-54 90%     2 - 0 +7.6 -7.0 +14.7
  Nov 17, 2022 309   UMKC W 69-53 98%     3 - 0 +4.9 -2.1 +8.2
  Nov 21, 2022 239   Rhode Island W 77-57 93%     4 - 0 +16.1 +3.1 +12.6
  Nov 22, 2022 56   Nevada W 96-87 OT 64%     5 - 0 +18.1 +23.4 -5.8
  Nov 23, 2022 126   LSU W 61-59 84%     6 - 0 +4.3 -8.7 +13.1
  Nov 30, 2022 102   @ Butler L 64-76 70%     6 - 1 -4.5 +0.9 -5.9
  Dec 03, 2022 99   Wichita St. W 55-50 85%     7 - 1 +6.8 -10.1 +17.4
  Dec 06, 2022 204   Abilene Christian W 81-64 94%     8 - 1 +12.3 +7.5 +5.3
  Dec 11, 2022 342   Incarnate Word W 98-50 99%     9 - 1 +33.5 +18.7 +14.9
  Dec 17, 2022 89   Nebraska W 71-56 82%     10 - 1 +18.0 +0.1 +17.7
  Dec 21, 2022 186   Radford W 73-65 93%     11 - 1 +4.1 +3.2 +1.5
  Dec 31, 2022 16   West Virginia W 82-76 OT 58%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +16.7 +1.7 +14.2
  Jan 03, 2023 5   @ Texas W 116-103 25%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +33.0 +36.7 -5.7
  Jan 07, 2023 14   @ Baylor W 97-95 OT 33%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +19.4 +17.9 +1.3
  Jan 10, 2023 41   Oklahoma St. W 65-57 69%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +15.7 -1.2 +16.8
  Jan 14, 2023 21   @ TCU L 68-82 38%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +2.1 -0.8 +4.0
  Jan 17, 2023 9   Kansas W 83-82 OT 47%     16 - 2 5 - 1 +14.5 +8.4 +6.1
  Jan 21, 2023 48   Texas Tech W 68-58 72%     17 - 2 6 - 1 +16.9 +4.1 +13.6
  Jan 24, 2023 18   @ Iowa St. L 76-80 37%     17 - 3 6 - 2 +12.2 +18.1 -6.1
  Jan 28, 2023 54   Florida W 64-50 74%     18 - 3 +20.3 -5.8 +25.6
  Jan 31, 2023 9   @ Kansas L 78-90 26%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +7.5 +6.5 +2.4
  Feb 04, 2023 5   Texas L 66-69 46%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +11.0 +0.3 +10.7
  Feb 07, 2023 21   TCU W 82-61 60%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +31.2 +9.8 +20.0
  Feb 11, 2023 48   @ Texas Tech L 63-71 50%     19 - 6 7 - 5 +4.8 -10.3 +16.0
  Feb 14, 2023 53   @ Oklahoma L 65-79 52%     19 - 7 7 - 6 -1.5 +1.8 -3.9
  Feb 18, 2023 18   Iowa St. W 61-55 60%     20 - 7 8 - 6 +16.2 +0.9 +15.8
  Feb 21, 2023 14   Baylor W 75-65 56%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +21.4 +8.8 +13.3
  Feb 25, 2023 41   @ Oklahoma St. W 73-68 47%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +18.7 +9.7 +9.0
  Mar 01, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 85-69 73%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +22.5 +14.8 +7.5
  Mar 04, 2023 16   @ West Virginia L 81-89 36%     23 - 8 11 - 7 +8.7 +4.0 +5.7
  Mar 09, 2023 21   TCU L 67-80 49%     23 - 9 +0.1 +0.3 +0.1
  Mar 17, 2023 117   Montana St. W 74-64 82%    
Projected Record 24 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.2 14.5 46.8 33.4 4.9 0.2 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.2 14.5 46.8 33.4 4.9 0.2 100.0%