Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#56
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#49
Pace65.6#250
Improvement-0.9#264

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#69
First Shot+5.5#40
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#273
Layup/Dunks+1.1#124
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#210
Freethrows+3.5#8
Improvement-0.4#231

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#56
First Shot+2.8#87
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#19
Layups/Dunks+2.5#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#210
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-0.6#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 59.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 59.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.8% n/a n/a
First Round52.4% n/a n/a
Second Round19.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 14 - 5
Quad 23 - 37 - 8
Quad 311 - 218 - 10
Quad 43 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 158   Utah Tech W 84-71 86%     1 - 0 +10.3 +4.8 +4.9
  Nov 12, 2022 113   Grand Canyon W 59-46 78%     2 - 0 +13.8 -6.6 +22.5
  Nov 18, 2022 242   @ Texas Arlington W 62-43 83%     3 - 0 +17.8 -10.2 +27.9
  Nov 21, 2022 97   Tulane W 75-66 66%     4 - 0 +13.8 +3.8 +10.1
  Nov 22, 2022 23   Kansas St. L 87-96 OT 36%     4 - 1 +3.9 +17.7 -13.4
  Nov 23, 2022 109   Akron W 62-58 69%     5 - 1 +8.0 -3.3 +11.7
  Nov 28, 2022 81   Sam Houston St. W 78-60 68%     6 - 1 +22.3 +15.4 +8.1
  Dec 03, 2022 111   @ Loyola Marymount L 52-64 58%     6 - 2 -5.1 -13.2 +7.0
  Dec 06, 2022 185   @ Pepperdine W 85-77 75%     7 - 2 +10.1 +7.8 +1.8
  Dec 10, 2022 47   @ Oregon L 65-78 35%     7 - 3 +0.0 -2.1 +1.9
  Dec 14, 2022 253   UC San Diego W 64-56 94%     8 - 3 +0.0 -9.1 +9.6
  Dec 21, 2022 200   Norfolk St. W 78-66 89%     9 - 3 +7.5 +8.5 +0.3
  Dec 28, 2022 38   Boise St. W 74-72 54%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +10.1 +8.8 +1.3
  Dec 31, 2022 152   @ Air Force W 75-69 69%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +10.0 +7.8 +2.5
  Jan 04, 2023 105   Colorado St. W 80-69 77%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +12.4 +12.8 +0.6
  Jan 07, 2023 96   @ San Jose St. W 67-40 55%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +34.8 +2.1 +34.8
  Jan 10, 2023 20   @ San Diego St. L 65-74 25%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +7.1 +6.7 -0.2
  Jan 13, 2023 28   Utah St. W 85-70 49%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +24.4 +18.8 +6.3
  Jan 17, 2023 38   @ Boise St. L 62-77 32%     14 - 5 5 - 2 -0.9 +4.5 -7.0
  Jan 23, 2023 57   New Mexico W 97-94 2OT 61%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +9.1 +6.8 +1.8
  Jan 28, 2023 91   @ UNLV L 62-68 52%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +2.6 -9.8 +12.8
  Jan 31, 2023 20   San Diego St. W 75-66 46%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +19.2 +17.6 +2.5
  Feb 03, 2023 152   Air Force W 72-52 85%     17 - 6 8 - 3 +18.1 +9.1 +11.9
  Feb 07, 2023 57   @ New Mexico W 77-76 39%     18 - 6 9 - 3 +13.1 +11.5 +1.6
  Feb 10, 2023 132   Fresno St. W 77-66 83%     19 - 6 10 - 3 +10.1 +13.7 -2.6
  Feb 18, 2023 28   @ Utah St. L 66-75 27%     19 - 7 10 - 4 +6.3 -0.8 +7.0
  Feb 21, 2023 96   San Jose St. W 66-51 76%     20 - 7 11 - 4 +16.9 +8.7 +11.8
  Feb 24, 2023 132   @ Fresno St. W 60-56 65%     21 - 7 12 - 4 +9.0 -2.0 +11.4
  Feb 27, 2023 150   @ Wyoming L 71-80 68%     21 - 8 12 - 5 -4.8 -2.3 -2.3
  Mar 04, 2023 91   UNLV L 67-69 OT 73%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +0.7 -7.7 +8.5
  Mar 09, 2023 96   San Jose St. L 77-81 OT 66%     21 - 10 +0.8 +5.8 -5.0
  Mar 15, 2023 66   Arizona St. W 67-66 52%    
Projected Record 22 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 59.3% 59.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 8.2 22.3 26.6 0.5 40.7 59.3%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 59.3% 0.0% 59.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 8.2 22.3 26.6 0.5 40.7 59.3%