Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#152
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#172
Pace60.5#345
Improvement+0.7#121

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#161
First Shot+1.9#118
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#294
Layup/Dunks+1.4#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#65
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement+1.0#71

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#148
First Shot+1.7#116
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#292
Layups/Dunks-0.6#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#8
Freethrows-0.7#248
Improvement-0.3#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 7
Quad 22 - 42 - 11
Quad 33 - 35 - 14
Quad 49 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 281   @ Bowling Green L 58-62 67%     0 - 1 -7.4 -17.7 +10.2
  Nov 11, 2022 235   Delaware W 75-71 77%     1 - 1 -2.7 +1.3 -3.9
  Nov 14, 2022 314   Texas A&M - Commerce L 69-73 OT 88%     1 - 2 -15.5 -15.5 +0.3
  Nov 17, 2022 155   Portland L 51-64 62%     1 - 3 -15.1 -21.6 +5.2
  Nov 21, 2022 259   South Carolina Upstate W 83-56 81%     2 - 3 +18.8 +14.9 +6.2
  Nov 23, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 64-51 95%     3 - 3 -4.6 +9.0 -8.6
  Nov 27, 2022 168   Montana W 59-56 66%     4 - 3 -0.1 -8.5 +8.8
  Nov 30, 2022 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-53 90%     5 - 3 +14.9 +6.9 +8.9
  Dec 03, 2022 245   @ Portland St. L 64-68 60%     5 - 4 -5.6 -10.4 +4.9
  Dec 06, 2022 294   South Dakota W 79-58 85%     6 - 4 +11.0 +5.9 +6.9
  Dec 09, 2022 284   Arkansas St. W 80-55 84%     7 - 4 +15.6 +20.4 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2022 164   Tarleton St. W 81-67 65%     8 - 4 +11.1 +13.7 -1.7
  Dec 20, 2022 227   @ Northern Colorado W 67-65 55%     9 - 4 +1.9 -7.4 +9.3
  Dec 28, 2022 20   @ San Diego St. L 55-71 9%     9 - 5 0 - 1 +0.1 -0.1 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2022 56   Nevada L 69-75 31%     9 - 6 0 - 2 +0.1 +2.7 -2.8
  Jan 03, 2023 28   Utah St. L 65-77 21%     9 - 7 0 - 3 -2.6 -2.1 -1.2
  Jan 10, 2023 105   @ Colorado St. W 85-74 OT 27%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +18.4 +12.8 +5.5
  Jan 14, 2023 132   @ Fresno St. W 51-48 35%     11 - 7 2 - 3 +8.0 -5.5 +14.2
  Jan 17, 2023 150   Wyoming W 82-74 61%     12 - 7 3 - 3 +6.2 +11.1 -4.5
  Jan 21, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 60-70 19%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +0.2 +4.5 -6.0
  Jan 24, 2023 96   @ San Jose St. L 52-82 26%     12 - 9 3 - 5 -22.2 -6.7 -22.1
  Jan 27, 2023 57   @ New Mexico L 73-81 15%     12 - 10 3 - 6 +4.1 +5.9 -2.1
  Jan 31, 2023 38   Boise St. L 52-59 25%     12 - 11 3 - 7 +1.1 -4.4 +4.1
  Feb 03, 2023 56   @ Nevada L 52-72 15%     12 - 12 3 - 8 -7.9 -6.7 -4.2
  Feb 07, 2023 105   Colorado St. L 53-69 49%     12 - 13 3 - 9 -14.6 -8.4 -10.1
  Feb 10, 2023 57   New Mexico W 89-77 31%     13 - 13 4 - 9 +18.1 +19.1 -0.6
  Feb 14, 2023 28   @ Utah St. L 65-80 10%     13 - 14 4 - 10 +0.3 +0.6 -0.9
  Feb 17, 2023 150   @ Wyoming W 75-69 38%     14 - 14 5 - 10 +10.2 +7.3 +3.2
  Feb 21, 2023 132   Fresno St. L 69-74 58%     14 - 15 5 - 11 -5.9 +5.7 -12.2
  Feb 24, 2023 91   @ UNLV L 53-54 24%     14 - 16 5 - 12 +7.6 -10.9 +18.5
  Mar 04, 2023 96   San Jose St. L 61-63 47%     14 - 17 5 - 13 -0.1 -4.1 +3.7
  Mar 08, 2023 91   @ UNLV L 70-78 OT 24%     14 - 18 +0.6 -0.6 +1.6
Projected Record 14 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%