Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#105
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#123
Pace65.9#239
Improvement-0.3#211

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#60
First Shot+7.4#13
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#348
Layup/Dunks+5.0#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#86
Freethrows+0.7#119
Improvement+0.4#123

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#185
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#119
Layups/Dunks+2.5#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#321
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement-0.7#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 61 - 11
Quad 22 - 23 - 13
Quad 35 - 48 - 17
Quad 46 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 215   Gardner-Webb W 65-63 81%     1 - 0 -3.1 -6.0 +2.9
  Nov 11, 2022 266   SE Louisiana W 80-69 89%     2 - 0 +2.3 +6.0 -3.0
  Nov 14, 2022 198   Weber St. W 77-52 80%     3 - 0 +20.6 +6.8 +14.5
  Nov 17, 2022 199   South Carolina W 85-53 71%     4 - 0 +30.5 +10.0 +20.0
  Nov 18, 2022 71   @ College of Charleston L 64-74 26%     4 - 1 +1.0 -4.9 +6.1
  Nov 20, 2022 40   Penn St. L 56-68 27%     4 - 2 -1.2 -12.2 +10.5
  Nov 26, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 88-45 97%     5 - 2 +25.4 +5.4 +18.6
  Nov 30, 2022 111   Loyola Marymount W 87-71 63%     6 - 2 +17.0 +13.6 +3.3
  Dec 03, 2022 227   Northern Colorado L 83-88 84%     6 - 3 -11.1 +4.6 -15.7
  Dec 08, 2022 59   @ Colorado L 65-93 23%     6 - 4 -16.0 +2.9 -19.7
  Dec 18, 2022 15   @ St. Mary's W 62-60 12%     7 - 4 +19.1 +13.5 +6.1
  Dec 21, 2022 42   USC L 64-73 27%     7 - 5 +1.7 -5.0 +6.9
  Dec 28, 2022 57   @ New Mexico L 69-88 23%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -6.9 +0.1 -7.2
  Dec 31, 2022 96   San Jose St. L 70-78 60%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -6.1 +1.1 -7.8
  Jan 04, 2023 56   @ Nevada L 69-80 23%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +1.1 +9.0 -8.9
  Jan 07, 2023 132   Fresno St. W 79-57 70%     8 - 8 1 - 3 +21.1 +18.9 +5.2
  Jan 10, 2023 152   Air Force L 74-85 OT 73%     8 - 9 1 - 4 -12.9 +0.0 -12.8
  Jan 14, 2023 91   @ UNLV W 82-81 OT 34%     9 - 9 2 - 4 +9.6 +3.7 +5.7
  Jan 18, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 76-82 OT 29%     9 - 10 2 - 5 +4.2 +8.7 -4.4
  Jan 21, 2023 150   @ Wyoming L 57-58 51%     9 - 11 2 - 6 +3.2 -13.0 +16.1
  Jan 28, 2023 38   @ Boise St. L 59-80 18%     9 - 12 2 - 7 -6.9 +3.3 -13.1
  Jan 31, 2023 91   UNLV L 71-83 57%     9 - 13 2 - 8 -9.3 +3.2 -12.9
  Feb 04, 2023 28   Utah St. L 79-88 31%     9 - 14 2 - 9 +0.4 +9.9 -9.6
  Feb 07, 2023 152   @ Air Force W 69-53 51%     10 - 14 3 - 9 +20.0 +15.6 +8.5
  Feb 15, 2023 38   Boise St. L 78-80 36%     10 - 15 3 - 10 +6.1 +19.5 -13.6
  Feb 18, 2023 132   @ Fresno St. W 60-57 48%     11 - 15 4 - 10 +8.0 -1.7 +10.0
  Feb 21, 2023 20   @ San Diego St. L 58-77 14%     11 - 16 4 - 11 -2.9 +1.6 -6.5
  Feb 24, 2023 150   Wyoming W 84-71 72%     12 - 16 5 - 11 +11.2 +13.7 -1.7
  Feb 28, 2023 96   @ San Jose St. L 46-63 37%     12 - 17 5 - 12 -9.2 -15.7 +3.5
  Mar 03, 2023 57   New Mexico W 92-84 43%     13 - 17 6 - 12 +14.1 +20.3 -6.1
  Mar 08, 2023 132   Fresno St. W 67-65 59%     14 - 17 +4.0 +2.2 +2.0
  Mar 09, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 61-64 20%     14 - 18 +10.2 +0.9 +9.0
Projected Record 14 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%