Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#132
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#170
Pace61.8#331
Improvement+1.9#44

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#226
First Shot-0.1#183
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#278
Layup/Dunks+0.7#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#126
Freethrows-1.5#300
Improvement+2.1#27

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#79
First Shot+2.5#96
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#82
Layups/Dunks+5.1#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
Freethrows+0.0#184
Improvement-0.2#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 23 - 53 - 12
Quad 33 - 76 - 19
Quad 44 - 110 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 108   UC Santa Barbara L 54-61 42%     0 - 1 -2.9 -12.3 +8.5
  Nov 16, 2022 94   San Francisco L 60-67 50%     0 - 2 -4.8 -11.9 +7.0
  Nov 19, 2022 65   @ North Texas L 52-61 19%     0 - 3 +2.5 -3.5 +4.2
  Nov 23, 2022 100   Washington L 57-62 40%     0 - 4 -0.2 -11.7 +11.5
  Nov 24, 2022 79   Vanderbilt L 59-67 30%     0 - 5 -0.6 -9.0 +7.8
  Dec 03, 2022 104   @ UC Irvine W 80-66 30%     1 - 5 +21.5 +15.2 +6.9
  Dec 07, 2022 321   Cal St. Northridge W 65-56 90%     2 - 5 -3.0 -3.9 +2.0
  Dec 10, 2022 178   @ Pacific L 72-76 49%     2 - 6 -1.7 +2.9 -4.8
  Dec 17, 2022 231   Sacramento St. L 53-59 79%     2 - 7 -12.4 -16.5 +3.2
  Dec 20, 2022 287   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 56-48 71%     3 - 7 +4.5 -0.3 +6.9
  Dec 28, 2022 150   Wyoming W 58-53 64%     4 - 7 1 - 0 +3.2 -6.5 +10.7
  Dec 31, 2022 28   @ Utah St. L 54-67 11%     4 - 8 1 - 1 +2.3 -10.1 +11.7
  Jan 03, 2023 57   New Mexico W 71-67 35%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +10.1 -1.4 +11.5
  Jan 07, 2023 105   @ Colorado St. L 57-79 30%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -14.6 -7.0 -10.7
  Jan 10, 2023 96   @ San Jose St. L 64-74 29%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -2.2 +3.0 -6.6
  Jan 14, 2023 152   Air Force L 48-51 65%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -4.9 -14.9 +9.4
  Jan 21, 2023 91   UNLV W 76-63 48%     6 - 11 3 - 4 +15.7 +17.0 +0.6
  Jan 24, 2023 38   @ Boise St. L 53-63 13%     6 - 12 3 - 5 +4.1 -9.8 +13.7
  Jan 28, 2023 28   Utah St. L 53-70 24%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -7.6 -8.2 -2.4
  Jan 31, 2023 150   @ Wyoming L 62-85 42%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -18.8 -6.5 -13.6
  Feb 03, 2023 91   @ UNLV W 82-79 26%     7 - 14 4 - 7 +11.6 +18.0 -6.3
  Feb 07, 2023 96   San Jose St. W 70-62 51%     8 - 14 5 - 7 +9.9 +6.8 +4.2
  Feb 10, 2023 56   @ Nevada L 66-77 17%     8 - 15 5 - 8 +1.1 +6.0 -6.0
  Feb 15, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 43-45 22%     8 - 16 5 - 9 +8.2 -15.5 +23.4
  Feb 18, 2023 105   Colorado St. L 57-60 52%     8 - 17 5 - 10 -1.6 -11.8 +9.9
  Feb 21, 2023 152   @ Air Force W 74-69 42%     9 - 17 6 - 10 +9.0 +11.5 -1.9
  Feb 24, 2023 56   Nevada L 56-60 35%     9 - 18 6 - 11 +2.1 -8.0 +9.7
  Feb 28, 2023 57   @ New Mexico L 80-94 17%     9 - 19 6 - 12 -1.9 +8.8 -10.4
  Mar 04, 2023 307   Chicago St. W 108-72 88%     10 - 19 +25.0 +31.7 -5.4
  Mar 08, 2023 105   Colorado St. L 65-67 41%     10 - 20 +2.4 -3.8 +6.0
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%