Pre-tourney Rankings
North Texas
Conference USA
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#65
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#55
Pace52.7#363
Improvement+1.5#66

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#101
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#82
Layup/Dunks+0.7#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#119
Freethrows+0.9#98
Improvement+1.1#65

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#39
First Shot+5.4#39
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#130
Layups/Dunks+4.5#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#27
Freethrows-2.1#325
Improvement+0.4#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.9% n/a n/a
First Round4.3% n/a n/a
Second Round1.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 3
Quad 23 - 24 - 5
Quad 311 - 115 - 6
Quad 49 - 124 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2022 15   @ St. Mary's L 33-63 21%     0 - 1 -12.9 -20.5 -0.3
  Nov 19, 2022 132   Fresno St. W 61-52 81%     1 - 1 +8.1 +2.0 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2022 96   San Jose St. W 69-54 64%     2 - 1 +19.8 +17.9 +6.4
  Nov 26, 2022 162   Long Beach St. W 68-47 79%     3 - 1 +21.2 +4.3 +19.7
  Nov 27, 2022 157   UNC Wilmington L 51-55 78%     3 - 2 -3.6 -8.1 +3.6
  Dec 03, 2022 318   Nebraska Omaha W 75-45 96%     4 - 2 +18.2 +1.0 +19.5
  Dec 06, 2022 242   @ Texas Arlington W 60-57 82%     5 - 2 +1.8 +3.8 -1.2
  Dec 10, 2022 113   Grand Canyon W 60-58 68%     6 - 2 +5.8 -3.5 +9.6
  Dec 17, 2022 195   Massachusetts W 62-44 82%     7 - 2 +16.8 -6.5 +24.3
  Dec 22, 2022 293   @ Texas San Antonio W 78-54 87%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +20.1 +9.5 +12.9
  Dec 29, 2022 33   Florida Atlantic L 46-50 50%     8 - 3 1 - 1 +4.6 -13.7 +17.6
  Dec 31, 2022 219   Florida International W 72-57 90%     9 - 3 2 - 1 +9.6 +10.3 +2.1
  Jan 05, 2023 170   @ Western Kentucky W 70-66 71%     10 - 3 3 - 1 +6.7 +8.1 -0.9
  Jan 07, 2023 122   @ Middle Tennessee W 56-51 61%     11 - 3 4 - 1 +10.7 -3.6 +15.2
  Jan 11, 2023 163   Louisiana Tech W 67-65 86%     12 - 3 5 - 1 -0.9 +4.3 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2023 33   @ Florida Atlantic L 62-66 28%     12 - 4 5 - 2 +10.6 +12.4 -2.9
  Jan 16, 2023 219   @ Florida International W 64-57 78%     13 - 4 6 - 2 +7.5 +2.6 +6.1
  Jan 19, 2023 216   Rice L 60-72 89%     13 - 5 6 - 3 -17.1 -10.6 -8.1
  Jan 21, 2023 64   @ UAB W 63-52 38%     14 - 5 7 - 3 +22.6 +4.0 +20.2
  Jan 26, 2023 293   Texas San Antonio W 63-59 95%     15 - 5 8 - 3 -5.9 -4.7 -0.4
  Jan 28, 2023 188   UTEP W 52-42 87%     16 - 5 9 - 3 +6.1 -6.4 +15.0
  Feb 04, 2023 216   @ Rice W 74-64 77%     17 - 5 10 - 3 +10.8 +7.7 +4.3
  Feb 09, 2023 64   UAB W 82-79 2OT 61%     18 - 5 11 - 3 +8.6 +9.6 -1.0
  Feb 11, 2023 118   Charlotte W 67-43 79%     19 - 5 12 - 3 +24.0 +27.2 +8.8
  Feb 16, 2023 163   @ Louisiana Tech W 72-62 70%     20 - 5 13 - 3 +13.1 +14.9 +0.2
  Feb 18, 2023 188   @ UTEP W 80-72 OT 73%     21 - 5 14 - 3 +10.0 +16.1 -5.7
  Feb 23, 2023 118   @ Charlotte L 49-55 60%     21 - 6 14 - 4 +0.0 -6.9 +5.2
  Mar 02, 2023 122   Middle Tennessee W 64-50 80%     22 - 6 15 - 4 +13.8 +0.8 +15.0
  Mar 04, 2023 170   Western Kentucky W 67-33 86%     23 - 6 16 - 4 +30.7 +6.2 +31.6
  Mar 09, 2023 163   Louisiana Tech W 74-46 79%     24 - 6 +28.1 +7.6 +23.1
  Mar 10, 2023 64   UAB L 69-76 50%     24 - 7 +1.6 +3.1 -1.9
Projected Record 24 - 7 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 9.2% 9.2% 11.4 0.0 0.1 5.4 3.8 0.0 90.8 9.2%
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.2% 0.0% 9.2% 11.4 0.0 0.1 5.4 3.8 0.0 90.8 9.2%