Pre-tourney Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#231
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#232
Pace59.2#353
Improvement-1.5#306

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#205
First Shot-3.0#282
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#45
Layup/Dunks+2.4#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#338
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#190
Freethrows-2.4#343
Improvement-1.8#336

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#253
First Shot-3.0#281
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#109
Layups/Dunks-2.5#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#77
Freethrows+1.4#72
Improvement+0.3#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 101 - 15
Quad 411 - 312 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 3   @ UCLA L 50-76 2%     0 - 1 -4.4 -7.8 +2.5
  Nov 12, 2022 253   @ UC San Diego W 65-55 45%     1 - 1 +7.9 +3.4 +6.5
  Nov 14, 2022 306   @ Denver W 73-69 55%     2 - 1 -0.8 -0.5 -0.1
  Nov 22, 2022 160   UC Davis L 71-82 36%     2 - 2 -10.7 -4.0 -6.3
  Nov 25, 2022 130   Hawaii L 61-74 30%     2 - 3 -10.9 +7.5 -21.6
  Nov 26, 2022 115   Southern Utah L 87-91 2OT 25%     2 - 4 -0.5 -0.6 +0.8
  Dec 03, 2022 85   @ Santa Clara L 65-72 11%     2 - 5 +2.8 +3.7 -1.7
  Dec 07, 2022 306   Denver W 87-85 OT 76%     3 - 5 -8.7 +1.2 -10.1
  Dec 10, 2022 162   Long Beach St. W 76-74 47%     4 - 5 -0.8 -0.2 -0.7
  Dec 17, 2022 132   @ Fresno St. W 59-53 21%     5 - 5 +11.0 -0.8 +12.6
  Dec 21, 2022 127   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 49-59 21%     5 - 6 -4.8 -6.5 -0.9
  Dec 31, 2022 245   Portland St. W 74-63 65%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +3.5 +0.5 +3.5
  Jan 05, 2023 305   @ Idaho W 85-83 OT 55%     7 - 6 2 - 0 -2.7 +2.5 -5.3
  Jan 07, 2023 138   @ Eastern Washington L 75-78 22%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +1.7 +4.9 -3.3
  Jan 12, 2023 227   Northern Colorado W 72-64 60%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +1.9 -1.0 +3.6
  Jan 14, 2023 224   Northern Arizona W 59-56 60%     9 - 7 4 - 1 -3.0 -11.6 +9.1
  Jan 19, 2023 257   @ Idaho St. L 61-65 45%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -6.3 -4.7 -2.1
  Jan 21, 2023 198   @ Weber St. L 48-50 32%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -0.5 -15.1 +14.3
  Jan 26, 2023 168   Montana W 67-48 49%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +15.9 +16.0 +7.1
  Jan 28, 2023 117   Montana St. L 65-72 37%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -6.9 +2.9 -10.8
  Feb 02, 2023 138   Eastern Washington L 63-82 41%     10 - 11 5 - 5 -20.2 +0.4 -24.7
  Feb 04, 2023 305   Idaho L 76-82 OT 76%     10 - 12 5 - 6 -16.7 +3.3 -20.6
  Feb 09, 2023 224   @ Northern Arizona L 55-77 37%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -22.0 -12.3 -13.2
  Feb 11, 2023 227   @ Northern Colorado L 54-70 37%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -16.1 -18.6 +1.5
  Feb 16, 2023 198   Weber St. L 49-52 54%     10 - 15 5 - 9 -7.4 -13.1 +5.0
  Feb 18, 2023 257   Idaho St. W 70-65 68%     11 - 15 6 - 9 -3.2 -3.2 +0.3
  Feb 23, 2023 117   @ Montana St. L 56-60 19%     11 - 16 6 - 10 +2.0 -4.1 +5.5
  Feb 25, 2023 168   @ Montana L 72-74 27%     11 - 17 6 - 11 +0.8 +7.9 -7.4
  Feb 27, 2023 245   @ Portland St. W 76-74 43%     12 - 17 7 - 11 +0.4 -0.6 +0.9
  Mar 06, 2023 198   Weber St. L 64-70 42%     12 - 18 -7.5 +0.3 -8.4
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%