Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas A&M - Commerce
Southland
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#314
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#312
Pace64.7#273
Improvement-0.9#261

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#274
First Shot-1.1#220
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#325
Layup/Dunks+0.9#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#58
Freethrows-2.9#353
Improvement+1.4#51

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#326
First Shot-6.2#347
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#86
Layups/Dunks-4.0#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#218
Freethrows-3.1#351
Improvement-2.2#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 33 - 74 - 8
Quad 48 - 1212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 169   @ SMU L 60-77 15%     0 - 1 -14.3 -10.6 -3.7
  Nov 11, 2022 227   @ Northern Colorado L 77-80 21%     0 - 2 -3.1 +0.9 -4.0
  Nov 14, 2022 152   @ Air Force W 73-69 OT 12%     1 - 2 +8.0 -2.8 +10.6
  Nov 18, 2022 156   UNC Asheville L 64-72 20%     1 - 3 -7.4 -8.8 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2022 268   @ Georgia St. L 53-57 29%     1 - 4 -6.8 -8.6 +1.1
  Nov 20, 2022 176   Eastern Kentucky W 75-61 23%     2 - 4 +13.4 +3.1 +10.3
  Nov 30, 2022 130   @ Hawaii W 53-51 11%     3 - 4 +7.0 -11.9 +19.1
  Dec 04, 2022 306   @ Denver L 75-84 36%     3 - 5 -13.8 -1.1 -12.6
  Dec 06, 2022 150   @ Wyoming L 76-91 12%     3 - 6 -10.8 +1.6 -11.9
  Dec 10, 2022 204   @ Abilene Christian L 64-83 18%     3 - 7 -17.8 -4.5 -14.6
  Dec 19, 2022 236   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-85 23%     3 - 8 -17.8 -6.7 -10.5
  Dec 20, 2022 360   IUPUI L 52-62 73%     3 - 9 -24.9 -24.1 -1.8
  Dec 27, 2022 5   @ Texas L 72-97 1%     3 - 10 -5.0 +11.5 -17.1
  Dec 31, 2022 342   Incarnate Word W 82-74 OT 72%     4 - 10 1 - 0 -6.5 -2.2 -4.8
  Jan 05, 2023 271   Nicholls St. L 63-66 51%     4 - 11 1 - 1 -11.8 -7.3 -4.8
  Jan 07, 2023 338   @ McNeese St. W 82-80 OT 49%     5 - 11 2 - 1 -6.2 +3.8 -10.0
  Jan 12, 2023 354   @ Houston Christian L 59-68 58%     5 - 12 2 - 2 -19.5 -21.8 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2023 356   Lamar W 81-66 80%     6 - 12 3 - 2 -2.3 +6.5 -7.6
  Jan 19, 2023 337   @ New Orleans W 63-58 48%     7 - 12 4 - 2 -3.1 -11.7 +8.9
  Jan 21, 2023 266   @ SE Louisiana L 73-79 29%     7 - 13 4 - 3 -8.7 -1.4 -7.5
  Jan 26, 2023 356   @ Lamar W 62-57 61%     8 - 13 5 - 3 -6.4 -1.2 -3.9
  Jan 28, 2023 354   Houston Christian W 77-76 77%     9 - 13 6 - 3 -15.4 -3.5 -11.8
  Feb 04, 2023 338   McNeese St. W 60-58 71%     10 - 13 7 - 3 -12.1 -17.2 +5.2
  Feb 09, 2023 225   Northwestern St. L 82-88 41%     10 - 14 7 - 4 -12.0 +5.0 -17.1
  Feb 11, 2023 225   @ Northwestern St. L 64-72 21%     10 - 15 7 - 5 -8.1 -3.5 -5.4
  Feb 16, 2023 337   New Orleans L 78-84 70%     10 - 16 7 - 6 -20.0 -4.7 -15.1
  Feb 18, 2023 266   SE Louisiana L 76-78 OT 51%     10 - 17 7 - 7 -10.7 -5.7 -4.9
  Feb 20, 2023 271   @ Nicholls St. W 72-71 29%     11 - 17 8 - 7 -1.8 +0.2 -2.0
  Feb 23, 2023 193   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 84-80 17%     12 - 17 9 - 7 +5.8 +13.4 -7.4
  Feb 25, 2023 342   @ Incarnate Word L 75-79 50%     12 - 18 9 - 8 -12.6 -1.2 -11.4
  Mar 01, 2023 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 88-93 OT 34%     12 - 19 9 - 9 -9.1 +4.4 -13.1
  Mar 05, 2023 338   @ McNeese St. L 78-79 49%     12 - 20 -9.2 +3.5 -12.8
Projected Record 12 - 20 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%