Pre-tourney Rankings
Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#41
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#46
Pace68.8#162
Improvement+0.2#170

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#116
First Shot+0.7#160
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#81
Layup/Dunks+1.7#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#208
Freethrows+0.5#133
Improvement+0.3#138

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#11
First Shot+7.3#15
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#59
Layups/Dunks+5.4#18
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#128
Freethrows+0.0#185
Improvement-0.1#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four38.6% n/a n/a
First Round48.1% n/a n/a
Second Round20.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 111 - 11
Quad 1b5 - 16 - 12
Quad 24 - 210 - 14
Quad 33 - 113 - 15
Quad 45 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 242   Texas Arlington W 77-66 94%     1 - 0 +3.9 -4.2 +7.2
  Nov 10, 2022 137   Southern Illinois L 60-61 86%     1 - 1 -2.1 -7.4 +5.3
  Nov 13, 2022 273   @ Oakland W 91-62 90%     2 - 1 +25.9 +11.4 +13.5
  Nov 18, 2022 63   Central Florida L 56-60 OT 58%     2 - 2 +4.6 -14.0 +18.7
  Nov 20, 2022 125   DePaul W 82-78 79%     3 - 2 +6.3 +4.8 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2022 297   Tulsa W 82-56 96%     4 - 2 +15.8 -0.1 +14.5
  Nov 27, 2022 286   Prairie View W 78-53 96%     5 - 2 +15.5 +13.2 +4.9
  Dec 01, 2022 4   @ Connecticut L 64-74 17%     5 - 3 +10.7 +3.0 +7.3
  Dec 06, 2022 81   Sam Houston St. W 65-51 73%     6 - 3 +18.3 +9.0 +11.8
  Dec 11, 2022 74   Virginia Tech L 65-70 61%     6 - 4 +2.7 -5.0 +7.6
  Dec 17, 2022 99   Wichita St. W 59-49 72%     7 - 4 +14.8 -4.3 +20.0
  Dec 20, 2022 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 81-58 91%     8 - 4 +18.9 +0.2 +17.4
  Dec 31, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 67-69 20%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +17.5 +13.8 +3.4
  Jan 02, 2023 16   West Virginia W 67-60 50%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +17.7 +0.2 +17.8
  Jan 07, 2023 5   Texas L 46-56 37%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +4.0 -16.4 +19.9
  Jan 10, 2023 23   @ Kansas St. L 57-65 31%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +7.9 -7.1 +15.0
  Jan 14, 2023 14   @ Baylor L 58-74 26%     9 - 8 1 - 4 +1.4 -6.3 +6.4
  Jan 18, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 72-56 66%     10 - 8 2 - 4 +22.5 +3.2 +19.4
  Jan 21, 2023 18   Iowa St. W 61-59 52%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +12.2 +1.7 +10.7
  Jan 24, 2023 5   @ Texas L 75-89 19%     11 - 9 3 - 5 +6.0 +8.0 -1.2
  Jan 28, 2023 106   Mississippi W 82-60 81%     12 - 9 +23.3 +18.1 +7.2
  Feb 01, 2023 53   @ Oklahoma W 71-61 43%     13 - 9 4 - 5 +22.5 +5.9 +16.7
  Feb 04, 2023 21   TCU W 79-73 52%     14 - 9 5 - 5 +16.2 +6.0 +9.7
  Feb 08, 2023 48   Texas Tech W 71-68 65%     15 - 9 6 - 5 +9.9 +3.9 +6.1
  Feb 11, 2023 18   @ Iowa St. W 64-56 30%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +24.2 +4.5 +20.0
  Feb 14, 2023 9   Kansas L 76-87 39%     16 - 10 7 - 6 +2.5 +12.0 -9.5
  Feb 18, 2023 21   @ TCU L 75-100 30%     16 - 11 7 - 7 -8.9 +5.8 -12.9
  Feb 20, 2023 16   @ West Virginia L 67-85 28%     16 - 12 7 - 8 -1.3 -0.6 -0.4
  Feb 25, 2023 23   Kansas St. L 68-73 53%     16 - 13 7 - 9 +4.9 +0.8 +4.2
  Feb 27, 2023 14   Baylor L 68-74 47%     16 - 14 7 - 10 +5.4 +6.0 -1.4
  Mar 04, 2023 48   @ Texas Tech W 71-68 42%     17 - 14 8 - 10 +15.8 +10.0 +6.0
  Mar 08, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 57-49 55%     18 - 14 +17.5 -4.6 +22.9
  Mar 09, 2023 5   Texas L 47-60 27%     18 - 15 +4.0 -15.7 +19.4
Projected Record 18 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 66.0% 66.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.6 11.4 49.0 3.9 34.0 66.0%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 66.0% 0.0% 66.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.6 11.4 49.0 3.9 34.0 66.0%