Pre-tourney Rankings
UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#254
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#231
Pace79.5#6
Improvement+0.9#95

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#207
First Shot-2.2#256
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#92
Layup/Dunks+1.8#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#351
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#294
Freethrows+2.7#18
Improvement+0.2#155

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#297
First Shot-3.2#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#269
Layups/Dunks-3.3#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#150
Freethrows-1.8#317
Improvement+0.7#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 31 - 82 - 14
Quad 49 - 311 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 23   @ Kansas St. L 59-93 4%     0 - 1 -18.1 -11.7 -2.4
  Nov 17, 2022 193   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-97 25%     0 - 2 -20.2 -2.9 -16.0
  Nov 21, 2022 265   Western Illinois W 78-77 63%     1 - 2 -7.7 -4.6 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2022 224   Northern Arizona W 91-79 53%     2 - 2 +6.0 +6.7 -1.4
  Nov 26, 2022 5   @ Texas L 54-91 2%     2 - 3 -17.0 -13.3 -0.3
  Nov 30, 2022 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 89-82 46%     3 - 3 +2.9 +6.8 -4.4
  Dec 03, 2022 265   @ Western Illinois L 72-90 41%     3 - 4 -20.7 -10.9 -8.0
  Dec 10, 2022 354   @ Houston Christian W 95-82 70%     4 - 4 +2.5 -0.8 +1.5
  Dec 18, 2022 354   Houston Christian W 100-90 85%     5 - 4 -6.4 +0.7 -8.6
  Dec 29, 2022 158   @ Utah Tech L 66-81 21%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -11.7 -10.0 -0.8
  Dec 31, 2022 115   @ Southern Utah L 88-94 OT 14%     5 - 6 0 - 2 +0.4 -0.2 +1.8
  Jan 05, 2023 153   Seattle L 64-66 38%     5 - 7 0 - 3 -3.9 -10.8 +7.0
  Jan 07, 2023 82   Utah Valley L 61-75 19%     5 - 8 0 - 4 -9.9 -8.9 -0.7
  Jan 11, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 103-86 49%     6 - 8 1 - 4 +12.3 +7.4 +1.7
  Jan 14, 2023 307   Chicago St. W 85-82 71%     7 - 8 -8.0 +4.4 -12.4
  Jan 19, 2023 242   @ Texas Arlington L 73-85 35%     7 - 9 1 - 5 -13.2 -0.1 -12.9
  Jan 21, 2023 81   @ Sam Houston St. L 64-83 8%     7 - 10 1 - 6 -8.8 -1.0 -7.7
  Jan 25, 2023 144   @ Stephen F. Austin L 66-83 18%     7 - 11 1 - 7 -12.6 -12.0 +1.5
  Jan 28, 2023 161   California Baptist W 64-58 41%     8 - 11 2 - 7 +3.3 -8.2 +11.5
  Feb 01, 2023 81   Sam Houston St. L 65-67 19%     8 - 12 2 - 8 +2.3 +12.2 -10.3
  Feb 04, 2023 164   @ Tarleton St. W 68-65 22%     9 - 12 3 - 8 +6.0 +0.0 +6.2
  Feb 09, 2023 242   Texas Arlington L 58-64 58%     9 - 13 3 - 9 -13.1 -15.6 +2.4
  Feb 11, 2023 144   Stephen F. Austin L 72-82 36%     9 - 14 3 - 10 -11.6 -3.0 -8.2
  Feb 15, 2023 113   @ Grand Canyon W 77-76 14%     10 - 14 4 - 10 +7.8 +8.0 -0.2
  Feb 23, 2023 158   Utah Tech L 81-88 41%     10 - 15 4 - 11 -9.7 +5.3 -14.9
  Feb 25, 2023 164   Tarleton St. W 99-95 OT 42%     11 - 15 5 - 11 +1.1 +5.3 -5.1
  Mar 01, 2023 161   @ California Baptist L 70-88 21%     11 - 16 5 - 12 -14.8 -3.4 -10.4
  Mar 07, 2023 164   Tarleton St. L 70-74 31%     11 - 17 -3.9 +1.2 -5.3
Projected Record 11 - 17 5 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%