Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Thomas
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#220
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#204
Pace65.6#248
Improvement-0.6#243

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#147
First Shot+2.4#104
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#276
Layup/Dunks-1.9#263
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#28
Freethrows+1.8#51
Improvement-3.2#362

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#288
First Shot-3.1#284
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#238
Layups/Dunks-2.8#291
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows-0.6#238
Improvement+2.5#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 33 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 12   @ Creighton L 60-72 4%     0 - 1 +5.7 -0.5 +5.6
  Nov 11, 2022 307   Chicago St. W 83-61 79%     1 - 1 +11.0 +8.6 +4.0
  Nov 13, 2022 355   St. Francis Brooklyn W 84-48 90%     2 - 1 +19.4 +11.8 +10.1
  Nov 17, 2022 168   @ Montana L 59-78 30%     2 - 2 -16.2 -12.1 -4.9
  Nov 18, 2022 135   Troy W 78-76 33%     3 - 2 +4.0 +10.0 -5.9
  Nov 19, 2022 312   Merrimack W 72-61 72%     4 - 2 +2.6 +17.1 -12.1
  Nov 23, 2022 232   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-72 42%     5 - 2 +3.5 +1.4 +2.0
  Nov 26, 2022 70   @ Utah L 66-95 11%     5 - 3 -17.9 +4.3 -23.7
  Dec 08, 2022 117   @ Montana St. L 65-82 21%     5 - 4 -11.0 -3.5 -7.4
  Dec 10, 2022 257   @ Idaho St. W 76-70 49%     6 - 4 +3.7 +8.0 -3.8
  Dec 13, 2022 361   Green Bay W 82-61 94%     7 - 4 +0.7 +6.5 -4.0
  Dec 19, 2022 276   North Dakota W 75-62 74%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +3.8 +12.4 -5.8
  Dec 21, 2022 222   North Dakota St. W 78-68 63%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +4.1 +8.8 -3.8
  Dec 29, 2022 294   @ South Dakota L 84-92 56%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -12.1 +4.9 -16.8
  Dec 31, 2022 181   @ South Dakota St. L 64-71 32%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -4.7 -8.2 +3.5
  Jan 05, 2023 306   Denver W 81-71 78%     10 - 6 3 - 2 -0.7 +7.1 -7.2
  Jan 07, 2023 318   Nebraska Omaha W 80-68 81%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +0.2 +0.7 -0.4
  Jan 12, 2023 309   @ UMKC L 60-81 60%     11 - 7 4 - 3 -26.2 -8.5 -19.3
  Jan 14, 2023 68   @ Oral Roberts L 69-81 10%     11 - 8 4 - 4 -0.7 +2.2 -3.4
  Jan 21, 2023 265   @ Western Illinois L 56-60 51%     11 - 9 4 - 5 -6.7 -9.6 +2.2
  Jan 26, 2023 181   South Dakota St. W 60-54 55%     12 - 9 5 - 5 +2.3 -9.0 +11.9
  Jan 28, 2023 294   South Dakota L 67-81 76%     12 - 10 5 - 6 -24.0 -11.1 -13.3
  Feb 02, 2023 318   @ Nebraska Omaha W 89-83 63%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +0.2 +12.9 -12.7
  Feb 04, 2023 306   @ Denver W 68-57 59%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +6.2 -2.7 +9.7
  Feb 09, 2023 68   Oral Roberts L 88-95 23%     14 - 11 7 - 7 -1.6 +15.3 -17.0
  Feb 11, 2023 309   UMKC W 73-43 79%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +18.9 +9.6 +14.6
  Feb 18, 2023 265   Western Illinois W 82-69 72%     16 - 11 9 - 7 +4.3 -0.5 +4.2
  Feb 23, 2023 222   @ North Dakota St. L 64-73 40%     16 - 12 9 - 8 -8.9 -11.0 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2023 276   @ North Dakota L 74-82 53%     16 - 13 9 - 9 -11.3 -4.0 -7.0
  Mar 05, 2023 265   Western Illinois W 67-60 62%     17 - 13 +1.3 -1.7 +3.9
  Mar 06, 2023 68   Oral Roberts L 65-70 16%     17 - 14 +3.3 -7.2 +10.6
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%