Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.7#24
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#22
Pace69.3#149
Improvement-1.1#275

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#23
First Shot+6.5#22
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#132
Layup/Dunks+8.6#3
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#302
Freethrows+1.0#92
Improvement-0.9#276

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#42
First Shot+6.1#31
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#231
Layups/Dunks+2.9#63
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows+0.8#122
Improvement-0.2#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 5.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 72.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round61.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen27.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.0% n/a n/a
Final Four4.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 64 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 26 - 8
Quad 26 - 312 - 11
Quad 34 - 016 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 252   Morehead St. W 88-53 96%     1 - 0 +27.1 +10.1 +16.1
  Nov 10, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman W 101-49 99%     2 - 0 +36.0 +17.9 +17.2
  Nov 18, 2022 13   @ Xavier W 81-79 32%     3 - 0 +19.5 +12.2 +7.2
  Nov 20, 2022 270   Miami (OH) W 86-56 95%     4 - 0 +24.2 +7.3 +16.6
  Nov 23, 2022 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 87-68 98%     5 - 0 +6.3 +0.0 +5.1
  Nov 25, 2022 311   Jackson St. W 90-51 98%     6 - 0 +27.7 +10.3 +16.6
  Nov 30, 2022 39   North Carolina W 77-65 68%     7 - 0 +20.0 +8.8 +11.3
  Dec 03, 2022 35   @ Rutgers L 48-63 44%     7 - 1 0 - 1 -0.7 -10.2 +8.7
  Dec 07, 2022 89   Nebraska W 81-65 82%     8 - 1 1 - 1 +19.0 +9.4 +9.2
  Dec 10, 2022 10   Arizona L 75-89 36%     8 - 2 +2.4 +8.5 -6.2
  Dec 17, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 62-84 26%     8 - 3 -2.5 -4.6 +3.9
  Dec 20, 2022 334   Elon W 96-72 98%     9 - 3 +10.3 +5.9 +1.7
  Dec 23, 2022 131   Kennesaw St. W 69-55 89%     10 - 3 +13.1 +1.0 +13.1
  Jan 05, 2023 34   @ Iowa L 89-91 43%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +12.5 +11.1 +1.5
  Jan 08, 2023 43   Northwestern L 83-84 69%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +6.7 +12.5 -5.8
  Jan 11, 2023 40   @ Penn St. L 66-85 46%     10 - 6 1 - 4 -5.2 +2.0 -8.6
  Jan 14, 2023 61   Wisconsin W 63-45 74%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +23.9 +3.2 +22.8
  Jan 19, 2023 30   @ Illinois W 80-65 40%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +30.2 +16.9 +13.6
  Jan 22, 2023 31   Michigan St. W 82-69 64%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +21.9 +17.0 +5.5
  Jan 25, 2023 183   @ Minnesota W 61-57 84%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +6.1 -4.7 +11.2
  Jan 28, 2023 46   Ohio St. W 86-70 70%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +23.4 +20.5 +4.1
  Jan 31, 2023 25   @ Maryland L 55-66 39%     15 - 7 6 - 5 +4.7 -2.4 +5.6
  Feb 04, 2023 7   Purdue W 79-74 46%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +18.8 +17.9 +1.3
  Feb 07, 2023 35   Rutgers W 66-60 66%     17 - 7 8 - 5 +14.4 +9.4 +5.6
  Feb 11, 2023 44   @ Michigan W 62-61 47%     18 - 7 9 - 5 +14.5 -1.5 +16.0
  Feb 15, 2023 43   @ Northwestern L 62-64 46%     18 - 8 9 - 6 +11.6 +6.3 +5.1
  Feb 18, 2023 30   Illinois W 71-68 63%     19 - 8 10 - 6 +12.2 +3.4 +8.8
  Feb 21, 2023 31   @ Michigan St. L 65-80 42%     19 - 9 10 - 7 -0.1 +4.9 -6.3
  Feb 25, 2023 7   @ Purdue W 79-71 25%     20 - 9 11 - 7 +27.8 +16.1 +11.8
  Feb 28, 2023 34   Iowa L 68-90 66%     20 - 10 11 - 8 -13.4 -4.9 -8.8
  Mar 05, 2023 44   Michigan W 75-73 OT 69%     21 - 10 12 - 8 +9.6 +3.1 +6.4
  Mar 10, 2023 25   Maryland W 70-60 50%     22 - 10 +22.7 +12.4 +11.5
  Mar 11, 2023 40   Penn St. L 73-77 57%     22 - 11 +6.8 +4.0 +2.8
  Mar 17, 2023 72   Kent St. W 73-68 68%    
Projected Record 23 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.9 0.0 0.4 5.5 26.3 40.6 24.2 2.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.9 0.0 0.4 5.5 26.3 40.6 24.2 2.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%