Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#49
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#45
Pace61.5#335
Improvement-1.2#287

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#164
First Shot-2.2#254
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#26
Layup/Dunks+2.5#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#335
Freethrows-0.6#223
Improvement+0.6#110

Defense
Total Defense+9.4#7
First Shot+7.9#9
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#52
Layups/Dunks+6.9#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#220
Freethrows+2.4#27
Improvement-1.8#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 56.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 56.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four38.0% n/a n/a
First Round37.5% n/a n/a
Second Round14.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 8
Quad 24 - 38 - 11
Quad 35 - 113 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 63-44 90%     1 - 0 +14.9 -12.1 +27.4
  Nov 11, 2022 109   Akron W 73-54 71%     2 - 0 +23.0 +8.2 +16.7
  Nov 13, 2022 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-47 97%     3 - 0 +19.9 +5.6 +15.2
  Nov 17, 2022 294   South Dakota W 79-42 96%     4 - 0 +27.0 +9.7 +22.3
  Nov 21, 2022 11   Marquette W 58-55 29%     5 - 0 +18.5 -5.7 +24.4
  Nov 23, 2022 70   Utah W 52-49 56%     6 - 0 +11.1 -7.5 +19.0
  Nov 28, 2022 318   Nebraska Omaha W 74-54 97%     7 - 0 +8.2 -0.8 +10.4
  Dec 03, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 82-52 99%     8 - 0 +12.4 +12.7 +3.5
  Dec 11, 2022 183   @ Minnesota W 69-51 76%     9 - 0 +20.1 +5.2 +16.8
  Dec 14, 2022 311   Jackson St. W 69-59 94%     10 - 0 +1.7 -2.0 +4.4
  Dec 17, 2022 271   Nicholls St. W 68-66 95%     11 - 0 -6.8 -9.2 +2.4
  Dec 20, 2022 73   Drake L 52-58 57%     11 - 1 +1.9 -11.1 +12.4
  Dec 28, 2022 1   Alabama L 67-78 25%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +5.7 -1.6 +8.2
  Jan 03, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 53-87 17%     11 - 3 0 - 2 -14.1 -0.1 -18.3
  Jan 07, 2023 106   Mississippi W 64-54 79%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +11.3 -1.2 +13.5
  Jan 11, 2023 142   @ Georgia L 50-58 69%     12 - 4 1 - 3 -3.4 -17.9 +14.1
  Jan 14, 2023 29   @ Auburn L 63-69 30%     12 - 5 1 - 4 +9.2 -2.0 +11.3
  Jan 17, 2023 6   Tennessee L 59-70 34%     12 - 6 1 - 5 +2.9 +2.1 -0.2
  Jan 21, 2023 54   Florida L 59-61 63%     12 - 7 1 - 6 +4.3 -0.2 +4.2
  Jan 25, 2023 1   @ Alabama L 63-66 12%     12 - 8 1 - 7 +19.7 +4.7 +14.8
  Jan 28, 2023 21   TCU W 81-74 OT 48%     13 - 8 +17.2 +11.3 +5.6
  Jan 31, 2023 199   @ South Carolina W 66-51 78%     14 - 8 2 - 7 +16.5 +1.1 +17.1
  Feb 04, 2023 51   Missouri W 63-52 62%     15 - 8 3 - 7 +17.6 -7.7 +26.0
  Feb 08, 2023 126   LSU W 64-53 83%     16 - 8 4 - 7 +10.3 -0.5 +12.4
  Feb 11, 2023 17   @ Arkansas W 70-64 26%     17 - 8 5 - 7 +22.2 +10.7 +11.8
  Feb 15, 2023 26   Kentucky L 68-71 50%     17 - 9 5 - 8 +6.6 +10.1 -4.1
  Feb 18, 2023 106   @ Mississippi W 69-61 OT 59%     18 - 9 6 - 8 +15.3 -1.1 +16.2
  Feb 21, 2023 51   @ Missouri L 64-66 OT 39%     18 - 10 6 - 9 +10.6 -6.0 +16.5
  Feb 25, 2023 27   Texas A&M W 69-62 51%     19 - 10 7 - 9 +16.5 +6.9 +10.2
  Feb 28, 2023 199   South Carolina W 74-68 90%     20 - 10 8 - 9 +1.6 +5.0 -2.9
  Mar 04, 2023 79   @ Vanderbilt L 72-77 47%     20 - 11 8 - 10 +5.4 +10.0 -5.2
  Mar 09, 2023 54   Florida W 69-68 OT 51%     21 - 11 +10.3 -4.1 +14.3
  Mar 10, 2023 1   Alabama L 49-72 17%     21 - 12 -3.3 -7.9 +2.4
  Mar 14, 2023 67   Pittsburgh W 66-65 55%    
Projected Record 22 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 56.9% 56.9% 10.9 0.0 0.6 6.9 45.4 4.0 43.1 56.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 56.9% 0.0% 56.9% 10.9 0.0 0.6 6.9 45.4 4.0 43.1 56.9%