Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
1 Alabama 100.0%   1   29 - 5 16 - 2 29 - 5 16 - 2 +19.7      +8.4 16 +11.3 3 79.7 4 +20.2 1 +21.8 1
6 Tennessee 100.0%   4   23 - 10 11 - 7 24 - 10 11 - 7 +16.9      +5.3 50 +11.6 2 64.7 275 +13.1 24 +11.7 6
17 Arkansas 91.4%   9   20 - 13 8 - 10 21 - 13 8 - 10 +13.2      +5.5 45 +7.8 17 72.9 55 +10.5 47 +8.0 9
26 Kentucky 99.8%   7   21 - 11 12 - 6 22 - 11 12 - 6 +12.5      +8.5 15 +4.1 68 66.0 235 +12.0 31 +14.1 3
27 Texas A&M 100.0%   4   25 - 9 15 - 3 26 - 9 15 - 3 +12.5      +6.4 31 +6.1 35 66.0 232 +13.9 20 +19.2 2
29 Auburn 88.2%   10   20 - 12 10 - 8 21 - 12 10 - 8 +12.3      +5.3 49 +7.0 27 68.8 161 +11.2 41 +10.9 7
49 Mississippi St. 56.9%   11   21 - 12 8 - 10 22 - 12 8 - 10 +9.7      +0.3 164 +9.4 7 61.5 335 +10.7 45 +7.8 10
51 Missouri 98.7%   8   24 - 9 11 - 7 24 - 10 11 - 7 +9.6      +9.9 9 -0.3 184 72.2 71 +14.1 18 +12.2 5
54 Florida 0.0%   16 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 +9.3      +2.4 109 +7.0 28 72.5 66 +7.3 77 +8.8 8
79 Vanderbilt 35.2%   20 - 14 11 - 7 20 - 14 11 - 7 +7.4      +7.1 24 +0.3 165 66.5 216 +9.9 50 +13.2 4
106 Mississippi 0.0%   12 - 21 3 - 15 12 - 21 3 - 15 +4.3      +1.5 134 +2.8 91 65.4 260 +1.7 137 -2.2 13
126 LSU 0.0%   14 - 19 2 - 16 14 - 19 2 - 16 +2.3      +1.7 125 +0.6 151 65.1 266 +2.8 130 -2.5 14
142 Georgia 0.0%   16 - 16 6 - 12 16 - 16 6 - 12 +1.6      -0.1 173 +1.6 117 68.7 164 +3.9 114 +4.2 11
199 South Carolina 0.0%   11 - 21 4 - 14 11 - 21 4 - 14 -1.5      -0.7 193 -0.8 195 62.5 320 +0.6 158 +1.7 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Alabama 1.0 100.0
Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Arkansas 9.0 100.0
Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Texas A&M 2.0 100.0
Auburn 7.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 9.0 100.0
Missouri 4.0 100.0
Florida 8.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 4.0 100.0
Mississippi 13.0 100.0
LSU 14.0 100.0
Georgia 11.0 100.0
South Carolina 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Alabama 16 - 2 100.0
Tennessee 11 - 7 100.0
Arkansas 8 - 10 100.0
Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Texas A&M 15 - 3 100.0
Auburn 10 - 8 100.0
Mississippi St. 8 - 10 100.0
Missouri 11 - 7 100.0
Florida 9 - 9 100.0
Vanderbilt 11 - 7 100.0
Mississippi 3 - 15 100.0
LSU 2 - 16 100.0
Georgia 6 - 12 100.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Alabama 100.0% 100.0
Tennessee
Arkansas
Kentucky
Texas A&M
Auburn
Mississippi St.
Missouri
Florida
Vanderbilt
Mississippi
LSU
Georgia
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Alabama 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   90.6 9.4 0.0
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.2 1.7 23.5 51.0 20.9 2.7 0.1 100.0%
Arkansas 91.4% 0.0% 91.4% 9   0.0 0.4 1.9 11.5 27.4 38.5 11.8 0.0 8.6 91.4%
Kentucky 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 7   0.1 1.5 13.1 37.0 39.1 8.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 99.8%
Texas A&M 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 0.1 8.5 38.0 41.2 11.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Auburn 88.2% 0.0% 88.2% 10   0.0 0.1 1.1 8.2 23.1 37.5 17.9 0.1 11.8 88.2%
Mississippi St. 56.9% 0.0% 56.9% 11   0.0 0.6 6.9 45.4 4.0 43.1 56.9%
Missouri 98.7% 0.0% 98.7% 8   0.3 4.3 20.6 42.0 27.2 4.2 0.1 1.3 98.7%
Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 35.2% 0.0% 35.2% 0.0 0.6 5.0 27.6 2.1 64.8 35.2%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.7% 77.7% 57.8% 38.9% 25.1% 15.9%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 85.6% 59.2% 31.2% 17.6% 9.3% 4.7%
Arkansas 91.4% 2.5% 90.5% 50.3% 18.7% 9.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.6%
Kentucky 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 57.4% 23.7% 9.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Texas A&M 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 69.7% 35.3% 12.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.6%
Auburn 88.2% 5.0% 86.1% 43.8% 15.2% 6.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Mississippi St. 56.9% 38.0% 37.5% 14.3% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 98.7% 0.0% 98.7% 41.3% 9.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 35.2% 21.6% 22.1% 6.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.7 0.0 0.2 4.6 33.4 48.4 13.4
1st Round 100.0% 7.3 0.0 0.4 9.6 49.4 36.1 4.6
2nd Round 100.0% 4.7 0.2 2.5 12.2 28.5 33.2 18.5 4.4 0.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 98.2% 2.5 1.8 15.7 35.9 31.2 12.5 2.6 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 85.3% 1.3 14.7 46.9 30.6 7.1 0.8 0.0
Final Four 60.4% 0.7 39.6 48.5 11.2 0.7 0.0
Final Game 38.0% 0.4 62.0 35.7 2.3
Champion 22.7% 0.2 77.3 22.7