Pre-tourney Rankings
Auburn
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#29
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#41
Pace68.8#161
Improvement-0.7#251

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#49
First Shot+3.1#82
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#43
Layup/Dunks+2.1#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
Freethrows+0.8#112
Improvement+1.9#32

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#27
First Shot+7.5#11
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#243
Layups/Dunks+2.8#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#9
Freethrows-0.6#240
Improvement-2.6#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.0% n/a n/a
First Round86.1% n/a n/a
Second Round43.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.8% n/a n/a
Final Four2.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 10
Quad 26 - 19 - 11
Quad 38 - 117 - 12
Quad 43 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 141   George Mason W 70-52 89%     1 - 0 +16.6 -1.7 +18.2
  Nov 11, 2022 148   South Florida W 67-59 90%     2 - 0 +6.3 -7.7 +13.9
  Nov 15, 2022 244   Winthrop W 89-65 96%     3 - 0 +16.7 +13.1 +5.0
  Nov 18, 2022 303   Texas Southern W 72-56 97%     4 - 0 +5.5 -7.4 +12.0
  Nov 22, 2022 87   Bradley W 85-64 72%     5 - 0 +27.3 +17.9 +9.6
  Nov 23, 2022 43   Northwestern W 43-42 56%     6 - 0 +11.7 -15.3 +27.1
  Nov 27, 2022 92   Saint Louis W 65-60 82%     7 - 0 +7.5 -11.6 +18.8
  Dec 02, 2022 116   Colgate W 93-66 87%     8 - 0 +27.3 +19.1 +8.8
  Dec 10, 2022 22   Memphis L 73-82 47%     8 - 1 +4.1 -0.7 +5.7
  Dec 14, 2022 268   Georgia St. W 72-64 96%     9 - 1 -0.7 -1.0 +0.6
  Dec 18, 2022 42   @ USC L 71-74 44%     9 - 2 +10.7 +4.7 +6.0
  Dec 21, 2022 100   @ Washington W 84-61 67%     10 - 2 +30.7 +14.5 +15.6
  Dec 28, 2022 54   Florida W 61-58 72%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +9.3 -0.3 +9.9
  Jan 04, 2023 142   @ Georgia L 64-76 77%     11 - 3 1 - 1 -7.4 -3.2 -4.7
  Jan 07, 2023 17   Arkansas W 72-59 58%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +23.3 +8.4 +15.4
  Jan 10, 2023 106   @ Mississippi W 82-73 69%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +16.3 +14.7 +1.7
  Jan 14, 2023 49   Mississippi St. W 69-63 70%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +12.7 +3.4 +9.2
  Jan 18, 2023 126   @ LSU W 67-49 75%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +23.3 +3.6 +21.6
  Jan 21, 2023 199   @ South Carolina W 81-66 84%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +16.5 +8.8 +7.7
  Jan 25, 2023 27   Texas A&M L 63-79 60%     16 - 4 6 - 2 -6.5 -1.8 -5.5
  Jan 28, 2023 16   @ West Virginia L 77-80 33%     16 - 5 +13.7 +10.1 +3.6
  Feb 01, 2023 142   Georgia W 94-73 89%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +19.6 +28.6 -7.4
  Feb 04, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 43-46 23%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +16.9 -14.5 +31.2
  Feb 07, 2023 27   @ Texas A&M L 78-83 38%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +10.5 +12.1 -1.6
  Feb 11, 2023 1   Alabama L 69-77 33%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +8.7 +7.4 +1.2
  Feb 14, 2023 51   Missouri W 89-56 71%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +39.6 +9.0 +28.6
  Feb 18, 2023 79   @ Vanderbilt L 65-67 57%     18 - 9 8 - 6 +8.4 -1.8 +10.0
  Feb 22, 2023 106   Mississippi W 78-74 85%     19 - 9 9 - 6 +5.3 +8.5 -3.0
  Feb 25, 2023 26   @ Kentucky L 54-86 38%     19 - 10 9 - 7 -16.5 -9.0 -10.0
  Mar 01, 2023 1   @ Alabama L 85-90 OT 16%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +17.7 +13.8 +4.5
  Mar 04, 2023 6   Tennessee W 79-70 44%     20 - 11 10 - 8 +22.9 +23.4 +0.3
  Mar 09, 2023 17   Arkansas L 73-76 46%     20 - 12 +10.2 +10.8 -0.7
  Mar 16, 2023 34   Iowa W 78-77 53%    
Projected Record 21 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 88.2% 88.2% 9.7 0.0 0.1 1.1 8.2 23.1 37.5 17.9 0.1 11.8 88.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 88.2% 0.0% 88.2% 9.7 0.0 0.1 1.1 8.2 23.1 37.5 17.9 0.1 11.8 88.2%