Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#22
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#19
Pace77.1#18
Improvement+1.8#48

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#26
First Shot+6.4#24
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#137
Layup/Dunks+5.8#14
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#323
Freethrows+2.3#29
Improvement+1.5#43

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#33
First Shot+6.5#26
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#203
Layups/Dunks+4.8#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#212
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+0.3#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 4.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 61.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round60.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen26.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.5% n/a n/a
Final Four4.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 14 - 4
Quad 29 - 313 - 7
Quad 37 - 120 - 8
Quad 46 - 026 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 79   @ Vanderbilt W 76-67 60%     1 - 0 +19.4 +9.5 +10.4
  Nov 15, 2022 92   @ Saint Louis L 84-90 67%     1 - 1 +2.4 +4.7 -1.6
  Nov 20, 2022 60   Virginia Commonwealth W 62-47 75%     2 - 1 +21.0 -3.3 +24.6
  Nov 24, 2022 58   Seton Hall L 69-70 65%     2 - 2 +8.1 +1.2 +6.9
  Nov 25, 2022 89   Nebraska W 73-61 75%     3 - 2 +18.0 +9.3 +9.4
  Nov 27, 2022 86   Stanford W 56-48 73%     4 - 2 +14.8 -8.3 +24.2
  Nov 30, 2022 258   North Alabama W 87-68 97%     5 - 2 +10.8 +7.0 +3.6
  Dec 03, 2022 106   Mississippi W 68-57 86%     6 - 2 +12.3 -0.3 +13.2
  Dec 06, 2022 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 87-71 98%     7 - 2 +3.3 -3.0 +4.8
  Dec 10, 2022 29   Auburn W 82-73 53%     8 - 2 +21.3 +8.1 +12.3
  Dec 13, 2022 1   @ Alabama L 88-91 18%     8 - 3 +19.7 +13.8 +6.4
  Dec 17, 2022 27   Texas A&M W 83-79 63%     9 - 3 +13.5 +8.8 +4.5
  Dec 21, 2022 353   Alabama St. W 83-61 99%     10 - 3 +5.9 -2.1 +6.3
  Dec 29, 2022 148   South Florida W 93-86 91%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +5.3 +5.1 -0.9
  Jan 01, 2023 97   @ Tulane L 89-96 70%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +0.8 +3.5 -1.5
  Jan 07, 2023 173   East Carolina W 69-59 93%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +6.7 -6.7 +13.1
  Jan 11, 2023 63   @ Central Florida L 104-113 2OT 56%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +2.6 +15.2 -10.6
  Jan 15, 2023 112   @ Temple W 61-59 73%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +8.8 -6.4 +15.3
  Jan 19, 2023 99   Wichita St. W 88-78 85%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +11.8 +18.4 -6.5
  Jan 22, 2023 52   @ Cincinnati W 75-68 52%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +19.5 +7.9 +11.6
  Jan 26, 2023 169   SMU W 99-84 93%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +11.8 +10.7 -1.2
  Jan 29, 2023 297   @ Tulsa W 80-68 94%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +7.7 +6.4 +1.5
  Feb 04, 2023 97   Tulane L 89-90 OT 85%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +0.8 -2.2 +3.2
  Feb 08, 2023 148   @ South Florida W 99-81 80%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +22.3 +19.0 +1.5
  Feb 12, 2023 112   Temple W 86-77 87%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +9.8 +14.2 -4.3
  Feb 16, 2023 63   Central Florida W 64-63 76%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +6.6 -7.9 +14.5
  Feb 19, 2023 2   @ Houston L 64-72 20%     20 - 7 10 - 4 +14.1 +6.5 +7.2
  Feb 23, 2023 99   @ Wichita St. W 83-78 70%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +12.7 +17.0 -4.2
  Feb 26, 2023 52   Cincinnati W 76-73 73%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +9.6 +4.3 +5.2
  Mar 02, 2023 169   @ SMU W 81-62 83%     23 - 7 13 - 4 +21.7 +7.2 +13.7
  Mar 05, 2023 2   Houston L 65-67 38%     23 - 8 13 - 5 +14.1 +6.6 +7.4
  Mar 10, 2023 63   Central Florida W 81-76 67%     24 - 8 +13.6 +11.0 +2.5
  Mar 11, 2023 97   Tulane W 94-54 78%     25 - 8 +44.8 +11.4 +28.9
  Mar 12, 2023 2   Houston W 75-65 28%     26 - 8 +29.1 +17.9 +12.0
  Mar 17, 2023 33   Florida Atlantic W 77-76 56%    
Projected Record 27 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.0 0.4 4.2 19.0 38.0 29.8 7.6 1.0 0.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.2 0.0 0.4 4.2 19.0 38.0 29.8 7.6 1.0 0.0