Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.1#353
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#351
Pace66.6#214
Improvement-0.5#230

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#354
First Shot-10.5#362
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#54
Layup/Dunks-4.4#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#344
Freethrows-2.3#337
Improvement-1.0#289

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#306
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#355
Layups/Dunks+0.5#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#276
Freethrows-1.3#286
Improvement+0.5#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 47 - 127 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 64   @ UAB L 70-111 2%     0 - 1 -29.4 -9.2 -13.6
  Nov 10, 2022 42   @ USC L 58-96 2%     0 - 2 -24.3 -13.4 -7.6
  Nov 13, 2022 185   @ Pepperdine L 62-91 9%     0 - 3 -26.9 -13.9 -11.3
  Nov 15, 2022 96   @ San Jose St. L 57-70 4%     0 - 4 -5.2 -7.5 +1.0
  Nov 20, 2022 67   @ Pittsburgh L 54-73 2%     0 - 5 -7.6 -14.8 +6.8
  Nov 23, 2022 121   @ Duquesne L 57-75 5%     0 - 6 -12.2 -7.3 -7.0
  Nov 26, 2022 345   Eastern Illinois W 67-58 46%     1 - 6 -3.0 -5.5 +3.1
  Nov 27, 2022 129   @ Ohio L 58-72 6%     1 - 7 -8.9 -10.5 +0.5
  Dec 07, 2022 258   @ North Alabama L 63-71 16%     1 - 8 -10.3 -11.9 +1.5
  Dec 17, 2022 143   @ Georgia Tech L 60-96 6%     1 - 9 -31.5 -12.2 -18.1
  Dec 19, 2022 284   @ Arkansas St. L 65-72 18%     1 - 10 -10.5 -3.8 -7.3
  Dec 21, 2022 22   @ Memphis L 61-83 1%     1 - 11 -5.9 -8.8 +4.5
  Jan 02, 2023 358   Mississippi Valley W 70-61 67%     2 - 11 1 - 0 -8.6 -11.0 +2.2
  Jan 04, 2023 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-66 50%     3 - 11 2 - 0 +0.9 +2.5 -1.8
  Jan 07, 2023 311   @ Jackson St. L 58-61 23%     3 - 12 2 - 1 -8.4 -10.1 +1.4
  Jan 09, 2023 262   @ Alcorn St. L 76-92 16%     3 - 13 2 - 2 -18.5 -0.7 -17.3
  Jan 16, 2023 317   @ Alabama A&M W 69-61 24%     4 - 13 3 - 2 +2.2 -1.3 +3.9
  Jan 21, 2023 286   Prairie View W 56-55 OT 36%     5 - 13 4 - 2 -8.5 -15.3 +6.8
  Jan 23, 2023 303   Texas Southern L 65-71 40%     5 - 14 4 - 3 -16.5 -11.6 -4.8
  Jan 28, 2023 352   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-64 38%     5 - 15 4 - 4 -12.0 -9.3 -3.0
  Jan 30, 2023 357   @ Florida A&M L 58-69 44%     5 - 16 4 - 5 -22.5 -14.6 -8.4
  Feb 04, 2023 210   Grambling St. L 60-73 22%     5 - 17 4 - 6 -17.9 -10.6 -7.7
  Feb 06, 2023 291   Southern W 73-66 37%     6 - 17 5 - 6 -2.7 -0.8 -1.8
  Feb 11, 2023 331   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-71 28%     7 - 17 6 - 6 -4.1 +5.9 -9.8
  Feb 13, 2023 358   @ Mississippi Valley L 70-76 44%     7 - 18 6 - 7 -17.7 -3.8 -14.1
  Feb 18, 2023 357   Florida A&M L 54-60 66%     7 - 19 6 - 8 -23.5 -19.7 -4.3
  Feb 20, 2023 352   Bethune-Cookman L 65-70 61%     7 - 20 6 - 9 -21.0 -9.6 -11.9
  Feb 25, 2023 317   Alabama A&M L 50-55 45%     7 - 21 6 - 10 -16.8 -17.4 -0.3
  Mar 02, 2023 291   @ Southern L 52-66 19%     7 - 22 6 - 11 -17.8 -20.7 +3.2
  Mar 04, 2023 210   @ Grambling St. L 49-69 10%     7 - 23 6 - 12 -19.0 -13.0 -9.0
Projected Record 7 - 23 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%