Pre-tourney Rankings
North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#258
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#189
Pace70.1#128
Improvement+1.6#59

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#182
First Shot+0.9#151
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#275
Layup/Dunks+1.6#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
Freethrows+0.0#176
Improvement+0.5#112

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#318
First Shot-4.0#315
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#277
Layups/Dunks-2.3#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#237
Freethrows-1.6#305
Improvement+1.1#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 410 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 317   @ Alabama A&M W 84-76 52%     1 - 0 +2.2 +7.9 -5.9
  Nov 18, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley L 68-76 73%     1 - 1 -19.7 -10.0 -9.5
  Nov 22, 2022 349   Hampton W 75-74 75%     2 - 1 -11.4 -11.5 +0.0
  Nov 23, 2022 108   @ UC Santa Barbara L 71-89 13%     2 - 2 -10.9 +1.5 -12.9
  Nov 26, 2022 143   @ Georgia Tech L 61-80 18%     2 - 3 -14.5 -7.1 -8.0
  Nov 30, 2022 22   @ Memphis L 68-87 3%     2 - 4 -2.9 +2.3 -5.1
  Dec 03, 2022 252   @ Morehead St. W 81-75 38%     3 - 4 +4.0 +4.4 -0.6
  Dec 07, 2022 353   Alabama St. W 71-63 84%     4 - 4 -8.1 -6.2 -1.7
  Dec 15, 2022 59   @ Colorado L 60-84 6%     4 - 5 -12.0 -7.3 -3.3
  Dec 20, 2022 106   @ Mississippi W 66-65 12%     5 - 5 +8.3 -3.3 +11.6
  Dec 30, 2022 233   @ Jacksonville St. W 66-62 33%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +3.4 -1.7 +5.4
  Jan 02, 2023 256   Bellarmine L 65-69 61%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -12.1 -2.3 -10.5
  Jan 05, 2023 159   @ Lipscomb L 62-86 21%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -20.8 -8.9 -11.8
  Jan 07, 2023 174   Stetson L 85-95 OT 43%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -13.5 -0.3 -12.5
  Jan 12, 2023 69   @ Liberty L 54-72 7%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -6.7 -11.0 +3.4
  Jan 14, 2023 214   @ Queens L 78-107 28%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -28.2 -0.6 -26.2
  Jan 18, 2023 336   @ Central Arkansas W 78-73 60%     7 - 10 2 - 5 -3.0 -2.4 -0.8
  Jan 21, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 82-66 79%     8 - 10 3 - 5 +2.1 +1.5 +0.6
  Jan 26, 2023 230   Jacksonville W 80-62 54%     9 - 10 4 - 5 +11.6 +17.4 -3.1
  Jan 28, 2023 234   North Florida W 91-78 55%     10 - 10 5 - 5 +6.3 +17.3 -9.9
  Feb 02, 2023 174   @ Stetson L 57-79 23%     10 - 11 5 - 6 -19.5 -18.1 -2.1
  Feb 04, 2023 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 87-85 OT 24%     11 - 11 6 - 6 +4.0 +15.2 -11.2
  Feb 09, 2023 323   Austin Peay W 70-57 75%     12 - 11 7 - 6 +0.8 -0.4 +2.7
  Feb 11, 2023 159   Lipscomb W 80-70 40%     13 - 11 8 - 6 +7.3 +4.1 +2.9
  Feb 16, 2023 256   @ Bellarmine W 70-57 38%     14 - 11 9 - 6 +10.8 +0.8 +11.1
  Feb 18, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky W 98-93 OT 23%     15 - 11 10 - 6 +7.4 +9.1 -2.6
  Feb 22, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. L 66-79 34%     15 - 12 10 - 7 -13.9 -3.7 -10.9
  Feb 24, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. L 83-92 55%     15 - 13 10 - 8 -15.5 +5.5 -20.8
  Feb 28, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 48-73 23%     15 - 14 -22.6 -22.6 +0.0
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%