Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#336
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#313
Pace78.9#9
Improvement-1.3#290

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#316
First Shot-5.1#319
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#172
Layup/Dunks-3.5#314
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#114
Freethrows-2.4#341
Improvement-0.7#258

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#338
First Shot-5.7#343
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#201
Layups/Dunks-4.7#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#261
Freethrows-0.3#217
Improvement-0.5#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 46 - 118 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 99   @ Wichita St. L 55-79 5%     0 - 1 -16.3 -16.4 +1.8
  Nov 14, 2022 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-71 57%     1 - 1 -1.7 -9.9 +6.8
  Nov 18, 2022 247   Niagara L 64-73 27%     1 - 2 -13.6 -8.5 -5.5
  Nov 19, 2022 206   Rider W 90-85 19%     2 - 2 +3.2 +6.9 -4.2
  Nov 26, 2022 225   Northwestern St. L 66-74 OT 32%     2 - 3 -14.0 -17.9 +4.6
  Nov 27, 2022 257   Idaho St. W 81-77 40%     3 - 3 -4.2 +1.7 -6.0
  Nov 30, 2022 238   @ Loyola Chicago L 70-85 17%     3 - 4 -15.9 +0.6 -17.4
  Dec 06, 2022 284   Arkansas St. W 72-67 44%     4 - 4 -4.4 -2.0 -2.2
  Dec 10, 2022 68   @ Oral Roberts L 78-111 3%     4 - 5 -21.7 -4.8 -11.3
  Dec 17, 2022 53   @ Oklahoma L 66-87 3%     4 - 6 -8.5 +1.0 -9.8
  Dec 20, 2022 327   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-75 34%     4 - 7 -15.7 -14.2 -1.4
  Dec 28, 2022 21   @ TCU L 57-103 1%     4 - 8 -29.9 -12.4 -12.9
  Dec 31, 2022 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 66-82 8%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -11.0 -10.6 +1.3
  Jan 02, 2023 190   Florida Gulf Coast L 79-84 OT 25%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -8.9 -10.0 +1.9
  Jan 05, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky L 75-77 24%     4 - 11 0 - 3 -5.6 -3.6 -1.8
  Jan 07, 2023 323   @ Austin Peay L 62-86 32%     4 - 12 0 - 4 -30.2 -8.3 -23.8
  Jan 12, 2023 214   @ Queens W 92-91 14%     5 - 12 1 - 4 +1.8 +6.0 -4.3
  Jan 14, 2023 69   @ Liberty L 62-82 3%     5 - 13 1 - 5 -8.7 -2.6 -7.0
  Jan 18, 2023 258   North Alabama L 73-78 40%     5 - 14 1 - 6 -13.2 -9.1 -3.9
  Jan 21, 2023 258   @ North Alabama L 66-82 21%     5 - 15 1 - 7 -18.3 -10.4 -7.8
  Jan 26, 2023 234   North Florida W 88-85 OT 34%     6 - 15 2 - 7 -3.7 -6.1 +2.0
  Jan 28, 2023 230   Jacksonville L 64-74 33%     6 - 16 2 - 8 -16.4 -6.1 -11.0
  Feb 02, 2023 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 91-87 12%     7 - 16 3 - 8 +6.0 +14.7 -8.8
  Feb 04, 2023 174   @ Stetson L 80-99 11%     7 - 17 3 - 9 -16.5 +2.4 -18.8
  Feb 09, 2023 159   Lipscomb L 81-93 22%     7 - 18 3 - 10 -14.7 +0.2 -13.8
  Feb 11, 2023 323   Austin Peay W 76-69 55%     8 - 18 4 - 10 -5.2 +2.4 -7.1
  Feb 16, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 58-74 11%     8 - 19 4 - 11 -13.6 -18.8 +6.8
  Feb 19, 2023 256   @ Bellarmine L 67-68 20%     8 - 20 4 - 12 -3.2 -6.2 +3.0
  Feb 22, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. L 71-101 33%     8 - 21 4 - 13 -36.5 -11.2 -22.6
  Feb 24, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. L 56-72 17%     8 - 22 4 - 14 -16.9 -16.1 -1.1
Projected Record 8 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%