Pre-tourney Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Pace62.7#318
Improvement-0.4#221

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#47
First Shot+4.3#62
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#94
Layup/Dunks-2.9#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#7
Freethrows-0.8#246
Improvement-0.9#285

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#333
First Shot-5.5#340
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#209
Layups/Dunks-3.6#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#235
Freethrows-1.0#271
Improvement+0.5#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 36 - 76 - 12
Quad 49 - 115 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 179   @ Florida St. W 83-74 39%     1 - 0 +11.3 +17.3 -5.2
  Nov 14, 2022 148   @ South Florida W 68-67 32%     2 - 0 +5.3 +13.3 -7.8
  Nov 18, 2022 206   Rider W 78-68 55%     3 - 0 +8.2 +7.9 +0.9
  Nov 19, 2022 247   Niagara L 62-66 66%     3 - 1 -8.6 -1.8 -7.5
  Nov 27, 2022 229   @ Campbell L 85-87 OT 49%     3 - 2 -2.3 +9.3 -11.5
  Dec 04, 2022 54   @ Florida L 51-89 12%     3 - 3 -25.7 -11.0 -16.4
  Dec 14, 2022 71   @ College of Charleston L 60-65 14%     3 - 4 +6.0 +0.8 +4.5
  Dec 17, 2022 129   @ Ohio L 66-85 29%     3 - 5 -13.9 -5.6 -8.7
  Dec 21, 2022 63   @ Central Florida L 58-73 13%     3 - 6 -3.4 +6.4 -13.5
  Dec 30, 2022 159   @ Lipscomb W 86-80 OT 36%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +9.2 +9.0 -0.2
  Jan 02, 2023 234   North Florida W 68-62 72%     5 - 6 2 - 0 -0.7 -6.1 +6.1
  Jan 05, 2023 230   Jacksonville W 73-61 72%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +5.6 +8.5 -1.2
  Jan 07, 2023 258   @ North Alabama W 95-85 OT 57%     7 - 6 4 - 0 +7.7 +12.9 -5.8
  Jan 12, 2023 256   @ Bellarmine W 80-51 57%     8 - 6 5 - 0 +26.8 +22.3 +10.8
  Jan 14, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-85 39%     8 - 7 5 - 1 -12.6 +1.2 -14.2
  Jan 19, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. L 81-82 OT 52%     8 - 8 5 - 2 -1.9 +2.6 -4.4
  Jan 21, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. W 87-81 72%     9 - 8 6 - 2 -0.5 +11.7 -12.1
  Jan 26, 2023 69   @ Liberty L 45-74 14%     9 - 9 6 - 3 -17.7 -15.5 -6.8
  Jan 28, 2023 214   @ Queens L 65-71 45%     9 - 10 6 - 4 -5.2 -9.0 +3.7
  Feb 02, 2023 258   North Alabama W 79-57 77%     10 - 10 7 - 4 +13.8 +2.5 +12.0
  Feb 04, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 99-80 89%     11 - 10 8 - 4 +5.1 +18.2 -13.2
  Feb 09, 2023 230   @ Jacksonville W 70-67 50%     12 - 10 9 - 4 +2.6 +3.4 -0.6
  Feb 11, 2023 234   @ North Florida L 81-92 51%     12 - 11 9 - 5 -11.7 +4.8 -16.8
  Feb 15, 2023 190   Florida Gulf Coast W 75-72 63%     13 - 11 10 - 5 -0.9 +1.0 -1.9
  Feb 18, 2023 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 88-84 40%     14 - 11 11 - 5 +6.0 +20.7 -14.5
  Feb 22, 2023 323   Austin Peay W 76-51 86%     15 - 11 12 - 5 +12.8 +10.1 +6.7
  Feb 24, 2023 159   Lipscomb L 91-98 OT 59%     15 - 12 12 - 6 -9.7 +10.7 -20.0
  Feb 28, 2023 159   Lipscomb L 70-83 59%     15 - 13 -15.7 -3.1 -12.7
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%