Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#148
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#184
Pace70.0#131
Improvement+0.3#159

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#162
First Shot-1.4#230
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#61
Layup/Dunks+0.9#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#202
Freethrows-1.5#305
Improvement+0.6#104

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#141
First Shot+0.1#164
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#88
Layups/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#242
Freethrows-1.9#321
Improvement-0.3#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 21 - 42 - 9
Quad 33 - 65 - 15
Quad 49 - 314 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 260   Southeast Missouri St. L 61-64 82%     0 - 1 -11.2 -15.5 +4.2
  Nov 11, 2022 29   @ Auburn L 59-67 10%     0 - 2 +7.2 -6.6 +14.0
  Nov 14, 2022 174   Stetson L 67-68 68%     0 - 3 -4.5 +2.4 -7.0
  Nov 17, 2022 323   Austin Peay L 60-62 89%     0 - 4 -14.2 -12.0 -2.3
  Nov 21, 2022 64   UAB L 65-80 24%     0 - 5 -6.4 -2.4 -4.4
  Nov 22, 2022 171   Saint Joseph's W 75-62 56%     1 - 5 +12.7 +7.1 +6.5
  Nov 25, 2022 355   St. Francis Brooklyn W 75-60 94%     2 - 5 -1.6 -1.3 +0.1
  Nov 29, 2022 195   Massachusetts L 67-73 70%     2 - 6 -10.2 -11.0 +1.3
  Dec 02, 2022 301   Charleston Southern W 79-59 86%     3 - 6 +9.6 +6.2 +5.7
  Dec 12, 2022 203   @ Northern Iowa W 72-69 50%     4 - 6 +4.3 -0.5 +4.7
  Dec 16, 2022 272   Dartmouth W 59-55 83%     5 - 6 -5.0 -17.0 +12.0
  Dec 19, 2022 93   Hofstra W 77-70 46%     6 - 6 +9.3 +6.8 +2.7
  Dec 22, 2022 328   NJIT W 92-73 90%     7 - 6 +6.2 +13.8 -7.5
  Dec 29, 2022 22   @ Memphis L 86-93 9%     7 - 7 0 - 1 +9.1 +7.4 +2.7
  Jan 04, 2023 112   Temple L 64-68 52%     7 - 8 0 - 2 -3.2 -9.9 +6.8
  Jan 08, 2023 99   Wichita St. L 66-70 48%     7 - 9 0 - 3 -2.2 -6.3 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2023 2   @ Houston L 77-83 4%     7 - 10 0 - 4 +16.1 +18.0 -2.1
  Jan 15, 2023 173   @ East Carolina W 81-70 45%     8 - 10 1 - 4 +13.6 +12.9 +1.1
  Jan 18, 2023 52   Cincinnati L 69-85 30%     8 - 11 1 - 5 -9.4 +0.1 -9.8
  Jan 21, 2023 63   Central Florida W 85-72 34%     9 - 11 2 - 5 +18.6 +14.6 +3.8
  Jan 25, 2023 112   @ Temple L 76-79 OT 30%     9 - 12 2 - 6 +3.8 -1.0 +5.1
  Jan 29, 2023 169   @ SMU L 80-82 45%     9 - 13 2 - 7 +0.7 +4.1 -3.2
  Feb 01, 2023 173   East Carolina W 71-63 67%     10 - 13 3 - 7 +4.7 -3.7 +8.3
  Feb 08, 2023 22   Memphis L 81-99 20%     10 - 14 3 - 8 -7.9 +5.0 -11.2
  Feb 11, 2023 52   @ Cincinnati L 65-84 15%     10 - 15 3 - 9 -6.5 -1.5 -5.0
  Feb 15, 2023 297   @ Tulsa W 96-69 70%     11 - 15 4 - 9 +22.7 +16.4 +5.0
  Feb 18, 2023 97   Tulane L 66-84 48%     11 - 16 4 - 10 -16.2 -11.5 -3.5
  Feb 22, 2023 63   @ Central Florida W 82-75 17%     12 - 16 5 - 10 +18.6 +13.9 +4.5
  Feb 25, 2023 169   SMU W 71-67 67%     13 - 16 6 - 10 +0.8 +1.5 -0.6
  Mar 01, 2023 297   Tulsa W 72-56 86%     14 - 16 7 - 10 +5.8 -0.7 +7.7
  Mar 05, 2023 99   @ Wichita St. L 49-69 27%     14 - 17 7 - 11 -12.3 -15.3 +1.7
  Mar 09, 2023 173   East Carolina L 58-73 56%     14 - 18 -15.3 -7.9 -9.1
Projected Record 14 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%