Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
69 Liberty 0.0%   23 - 8 15 - 3 23 - 8 15 - 3 +8.3      +4.5 64 +3.8 72 62.2 325 +5.4 98 +6.5 2
131 Kennesaw St. 100.0%   14   23 - 8 15 - 3 23 - 9 15 - 3 +2.0      +0.8 151 +1.2 132 70.1 129 +6.3 88 +6.5 1
159 Lipscomb 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 17 - 13 11 - 7 +0.3      -0.2 180 +0.5 159 72.6 64 -0.1 171 +0.2 5
174 Stetson 0.0%   15 - 13 12 - 6 15 - 13 12 - 6 -0.5      +5.3 47 -5.8 333 62.7 318 +0.5 160 +1.8 4
176 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 -0.6      -1.3 216 +0.7 149 75.0 32 +0.9 151 +2.1 3
190 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   16 - 15 7 - 11 16 - 15 7 - 11 -1.0      -0.2 178 -0.8 196 66.2 224 -1.6 194 -6.4 11
214 Queens 0.0%   15 - 15 7 - 11 15 - 15 7 - 11 -2.1      +1.4 142 -3.5 284 73.0 52 -1.7 198 -5.0 9
230 Jacksonville 0.0%   10 - 16 6 - 12 10 - 16 6 - 12 -3.4      -3.0 268 -0.4 188 56.4 361 -3.7 236 -6.4 10
233 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 12 10 - 18 6 - 12 -3.5      -2.0 240 -1.6 223 64.2 282 -5.4 260 -6.5 12
234 North Florida 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 9 12 - 17 9 - 9 -3.7      +2.9 99 -6.6 344 70.1 130 -3.8 238 -2.4 8
256 Bellarmine 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 9 12 - 18 9 - 9 -5.2      -1.4 225 -3.7 293 58.5 356 -3.1 223 -1.9 7
258 North Alabama 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 8 15 - 14 10 - 8 -5.2      -0.3 182 -4.9 318 70.1 128 -1.3 189 -1.3 6
323 Austin Peay 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 15 6 - 22 3 - 15 -9.2      -5.5 323 -3.7 291 63.1 310 -10.3 329 -12.2 14
336 Central Arkansas 0.0%   8 - 22 4 - 14 8 - 22 4 - 14 -10.9      -5.0 316 -6.0 338 78.9 9 -8.6 313 -9.9 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Liberty 1.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 1.0 100.0
Lipscomb 5.0 100.0
Stetson 3.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 9.0 100.0
Queens 9.0 100.0
Jacksonville 11.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 11.0 100.0
North Florida 7.0 100.0
Bellarmine 7.0 100.0
North Alabama 6.0 100.0
Austin Peay 14.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Liberty 15 - 3 100.0
Kennesaw St. 15 - 3 100.0
Lipscomb 11 - 7 100.0
Stetson 12 - 6 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 7 - 11 100.0
Queens 7 - 11 100.0
Jacksonville 6 - 12 100.0
Jacksonville St. 6 - 12 100.0
North Florida 9 - 9 100.0
Bellarmine 9 - 9 100.0
North Alabama 10 - 8 100.0
Austin Peay 3 - 15 100.0
Central Arkansas 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Liberty 100.0% 100.0
Kennesaw St. 100.0% 100.0
Lipscomb
Stetson
Eastern Kentucky
Florida Gulf Coast
Queens
Jacksonville
Jacksonville St.
North Florida
Bellarmine
North Alabama
Austin Peay
Central Arkansas


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 12.1 44.8 42.9 0.1
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Queens 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Queens 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 8.8% 0.1 91.2 8.8
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0