Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#234
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#238
Pace70.1#130
Improvement+2.0#36

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#99
First Shot+2.5#99
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#139
Layup/Dunks-1.0#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#5
Freethrows-1.1#271
Improvement+2.0#29

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#344
First Shot-4.6#327
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#347
Layups/Dunks-5.8#354
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#32
Freethrows+0.9#106
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 34 - 34 - 11
Quad 48 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 8   @ Gonzaga L 63-104 3%     0 - 1 -21.3 -12.8 -3.1
  Nov 11, 2022 100   @ Washington L 67-75 14%     0 - 2 -0.3 -1.8 +1.7
  Nov 19, 2022 351   South Carolina St. W 72-66 87%     1 - 2 -9.9 -12.9 +2.7
  Nov 21, 2022 121   @ Duquesne L 82-83 18%     1 - 3 +4.8 +14.8 -10.0
  Nov 23, 2022 26   @ Kentucky L 56-96 5%     1 - 4 -24.5 -12.8 -10.6
  Dec 03, 2022 302   @ High Point L 88-93 53%     1 - 5 -9.5 +3.5 -12.5
  Dec 06, 2022 2   @ Houston L 42-76 2%     1 - 6 -11.9 -12.7 -4.5
  Dec 10, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman W 88-48 87%     2 - 6 +24.0 +1.8 +20.0
  Dec 17, 2022 67   @ Pittsburgh L 56-82 9%     2 - 7 -14.6 -12.6 -2.7
  Dec 22, 2022 352   @ Bethune-Cookman W 87-85 73%     3 - 7 -8.0 +0.2 -8.4
  Dec 31, 2022 323   Austin Peay W 90-85 OT 79%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -7.2 +6.1 -13.6
  Jan 02, 2023 174   @ Stetson L 62-68 28%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -3.5 -8.9 +4.8
  Jan 05, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. W 89-86 39%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +2.1 +18.6 -16.4
  Jan 07, 2023 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 57-82 29%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -23.0 -17.3 -4.7
  Jan 12, 2023 233   @ Jacksonville St. L 63-72 38%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -9.6 -4.4 -5.9
  Jan 14, 2023 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-86 20%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -9.0 +4.0 -13.4
  Jan 19, 2023 214   Queens W 95-90 56%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -0.1 +17.6 -17.7
  Jan 21, 2023 69   Liberty L 62-73 20%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -5.7 -3.8 -2.7
  Jan 26, 2023 336   @ Central Arkansas L 85-88 OT 66%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -11.0 -5.1 -5.4
  Jan 28, 2023 258   @ North Alabama L 78-91 45%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -15.3 +7.9 -24.2
  Feb 02, 2023 230   @ Jacksonville W 76-63 38%     7 - 14 4 - 7 +12.6 +14.8 -0.4
  Feb 04, 2023 230   Jacksonville W 65-58 60%     8 - 14 5 - 7 +0.6 +4.1 -2.0
  Feb 09, 2023 190   Florida Gulf Coast L 66-68 51%     8 - 15 5 - 8 -5.9 -0.2 -6.0
  Feb 11, 2023 174   Stetson W 92-81 49%     9 - 15 6 - 8 +7.5 +13.9 -6.1
  Feb 16, 2023 159   @ Lipscomb W 114-111 2OT 25%     10 - 15 7 - 8 +6.2 +15.1 -9.6
  Feb 18, 2023 323   @ Austin Peay L 71-73 60%     10 - 16 7 - 9 -8.2 +4.5 -13.0
  Feb 22, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky W 77-64 50%     11 - 16 8 - 9 +9.4 +1.8 +7.4
  Feb 24, 2023 256   Bellarmine W 79-67 67%     12 - 16 9 - 9 +3.9 +9.4 -4.2
  Feb 27, 2023 256   Bellarmine L 74-76 56%     12 - 17 -7.2 +3.6 -10.9
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%