Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#233
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#260
Pace64.2#282
Improvement+1.7#53

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#240
First Shot-2.2#253
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#162
Layup/Dunks-5.7#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#26
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+0.5#118

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#223
First Shot-2.4#259
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#89
Layups/Dunks+3.5#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#286
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#349
Freethrows-0.1#197
Improvement+1.3#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 52 - 12
Quad 48 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2022 288   @ Illinois-Chicago L 60-67 50%     0 - 1 -10.6 -18.5 +8.6
  Nov 18, 2022 1   @ Alabama L 62-104 2%     0 - 2 -19.3 +2.4 -22.1
  Nov 22, 2022 334   Elon W 78-53 83%     1 - 2 +11.3 +4.0 +9.0
  Nov 25, 2022 57   @ New Mexico L 61-79 8%     1 - 3 -5.9 -8.7 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2022 227   Northern Colorado L 82-86 OT 48%     1 - 4 -7.1 +0.2 -7.1
  Nov 27, 2022 222   North Dakota St. W 81-71 48%     2 - 4 +7.1 +7.4 -0.2
  Dec 03, 2022 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 63-61 41%     3 - 4 +0.9 -0.8 +2.0
  Dec 08, 2022 70   @ Utah L 58-99 9%     3 - 5 -29.9 -5.2 -26.1
  Dec 17, 2022 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-62 81%     4 - 5 -2.7 -6.6 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2022 110   @ South Alabama L 66-71 16%     4 - 6 +2.0 +6.0 -4.7
  Dec 30, 2022 258   North Alabama L 62-66 67%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -12.2 -12.3 -0.3
  Jan 02, 2023 230   @ Jacksonville L 46-62 38%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -16.4 -12.9 -8.0
  Jan 05, 2023 69   @ Liberty L 41-75 9%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -22.7 -24.1 -0.6
  Jan 07, 2023 256   Bellarmine L 62-75 67%     4 - 10 0 - 4 -21.1 -6.6 -16.5
  Jan 12, 2023 234   North Florida W 72-63 62%     5 - 10 1 - 4 +2.3 -2.7 +5.8
  Jan 14, 2023 230   Jacksonville L 62-68 61%     5 - 11 1 - 5 -12.4 +1.7 -15.4
  Jan 19, 2023 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 51-55 30%     5 - 12 1 - 6 -2.0 -15.9 +13.6
  Jan 21, 2023 174   @ Stetson L 81-87 28%     5 - 13 1 - 7 -3.5 +4.4 -7.9
  Jan 26, 2023 159   Lipscomb W 72-67 47%     6 - 13 2 - 7 +2.3 +5.0 -2.2
  Jan 28, 2023 323   Austin Peay W 70-53 79%     7 - 13 3 - 7 +4.8 -0.1 +6.9
  Feb 02, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 67-69 28%     7 - 14 3 - 8 +0.4 -0.8 +1.1
  Feb 04, 2023 256   @ Bellarmine L 64-71 45%     7 - 15 3 - 9 -9.2 -8.8 -0.7
  Feb 09, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. L 52-54 40%     7 - 16 3 - 10 -2.9 -13.7 +10.5
  Feb 11, 2023 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 71-74 21%     7 - 17 3 - 11 +2.0 +6.1 -4.3
  Feb 16, 2023 214   Queens W 76-69 56%     8 - 17 4 - 11 +1.9 -1.1 +3.1
  Feb 18, 2023 69   Liberty L 55-79 20%     8 - 18 4 - 12 -18.7 -14.3 -4.9
  Feb 22, 2023 336   @ Central Arkansas W 101-71 67%     9 - 18 5 - 12 +22.0 +14.7 +4.7
  Feb 24, 2023 258   @ North Alabama W 92-83 45%     10 - 18 6 - 12 +6.7 +14.0 -7.4
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%