Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#230
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#236
Pace56.4#361
Improvement-1.7#319

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#268
First Shot+0.3#170
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#359
Layup/Dunks-1.2#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#110
Freethrows-1.9#323
Improvement-1.3#316

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#188
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#87
Layups/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#333
Freethrows+0.0#192
Improvement-0.4#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 83 - 12
Quad 47 - 410 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 19   @ Duke L 44-71 5%     0 - 1 -10.9 -12.4 -3.1
  Nov 23, 2022 229   @ Campbell W 64-43 38%     1 - 1 +20.7 -0.6 +24.5
  Nov 30, 2022 64   @ UAB L 61-80 9%     1 - 2 -7.4 -6.2 -1.4
  Dec 07, 2022 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 73-62 8%     2 - 2 +22.9 +13.7 +9.9
  Dec 10, 2022 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 53-81 26%     2 - 3 -24.6 -9.4 -18.7
  Dec 17, 2022 301   Charleston Southern W 72-63 75%     3 - 3 -1.4 +4.9 -4.4
  Dec 20, 2022 282   @ Louisiana Monroe W 66-55 50%     4 - 3 +7.6 -3.1 +11.3
  Dec 27, 2022 149   @ Notre Dame L 43-59 23%     4 - 4 -11.8 -26.1 +12.8
  Dec 31, 2022 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 65-72 30%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -5.0 +3.8 -10.0
  Jan 02, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. W 62-46 62%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +9.5 +3.3 +10.6
  Jan 05, 2023 174   @ Stetson L 61-73 28%     5 - 6 1 - 2 -9.5 -7.7 -3.5
  Jan 07, 2023 159   Lipscomb W 51-44 47%     6 - 6 2 - 2 +4.3 -15.6 +20.9
  Jan 12, 2023 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 68-81 21%     6 - 7 2 - 3 -8.0 +0.0 -8.4
  Jan 14, 2023 233   @ Jacksonville St. W 68-62 39%     7 - 7 3 - 3 +5.4 +10.8 -4.0
  Jan 19, 2023 69   Liberty L 52-66 20%     7 - 8 3 - 4 -8.7 -9.2 -2.0
  Jan 21, 2023 214   Queens W 77-70 57%     8 - 8 4 - 4 +1.9 +9.3 -6.5
  Jan 26, 2023 258   @ North Alabama L 62-80 46%     8 - 9 4 - 5 -20.3 -4.8 -18.1
  Jan 28, 2023 336   @ Central Arkansas W 74-64 67%     9 - 9 5 - 5 +2.0 +1.9 +0.8
  Feb 02, 2023 234   North Florida L 63-76 62%     9 - 10 5 - 6 -19.7 -9.2 -12.2
  Feb 04, 2023 234   @ North Florida L 58-65 40%     9 - 11 5 - 7 -7.7 -7.6 -1.5
  Feb 09, 2023 174   Stetson L 67-70 50%     9 - 12 5 - 8 -6.5 -8.3 +1.6
  Feb 11, 2023 190   Florida Gulf Coast L 51-62 52%     9 - 13 5 - 9 -14.9 -14.9 -2.0
  Feb 16, 2023 323   @ Austin Peay W 60-56 61%     10 - 13 6 - 9 -2.2 -4.3 +2.8
  Feb 18, 2023 159   @ Lipscomb L 59-62 26%     10 - 14 6 - 10 +0.2 -4.3 +4.1
  Feb 22, 2023 256   Bellarmine L 61-63 68%     10 - 15 6 - 11 -10.1 +1.6 -12.4
  Feb 24, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky L 52-56 51%     10 - 16 6 - 12 -7.6 -12.7 +4.5
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%