Pre-tourney Rankings
Stony Brook
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#326
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#323
Pace62.0#328
Improvement+1.6#58

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#324
First Shot-2.7#272
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#351
Layup/Dunks-6.1#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#109
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#290
First Shot-3.6#300
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#187
Layups/Dunks+2.2#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#354
Freethrows+1.4#68
Improvement+1.7#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 90 - 15
Quad 49 - 79 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 54   @ Florida L 45-81 3%     0 - 1 -23.7 -19.6 -3.9
  Nov 15, 2022 239   @ Rhode Island L 64-74 21%     0 - 2 -10.9 -2.8 -8.8
  Nov 17, 2022 192   @ Brown L 53-64 15%     0 - 3 -9.1 -16.9 +8.0
  Nov 23, 2022 219   @ Florida International L 50-83 18%     0 - 4 -32.5 -23.5 -8.2
  Nov 25, 2022 138   Eastern Washington L 52-81 15%     0 - 5 -27.2 -17.5 -12.7
  Dec 03, 2022 75   Yale L 72-77 10%     0 - 6 -0.3 +8.4 -9.2
  Dec 09, 2022 208   @ Bryant L 60-79 17%     0 - 7 -17.9 -12.4 -5.8
  Dec 12, 2022 330   Sacred Heart W 71-64 64%     1 - 7 -5.9 -3.5 -2.0
  Dec 15, 2022 315   @ Wagner L 55-58 36%     1 - 8 -8.7 -5.0 -4.3
  Dec 18, 2022 251   Army W 66-59 44%     2 - 8 -0.9 -5.7 +5.4
  Dec 22, 2022 16   @ West Virginia L 64-75 2%     2 - 9 +5.7 +3.3 +1.5
  Dec 31, 2022 299   @ Northeastern W 65-61 32%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -0.4 -6.2 +6.0
  Jan 05, 2023 343   @ Monmouth W 67-56 47%     4 - 9 2 - 0 +2.4 -3.7 +6.7
  Jan 07, 2023 134   Towson L 55-67 21%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -13.0 -8.5 -6.8
  Jan 12, 2023 201   Drexel W 67-66 32%     5 - 10 3 - 1 -3.5 +7.2 -10.5
  Jan 14, 2023 316   @ N.C. A&T L 59-61 36%     5 - 11 3 - 2 -7.7 -11.3 +3.3
  Jan 19, 2023 299   Northeastern L 66-79 54%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -23.4 -3.7 -21.1
  Jan 21, 2023 157   UNC Wilmington L 51-62 26%     5 - 13 3 - 4 -13.6 -14.1 -0.9
  Jan 26, 2023 319   @ William & Mary L 74-77 37%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -8.9 +10.9 -20.3
  Jan 28, 2023 349   @ Hampton W 71-66 51%     6 - 14 4 - 5 -4.4 -5.0 +0.8
  Feb 02, 2023 334   Elon L 55-69 66%     6 - 15 4 - 6 -27.7 -15.1 -14.9
  Feb 04, 2023 93   @ Hofstra L 58-79 6%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -12.8 -1.8 -14.4
  Feb 08, 2023 343   Monmouth L 54-61 70%     6 - 17 4 - 8 -21.6 -20.6 -1.3
  Feb 11, 2023 316   N.C. A&T W 69-59 59%     7 - 17 5 - 8 -1.7 -6.6 +5.3
  Feb 13, 2023 235   @ Delaware L 60-71 21%     7 - 18 5 - 9 -11.7 -9.4 -3.1
  Feb 16, 2023 319   William & Mary W 71-66 OT 60%     8 - 18 6 - 9 -6.8 -6.5 -0.2
  Feb 18, 2023 93   Hofstra L 65-68 14%     8 - 19 6 - 10 -0.7 -2.7 +1.8
  Feb 23, 2023 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-76 12%     8 - 20 6 - 11 -3.6 +0.8 -4.5
  Feb 25, 2023 71   @ College of Charleston L 52-92 4%     8 - 21 6 - 12 -29.0 -16.3 -12.0
  Mar 04, 2023 316   N.C. A&T W 76-61 48%     9 - 21 +6.3 -2.8 +8.7
  Mar 05, 2023 71   College of Charleston L 52-74 6%     9 - 22 -14.0 -16.0 +1.6
Projected Record 9 - 22 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%