Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#319
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#293
Pace63.9#287
Improvement-1.0#271

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#283
First Shot-2.7#271
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#258
Layup/Dunks-1.5#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#151
Freethrows-1.0#259
Improvement-1.2#305

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#323
First Shot-4.9#331
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#208
Layups/Dunks-2.8#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#262
Freethrows+1.5#58
Improvement+0.2#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 48 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 191   Navy L 59-74 32%     0 - 1 -19.0 -7.2 -13.7
  Nov 13, 2022 74   @ Virginia Tech L 77-94 5%     0 - 2 -6.3 +14.2 -22.0
  Nov 16, 2022 274   @ American L 64-71 29%     0 - 3 -10.1 -2.9 -8.1
  Nov 19, 2022 251   Army W 76-67 46%     1 - 3 +1.1 -0.2 +1.5
  Nov 23, 2022 186   Radford W 62-51 31%     2 - 3 +7.1 -6.5 +14.7
  Nov 25, 2022 67   @ Pittsburgh L 64-80 4%     2 - 4 -4.6 -1.9 -3.7
  Nov 29, 2022 45   @ North Carolina St. L 64-85 3%     2 - 5 -7.6 -5.6 -1.4
  Dec 03, 2022 147   Richmond W 58-57 25%     3 - 5 -0.7 -5.3 +4.8
  Dec 07, 2022 167   @ Old Dominion L 62-72 14%     3 - 6 -7.1 -0.6 -7.8
  Dec 10, 2022 200   Norfolk St. L 53-67 34%     3 - 7 -18.5 -18.6 -1.4
  Dec 18, 2022 246   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62-78 24%     3 - 8 -17.6 -8.4 -10.7
  Dec 31, 2022 201   @ Drexel L 56-66 17%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -8.6 -7.5 -2.2
  Jan 05, 2023 299   Northeastern W 69-66 56%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -7.4 -3.6 -3.6
  Jan 07, 2023 93   Hofstra L 62-75 15%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -10.7 -8.9 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2023 349   Hampton W 81-65 74%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +0.6 +8.3 -5.9
  Jan 14, 2023 157   @ UNC Wilmington W 69-67 13%     6 - 10 3 - 2 +5.4 +3.1 +2.4
  Jan 16, 2023 71   @ College of Charleston L 54-82 4%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -17.0 -14.7 -1.7
  Jan 19, 2023 235   @ Delaware L 53-80 22%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -27.7 -16.0 -13.9
  Jan 21, 2023 316   N.C. A&T L 86-90 61%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -15.7 -6.4 -8.6
  Jan 26, 2023 326   Stony Brook W 77-74 63%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -9.3 +12.9 -21.7
  Jan 28, 2023 134   @ Towson L 73-92 10%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -14.0 +6.5 -21.6
  Feb 02, 2023 349   @ Hampton L 57-62 52%     7 - 15 4 - 7 -14.4 -15.8 +0.9
  Feb 04, 2023 157   UNC Wilmington L 63-70 27%     7 - 16 4 - 8 -9.6 +2.2 -13.0
  Feb 11, 2023 334   @ Elon L 55-66 46%     7 - 17 4 - 9 -18.7 -14.6 -5.5
  Feb 13, 2023 134   Towson W 68-66 23%     8 - 17 5 - 9 +1.0 +5.0 -3.6
  Feb 16, 2023 326   @ Stony Brook L 66-71 OT 40%     8 - 18 5 - 10 -11.3 -7.2 -4.2
  Feb 18, 2023 299   @ Northeastern L 57-69 33%     8 - 19 5 - 11 -16.4 -11.4 -6.1
  Feb 23, 2023 334   Elon W 73-60 68%     9 - 19 6 - 11 -0.7 -2.6 +2.6
  Feb 25, 2023 343   Monmouth W 74-62 71%     10 - 19 7 - 11 -2.6 -5.1 +2.3
  Mar 04, 2023 334   Elon W 73-51 57%     11 - 19 +11.3 +6.1 +8.5
  Mar 05, 2023 93   Hofstra L 46-94 10%     11 - 20 -42.7 -21.6 -24.5
Projected Record 11 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%