Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#274
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#247
Pace59.1#354
Improvement-3.2#359

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#263
First Shot-1.6#239
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#270
Layup/Dunks+3.7#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#255
Freethrows-1.4#298
Improvement-1.9#343

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#277
First Shot-1.6#230
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#338
Layups/Dunks-1.3#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#106
Freethrows-1.1#274
Improvement-1.2#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 34 - 14 - 2
Quad 413 - 1317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 283   @ Marist L 69-73 40%     0 - 1 -7.4 -1.2 -6.4
  Nov 13, 2022 141   @ George Mason L 56-73 16%     0 - 2 -12.4 -6.2 -8.1
  Nov 16, 2022 319   William & Mary W 71-64 71%     1 - 2 -4.8 +0.1 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2022 328   @ NJIT W 58-53 53%     2 - 2 -1.8 -10.9 +9.7
  Nov 23, 2022 209   @ Georgetown W 74-70 25%     3 - 2 +5.0 +0.9 +4.2
  Nov 26, 2022 332   @ St. Francis (PA) W 66-55 56%     4 - 2 +3.4 -6.1 +10.7
  Nov 29, 2022 341   Albany W 88-62 78%     5 - 2 +11.6 +22.2 -6.0
  Dec 06, 2022 275   @ Mount St. Mary's W 69-61 39%     6 - 2 +4.9 -0.6 +5.8
  Dec 10, 2022 207   @ George Washington W 69-64 25%     7 - 2 +6.1 -1.3 +7.8
  Dec 13, 2022 350   VMI W 69-61 81%     8 - 2 -7.5 -0.6 -5.4
  Dec 22, 2022 205   Siena L 61-64 45%     8 - 3 -7.8 +0.7 -9.1
  Dec 30, 2022 269   @ Lafayette W 60-47 37%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +10.2 -6.0 +17.2
  Jan 02, 2023 325   Loyola Maryland W 71-55 72%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +3.8 +2.0 +4.1
  Jan 05, 2023 340   @ Holy Cross W 73-68 OT 59%     11 - 3 3 - 0 -3.3 -5.6 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2023 264   Boston University W 76-74 60%     12 - 3 4 - 0 -6.6 +4.0 -10.5
  Jan 11, 2023 251   @ Army L 60-72 34%     12 - 4 4 - 1 -13.9 -8.0 -7.3
  Jan 14, 2023 279   @ Lehigh L 62-78 39%     12 - 5 4 - 2 -19.4 -8.5 -11.4
  Jan 18, 2023 269   Lafayette L 59-70 60%     12 - 6 4 - 3 -19.7 -1.8 -20.4
  Jan 21, 2023 116   @ Colgate L 61-62 13%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +5.2 -0.1 +5.1
  Jan 25, 2023 251   Army W 63-61 57%     13 - 7 5 - 4 -5.9 -8.1 +2.4
  Jan 28, 2023 191   @ Navy W 73-69 22%     14 - 7 6 - 4 +6.0 +7.7 -1.4
  Feb 01, 2023 300   Bucknell L 71-78 66%     14 - 8 6 - 5 -17.4 -0.6 -17.4
  Feb 04, 2023 116   Colgate W 61-60 27%     15 - 8 7 - 5 +1.3 -9.8 +11.1
  Feb 08, 2023 264   @ Boston University L 54-60 37%     15 - 9 7 - 6 -8.6 -9.7 +0.1
  Feb 11, 2023 340   Holy Cross L 66-74 78%     15 - 10 7 - 7 -22.3 -9.0 -13.6
  Feb 13, 2023 300   @ Bucknell L 51-73 44%     15 - 11 7 - 8 -26.4 -16.8 -12.7
  Feb 18, 2023 279   Lehigh L 59-62 62%     15 - 12 7 - 9 -12.3 -7.9 -4.9
  Feb 22, 2023 191   Navy L 54-70 42%     15 - 13 7 - 10 -20.0 -11.8 -10.6
  Feb 25, 2023 325   @ Loyola Maryland L 77-83 OT 51%     15 - 14 7 - 11 -12.2 +1.7 -14.0
  Feb 28, 2023 300   Bucknell W 64-59 66%     16 - 14 -5.4 +0.4 -4.7
  Mar 02, 2023 191   @ Navy W 52-51 22%     17 - 14 +3.0 -5.5 +8.8
  Mar 05, 2023 269   @ Lafayette L 76-84 2OT 37%     17 - 15 -10.8 -0.1 -10.1
Projected Record 17 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%