Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#212
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#188
Pace78.3#13
Improvement-1.1#280

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#195
First Shot-1.1#219
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#144
Layup/Dunks+1.7#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#297
Freethrows-0.7#232
Improvement-0.3#212

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#215
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#189
Layups/Dunks-1.2#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#108
Freethrows-0.4#228
Improvement-0.9#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 50 - 9
Quad 34 - 54 - 14
Quad 49 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 116   Colgate W 88-87 41%     1 - 0 +1.3 -3.4 +4.5
  Nov 12, 2022 98   James Madison L 62-97 36%     1 - 1 -33.2 -21.8 -4.0
  Nov 15, 2022 4   @ Connecticut L 64-84 3%     1 - 2 +0.7 -5.5 +8.1
  Nov 18, 2022 73   Drake L 72-80 18%     1 - 3 -0.1 +2.8 -2.8
  Nov 19, 2022 228   Howard L 59-63 54%     1 - 4 -7.1 -14.2 +7.0
  Nov 21, 2022 141   George Mason W 82-74 36%     2 - 4 +9.6 +11.5 -1.9
  Nov 27, 2022 249   Canisius W 86-66 71%     3 - 4 +12.2 +0.8 +9.5
  Dec 03, 2022 182   St. Bonaventure W 83-66 57%     4 - 4 +13.2 +12.2 +1.3
  Dec 10, 2022 97   Tulane L 63-88 26%     4 - 5 -20.2 -12.1 -6.8
  Dec 18, 2022 16   @ West Virginia L 78-96 5%     4 - 6 -1.3 +4.4 -4.0
  Dec 30, 2022 31   @ Michigan St. L 68-89 7%     4 - 7 -6.1 -1.8 -2.9
  Jan 03, 2023 129   Ohio W 75-72 45%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +2.2 -6.2 +8.2
  Jan 07, 2023 248   Northern Illinois W 80-62 71%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +10.4 +6.8 +4.2
  Jan 10, 2023 270   @ Miami (OH) L 80-91 53%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -13.8 -7.1 -5.2
  Jan 14, 2023 329   @ Central Michigan L 78-87 OT 68%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -15.9 -8.0 -6.3
  Jan 17, 2023 281   Bowling Green W 100-71 76%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +19.7 +11.9 +5.3
  Jan 20, 2023 88   Toledo L 77-86 31%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -5.8 -2.9 -2.7
  Jan 24, 2023 165   @ Ball St. W 91-65 31%     8 - 10 4 - 3 +29.0 +14.6 +13.5
  Jan 27, 2023 72   @ Kent St. L 68-74 12%     8 - 11 4 - 4 +4.9 -3.2 +8.6
  Jan 31, 2023 109   Akron L 64-81 38%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -15.9 -7.2 -9.3
  Feb 04, 2023 313   @ Western Michigan W 85-76 63%     9 - 12 5 - 5 +3.5 +4.7 -1.4
  Feb 07, 2023 310   Eastern Michigan W 102-97 81%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -6.3 +16.5 -23.0
  Feb 10, 2023 72   Kent St. L 65-72 25%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -2.1 -4.4 +2.5
  Feb 14, 2023 129   @ Ohio L 61-85 25%     10 - 14 6 - 7 -18.9 -15.2 -2.5
  Feb 18, 2023 109   @ Akron L 66-86 20%     10 - 15 6 - 8 -13.0 -4.3 -8.8
  Feb 21, 2023 329   Central Michigan W 63-35 84%     11 - 15 7 - 8 +15.2 -9.0 +26.0
  Feb 25, 2023 88   @ Toledo L 71-101 15%     11 - 16 7 - 9 -20.9 -5.0 -15.4
  Feb 28, 2023 248   @ Northern Illinois W 85-75 49%     12 - 16 8 - 9 +8.3 +10.6 -2.4
  Mar 03, 2023 270   Miami (OH) W 68-63 74%     13 - 16 9 - 9 -3.7 -6.0 +2.7
  Mar 09, 2023 109   Akron L 77-101 28%     13 - 17 -20.0 -0.5 -17.7
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%