Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#184
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#230
Pace71.5#97
Improvement-1.4#298

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#172
First Shot+1.0#144
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#257
Layup/Dunks+0.2#170
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#104
Freethrows+0.8#104
Improvement-1.7#334

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#198
First Shot-1.2#212
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#137
Layups/Dunks+4.6#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#345
Freethrows-1.2#285
Improvement+0.3#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 32 - 53 - 13
Quad 43 - 26 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 188   @ UTEP L 64-67 39%     0 - 1 -1.0 -6.0 +5.2
  Nov 25, 2022 221   San Diego W 90-77 58%     1 - 1 +10.1 +6.2 +3.2
  Nov 26, 2022 104   UC Irvine L 68-85 30%     1 - 2 -12.5 -1.4 -11.2
  Nov 30, 2022 188   UTEP W 95-70 62%     2 - 2 +21.1 +19.6 +0.4
  Dec 07, 2022 85   @ Santa Clara L 65-66 16%     2 - 3 +8.8 -4.7 +13.5
  Dec 11, 2022 121   @ Duquesne W 73-60 26%     3 - 3 +18.8 +5.1 +14.3
  Dec 14, 2022 15   @ St. Mary's L 68-81 6%     3 - 4 +4.1 +8.4 -4.7
  Dec 21, 2022 72   Kent St. L 63-73 20%     3 - 5 -2.1 -2.0 -0.3
  Dec 22, 2022 316   N.C. A&T W 85-76 77%     4 - 5 +0.3 +9.6 -9.2
  Dec 28, 2022 115   Southern Utah L 75-79 45%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -3.5 -2.6 -0.8
  Dec 31, 2022 81   Sam Houston St. L 62-75 31%     4 - 7 0 - 2 -8.7 +1.1 -11.2
  Jan 04, 2023 144   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-69 31%     4 - 8 0 - 3 -4.6 -4.7 -0.6
  Jan 07, 2023 161   California Baptist L 61-70 57%     4 - 9 0 - 4 -11.7 -4.5 -8.3
  Jan 12, 2023 153   @ Seattle L 66-69 32%     4 - 10 0 - 5 +1.0 -2.2 +3.3
  Jan 14, 2023 242   Texas Arlington L 55-66 73%     4 - 11 0 - 6 -18.1 -20.6 +2.6
  Jan 19, 2023 115   @ Southern Utah L 76-111 24%     4 - 12 0 - 7 -28.6 +0.6 -27.3
  Jan 21, 2023 158   @ Utah Tech L 76-89 34%     4 - 13 0 - 8 -9.7 -4.3 -4.0
  Jan 28, 2023 82   @ Utah Valley L 72-77 15%     4 - 14 0 - 9 +5.0 +1.1 +4.3
  Feb 01, 2023 144   Stephen F. Austin W 73-67 53%     5 - 14 1 - 9 +4.4 -2.7 +6.9
  Feb 04, 2023 153   Seattle W 82-75 54%     6 - 14 2 - 9 +5.1 +4.5 +0.0
  Feb 08, 2023 113   @ Grand Canyon L 67-78 23%     6 - 15 2 - 10 -4.2 -4.5 +0.2
Projected Record 6 - 15 2 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%