Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#88
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#79
Pace72.3#67
Improvement+1.7#54

Offense
Total Offense+9.8#10
First Shot+8.3#9
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#74
Layup/Dunks+1.3#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#30
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#92
Freethrows+2.0#40
Improvement+1.4#52

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#286
First Shot-3.1#283
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#240
Layups/Dunks-1.9#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#263
Freethrows+1.1#91
Improvement+0.4#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 23 - 3
Quad 38 - 311 - 6
Quad 415 - 126 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 280   Valparaiso W 85-70 92%     1 - 0 +5.7 +3.4 +1.4
  Nov 11, 2022 64   UAB W 93-85 41%     2 - 0 +16.6 +6.6 +8.5
  Nov 16, 2022 273   Oakland W 112-90 91%     3 - 0 +13.0 +21.2 -10.4
  Nov 21, 2022 309   UMKC L 71-83 90%     3 - 1 -20.1 -0.3 -20.4
  Nov 22, 2022 173   East Carolina L 75-86 73%     3 - 2 -11.3 +2.1 -13.3
  Nov 23, 2022 172   Northern Kentucky W 82-69 73%     4 - 2 +12.7 +12.9 +0.2
  Nov 30, 2022 147   Richmond W 90-67 77%     5 - 2 +21.3 +13.2 +7.0
  Dec 03, 2022 141   @ George Mason L 73-80 56%     5 - 3 -2.4 +1.4 -3.6
  Dec 06, 2022 203   @ Northern Iowa W 83-75 68%     6 - 3 +9.3 +11.3 -2.0
  Dec 10, 2022 249   Canisius W 69-68 90%     7 - 3 -6.8 -16.3 +9.4
  Dec 17, 2022 83   @ Marshall L 85-100 36%     7 - 4 -5.2 +11.7 -16.0
  Dec 20, 2022 120   @ Vermont W 84-72 51%     8 - 4 +18.0 +13.4 +4.6
  Jan 03, 2023 165   Ball St. L 83-90 81%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -9.9 +9.2 -19.3
  Jan 06, 2023 313   Western Michigan W 102-74 94%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +16.6 +18.5 -2.5
  Jan 10, 2023 72   @ Kent St. L 63-75 32%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -1.1 +3.2 -5.4
  Jan 14, 2023 248   @ Northern Illinois W 84-67 77%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +15.3 +8.8 +6.1
  Jan 17, 2023 129   Ohio W 90-75 75%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +14.2 +9.5 +3.9
  Jan 20, 2023 212   @ Buffalo W 86-77 69%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +10.0 +11.2 -1.5
  Jan 24, 2023 310   Eastern Michigan W 84-79 94%     13 - 6 5 - 2 -6.3 +4.4 -10.7
  Jan 28, 2023 281   Bowling Green W 91-77 92%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +4.7 +10.4 -5.9
  Jan 31, 2023 270   @ Miami (OH) W 81-78 80%     15 - 6 7 - 2 +0.2 +9.1 -8.7
  Feb 04, 2023 329   Central Michigan W 84-59 95%     16 - 6 8 - 2 +12.2 +10.6 +2.3
  Feb 07, 2023 109   @ Akron W 84-74 47%     17 - 6 9 - 2 +17.0 +19.0 -1.3
  Feb 11, 2023 310   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-63 86%     18 - 6 10 - 2 +1.7 -5.8 +7.7
  Feb 14, 2023 270   Miami (OH) W 89-71 91%     19 - 6 11 - 2 +9.3 +17.5 -6.7
  Feb 18, 2023 281   @ Bowling Green W 91-86 82%     20 - 6 12 - 2 +1.6 +9.3 -7.9
  Feb 21, 2023 109   Akron W 84-63 69%     21 - 6 13 - 2 +22.1 +17.2 +6.5
  Feb 25, 2023 212   Buffalo W 101-71 85%     22 - 6 14 - 2 +25.0 +23.9 +0.7
  Feb 28, 2023 329   @ Central Michigan W 99-65 88%     23 - 6 15 - 2 +27.1 +28.0 -0.2
  Mar 03, 2023 165   @ Ball St. W 87-81 62%     24 - 6 16 - 2 +9.0 +15.8 -6.6
  Mar 09, 2023 270   Miami (OH) W 91-75 87%     25 - 6 +10.2 +16.8 -6.0
  Mar 10, 2023 129   Ohio W 82-75 65%     26 - 6 +9.1 +3.4 +5.4
  Mar 11, 2023 72   Kent St. L 78-93 43%     26 - 7 -7.1 +12.7 -20.1
Projected Record 26 - 7 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%