Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#160
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#174
Pace74.8#36
Improvement-0.3#218

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#185
First Shot-1.3#226
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#112
Layup/Dunks-0.3#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#282
Freethrows+1.6#60
Improvement-0.9#283

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#150
First Shot-0.3#183
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#81
Layups/Dunks-1.2#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#156
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+0.6#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 414 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 243   @ California W 75-65 56%     1 - 0 +8.6 +3.9 +4.7
  Nov 12, 2022 111   @ Loyola Marymount L 75-85 26%     1 - 1 -3.1 +0.6 -3.1
  Nov 18, 2022 284   Arkansas St. W 75-60 82%     2 - 1 +5.6 -1.4 +7.2
  Nov 22, 2022 231   Sacramento St. W 82-71 64%     3 - 1 +7.5 +3.5 +3.6
  Nov 26, 2022 232   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 85-87 53%     3 - 2 -2.5 +1.4 -3.7
  Nov 27, 2022 260   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-71 70%     4 - 2 -3.3 -10.3 +6.8
  Nov 28, 2022 264   Boston University W 81-70 OT 71%     5 - 2 +5.4 -5.2 +8.9
  Dec 01, 2022 178   Pacific L 72-74 65%     5 - 3 -5.6 -8.0 +2.5
  Dec 17, 2022 138   @ Eastern Washington L 68-79 33%     5 - 4 -6.3 -9.1 +3.5
  Dec 21, 2022 3   @ UCLA L 54-81 3%     5 - 5 -5.4 -5.6 +0.2
  Dec 29, 2022 130   @ Hawaii L 66-74 32%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -3.0 -1.3 -1.6
  Jan 05, 2023 104   UC Irvine L 83-88 45%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -3.5 +6.0 -9.1
  Jan 07, 2023 287   Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-48 82%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +9.5 -2.0 +13.1
  Jan 11, 2023 321   @ Cal St. Northridge W 62-54 73%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +1.9 -2.0 +5.3
  Jan 14, 2023 127   Cal St. Fullerton W 83-79 54%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +3.3 +3.6 -0.7
  Jan 16, 2023 253   @ UC San Diego W 78-70 59%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +5.9 +7.9 -1.5
  Jan 19, 2023 146   UC Riverside L 72-74 57%     9 - 8 4 - 3 -3.6 +1.3 -5.0
  Jan 21, 2023 278   Cal Poly W 65-63 82%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -7.3 -0.2 -6.8
  Jan 26, 2023 287   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 79-58 64%     11 - 8 6 - 3 +17.5 +21.6 -0.4
  Jan 28, 2023 162   @ Long Beach St. L 72-75 39%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +0.1 -6.1 +6.6
  Feb 02, 2023 130   Hawaii W 75-63 54%     12 - 9 7 - 4 +11.1 +11.4 +0.7
  Feb 09, 2023 146   @ UC Riverside L 65-72 34%     12 - 10 7 - 5 -2.6 -5.6 +2.9
  Feb 11, 2023 108   @ UC Santa Barbara L 74-84 26%     12 - 11 7 - 6 -2.9 +1.3 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2023 321   Cal St. Northridge W 73-62 87%     13 - 11 8 - 6 -1.0 -3.1 +2.3
  Feb 18, 2023 104   @ UC Irvine L 76-78 25%     13 - 12 8 - 7 +5.5 +9.0 -3.6
  Feb 20, 2023 253   UC San Diego W 76-66 79%     14 - 12 9 - 7 +2.0 -3.1 +4.8
  Feb 25, 2023 278   @ Cal Poly W 58-52 64%     15 - 12 10 - 7 +2.7 -9.9 +12.9
  Mar 02, 2023 108   UC Santa Barbara L 86-89 47%     15 - 13 10 - 8 -1.9 +5.3 -7.0
  Mar 04, 2023 162   Long Beach St. W 93-92 2OT 62%     16 - 13 11 - 8 -1.8 -5.1 +3.0
  Mar 09, 2023 146   UC Riverside L 52-68 46%     16 - 14 -14.6 -19.5 +4.5
Projected Record 16 - 14 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%