Pre-tourney Rankings
Vermont
America East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#120
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#124
Pace63.2#309
Improvement+3.6#4

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+5.4#41
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#349
Layup/Dunks+2.7#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#11
Freethrows-1.2#286
Improvement+3.2#4

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#161
First Shot-1.5#225
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#25
Layups/Dunks-3.6#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#222
Freethrows+1.3#75
Improvement+0.4#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 36 - 9
Quad 416 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 192   Brown W 80-65 75%     1 - 0 +11.0 +6.1 +4.5
  Nov 10, 2022 15   @ St. Mary's L 53-79 10%     1 - 1 -8.9 -3.9 -7.5
  Nov 13, 2022 127   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 85-94 2OT 41%     1 - 2 -3.8 +2.1 -4.3
  Nov 15, 2022 42   @ USC L 57-59 16%     1 - 3 +11.7 -7.6 +19.2
  Nov 18, 2022 76   Iona L 50-71 33%     1 - 4 -13.3 -14.0 -1.4
  Nov 22, 2022 75   @ Yale L 44-73 23%     1 - 5 -18.3 -18.2 -3.4
  Nov 25, 2022 165   Ball St. W 78-73 61%     2 - 5 +5.0 +7.9 -2.6
  Nov 26, 2022 157   UNC Wilmington L 66-68 60%     2 - 6 -1.6 -0.1 -1.6
  Nov 27, 2022 162   Long Beach St. L 58-78 61%     2 - 7 -19.8 -16.6 -2.6
  Dec 04, 2022 312   @ Merrimack W 66-43 79%     3 - 7 +17.6 +4.4 +15.7
  Dec 06, 2022 272   @ Dartmouth W 68-52 72%     4 - 7 +13.0 +2.1 +12.6
  Dec 10, 2022 116   @ Colgate W 73-72 38%     5 - 7 +7.2 +6.7 +0.6
  Dec 20, 2022 88   Toledo L 72-84 49%     5 - 8 -8.8 -5.6 -3.3
  Jan 01, 2023 246   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-61 67%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +11.4 +5.6 +7.2
  Jan 05, 2023 208   Bryant W 74-64 77%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +5.1 -4.5 +9.4
  Jan 08, 2023 289   @ New Hampshire L 60-67 74%     7 - 9 2 - 1 -10.7 -7.1 -4.3
  Jan 11, 2023 140   @ Umass Lowell L 65-80 44%     7 - 10 2 - 2 -10.3 -1.9 -9.5
  Jan 19, 2023 277   Maine W 66-45 87%     8 - 10 3 - 2 +11.8 -0.6 +15.5
  Jan 22, 2023 328   NJIT W 85-69 92%     9 - 10 4 - 2 +3.2 +12.9 -8.5
  Jan 25, 2023 308   @ Binghamton W 80-55 78%     10 - 10 5 - 2 +20.0 +15.1 +8.0
  Jan 28, 2023 246   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-68 84%     11 - 10 6 - 2 -1.5 +1.1 -2.2
  Feb 04, 2023 341   @ Albany W 87-68 86%     12 - 10 7 - 2 +10.6 +13.2 -1.6
  Feb 08, 2023 277   @ Maine W 74-65 73%     13 - 10 8 - 2 +5.7 +9.9 -3.0
  Feb 11, 2023 140   Umass Lowell W 93-81 66%     14 - 10 9 - 2 +10.7 +21.2 -10.2
  Feb 15, 2023 289   New Hampshire W 80-51 88%     15 - 10 10 - 2 +19.3 +7.5 +13.0
  Feb 18, 2023 328   @ NJIT W 82-80 OT 82%     16 - 10 11 - 2 -4.8 +8.0 -12.8
  Feb 22, 2023 308   Binghamton W 81-70 90%     17 - 10 12 - 2 +0.0 +6.4 -6.0
  Feb 25, 2023 208   @ Bryant W 70-66 57%     18 - 10 13 - 2 +5.1 +2.2 +3.2
  Feb 28, 2023 341   Albany W 79-61 94%     19 - 10 14 - 2 +3.6 -2.3 +6.0
  Mar 04, 2023 328   NJIT W 84-57 92%     20 - 10 +14.2 +10.0 +5.7
  Mar 07, 2023 308   Binghamton W 79-57 90%     21 - 10 +11.0 +18.6 -2.7
  Mar 11, 2023 140   Umass Lowell W 72-59 66%     22 - 10 +11.7 +2.7 +9.9
  Mar 17, 2023 11   Marquette L 66-79 12%    
Projected Record 22 - 11 14 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.7 0.0 4.2 23.8 70.4 1.6
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 4.2 23.8 70.4 1.6