Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
100 College of Charleston 100.0%   13   26 - 7 15 - 3 26 - 8 15 - 3 +5.2      +5.1 59 +0.1 169 74.0 50 +6.5 90 +7.1 1
122 Hofstra 0.0%   19 - 13 12 - 6 19 - 13 12 - 6 +2.9      +1.3 144 +1.6 128 65.1 276 +1.8 135 +1.5 3
130 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   18 - 10 12 - 6 18 - 10 12 - 6 +2.5      +4.7 67 -2.2 242 63.9 308 +3.1 119 +1.5 4
136 Drexel 0.0%   19 - 12 13 - 5 19 - 12 13 - 5 +1.9      +1.3 145 +0.7 150 62.5 333 +1.2 141 +3.5 2
150 Towson 0.0%   19 - 14 11 - 7 19 - 14 11 - 7 +1.1      -1.8 227 +2.9 93 58.6 357 +0.8 146 +0.4 5
174 Stony Brook 0.0%   19 - 15 10 - 8 19 - 15 10 - 8 -0.6      +0.1 175 -0.7 197 67.8 197 +0.2 160 -1.5 7
181 Delaware 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 8 18 - 14 10 - 8 -1.0      -1.1 213 +0.2 166 68.0 186 -0.9 179 -1.9 8
200 Monmouth 0.0%   18 - 15 10 - 8 18 - 15 10 - 8 -2.1      -0.3 191 -1.8 231 69.0 160 -0.1 166 -1.4 6
250 Northeastern 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 11 12 - 20 7 - 11 -4.5      -1.1 212 -3.3 270 65.1 273 -4.9 259 -5.6 10
309 Campbell 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 10 11 - 18 8 - 10 -8.3      -3.3 263 -5.0 333 66.2 251 -7.7 302 -5.2 9
313 William & Mary 0.0%   8 - 23 4 - 14 8 - 23 4 - 14 -8.9      -3.9 280 -5.0 331 65.0 279 -10.9 327 -11.5 13
318 Elon 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 12 11 - 19 6 - 12 -9.2      -3.2 261 -6.0 344 68.4 174 -7.8 306 -8.7 11
338 Hampton 0.0%   6 - 24 3 - 15 6 - 24 3 - 15 -12.2      -8.0 344 -4.2 304 73.0 61 -12.2 337 -14.4 14
347 N.C. A&T 0.0%   7 - 25 5 - 13 7 - 25 5 - 13 -13.4      -7.4 335 -6.1 347 69.1 152 -11.5 331 -10.1 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
College of Charleston 1.0 100.0
Hofstra 3.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 3.0 100.0
Drexel 2.0 100.0
Towson 5.0 100.0
Stony Brook 6.0 100.0
Delaware 6.0 100.0
Monmouth 6.0 100.0
Northeastern 10.0 100.0
Campbell 9.0 100.0
William & Mary 13.0 100.0
Elon 11.0 100.0
Hampton 14.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
College of Charleston 15 - 3 100.0
Hofstra 12 - 6 100.0
UNC Wilmington 12 - 6 100.0
Drexel 13 - 5 100.0
Towson 11 - 7 100.0
Stony Brook 10 - 8 100.0
Delaware 10 - 8 100.0
Monmouth 10 - 8 100.0
Northeastern 7 - 11 100.0
Campbell 8 - 10 100.0
William & Mary 4 - 14 100.0
Elon 6 - 12 100.0
Hampton 3 - 15 100.0
N.C. A&T 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
College of Charleston 100.0% 100.0
Hofstra
UNC Wilmington
Drexel
Towson
Stony Brook
Delaware
Monmouth
Northeastern
Campbell
William & Mary
Elon
Hampton
N.C. A&T


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
College of Charleston 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 5.2 67.1 27.5 0.2
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
College of Charleston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.1% 3.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.1% 0.1 85.9 14.1
Sweet Sixteen 3.6% 0.0 96.4 3.6
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0