Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2023-24



View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Connecticut Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Houston At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Purdue At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Iowa St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  North Carolina At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Tennessee At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Marquette At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Auburn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
3  Arizona At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Creighton At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Illinois Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Alabama At-Large 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
4  Duke At-Large 99.8% 99.8% 99.8%
4  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Kentucky At-Large 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
5  BYU At-Large 99.8% 99.8% 99.8%
5  Wisconsin At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
5  Texas Tech At-Large 99.1% 99.1% 99.1%
5  Florida At-Large 98.9% 98.9% 98.9%
6  South Carolina At-Large 96.4% 96.4% 96.4%
6  St. Mary's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Gonzaga At-Large 95.0% 95.0% 95.0%
6  Nevada At-Large 91.8% 91.8% 91.8%
7  Washington St. At-Large 90.0% 90.0% 90.0%
7  Utah St. At-Large 87.5% 87.5% 87.5%
7  San Diego St. At-Large 95.4% 95.4% 95.4%
7  Nebraska At-Large 89.1% 89.1% 89.1%
8  Clemson At-Large 90.9% 90.9% 90.9%
8  Boise St. At-Large 85.4% 85.4% 85.4%
8  New Mexico Auto 100.0% 100.0%
8  Dayton At-Large 82.8% 82.8% 82.8%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Colorado St. At-Large 74.8% 74.8% 74.8%
9  TCU At-Large 84.7% 84.7% 84.7%
9  Texas At-Large 87.1% 87.1% 87.1%
9  Colorado At-Large 86.9% 86.9% 86.9%
10  Texas A&M At-Large 79.9% 79.9% 79.9%
10  Mississippi St. At-Large 74.8% 74.8% 74.8%
10  Northwestern At-Large 74.3% 74.3% 74.3%
10  Michigan St. At-Large 70.6% 70.6% 70.6%
10  St. John's At-Large 63.7% 63.7% 63.7%
10  Oklahoma At-Large 58.8% 58.8% 58.8%
11  Drake Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  Oregon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  North Carolina St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  Grand Canyon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  James Madison Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Duquesne Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  McNeese St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Samford Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  UAB Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Yale Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Vermont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  College of Charleston Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Akron Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Oakland Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Morehead St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Western Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Colgate Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  South Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Long Beach St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Stetson Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Longwood Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  St. Peter's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Grambling St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Wagner Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Howard Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Montana St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
TCU 84.7% 84.7% 84.7%
Dayton 82.8% 82.8% 82.8%
Texas A&M 79.9% 79.9% 79.9%
Mississippi St. 74.8% 74.8% 74.8%
Colorado St. 74.8% 74.8% 74.8%
Northwestern 74.3% 74.3% 74.3%
Michigan St. 70.6% 70.6% 70.6%
St. John's 63.7% 63.7% 63.7%
Oklahoma 58.8% 58.8% 58.8%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Florida Atlantic 56.3% 56.3% 56.3%
Virginia 45.1% 45.1% 45.1%
Pittsburgh 41.9% 41.9% 41.9%
Seton Hall 40.8% 40.8% 40.8%
Providence 31.1% 31.1% 31.1%
Indiana St. 27.0% 27.0% 27.0%
Villanova 20.3% 20.3% 20.3%
Ohio St. 16.0% 16.0% 16.0%
Cincinnati 15.6% 15.6% 15.6%
Kansas St. 14.3% 14.3% 14.3%
Wake Forest 12.4% 12.4% 12.4%
Utah 10.6% 10.6% 10.6%
Iowa 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%
Butler 2.3% 2.3% 2.3%
Virginia Tech 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Syracuse 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
Indiana 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
UNLV 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Memphis 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Central Florida 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Princeton 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Richmond 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
South Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Virginia Commonwealth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Florida St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%